Turbulent-Notepad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$555

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

5,944

lifetime

Volume

$438.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-31 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

54% 57% +$555

Tech

23% — —

Sports

14% 100% +$0

Politics

9% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	76	$28.5K	17,053	12,464	+4,589	open	—	03-04 17:35
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	111	$19.8K	21,363	22,932	-1,569	open	—	03-30 15:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	28	$19.4K	8,948	10,589	-1,642	open	—	06-12 12:33
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	65	$15.8K	7,487	8,833	-1,346	No	+$14	03-09 05:51
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	71	$15.8K	7,258	8,858	-1,600	open	—	06-12 12:55
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	32	$15.7K	15,550	1,170	+14,380	open	—	03-01 14:26
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	8	$13.1K	6,693	6,693	+0	open	—	06-18 15:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	21	$12.1K	2,668	10,412	-7,743	open	—	06-12 16:54
will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	10	$8.0K	3,567	4,519	-952	open	—	06-18 14:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	20	$6.8K	3,700	3,600	+100	open	—	06-12 16:04
will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	26	$6.2K	3,140	3,140	+0	open	—	03-18 15:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	576	$6.2K	3,299	3,140	+159	open	—	02-18 11:45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	23	$5.5K	2,599	3,164	-565	open	—	06-11 21:59
will revoluts valuation hit low 77pt5b by july 31 20260630204859530	2	$5.0K	4,296	1,262	+3,034	open	—	07-08 16:45
jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	36	$4.4K	8,967	443	+8,524	open	—	01-13 07:24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	32	$4.3K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	06-12 16:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	41	$3.8K	1,679	2,416	-737	open	—	03-12 16:28
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	57	$3.4K	3,319	557	+2,763	open	—	04-15 07:51
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	37	$3.2K	1,555	1,713	-159	open	—	05-01 05:45
will openais valuation hit low 600b by june 30	8	$3.2K	1,610	1,610	+0	open	—	06-23 20:14
will crude oil cl settle at 70 75 in march 528	34	$3.0K	1,531	1,531	+0	open	—	03-27 01:08
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	3	$2.8K	1,404	1,404	+0	open	—	03-24 15:16
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?	60	$2.8K	5,963	6,563	-600	open	—	03-04 09:36
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	11	$2.8K	1,900	1,100	+800	open	—	06-12 17:05
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	6	$2.7K	1,800	1,000	+800	open	—	06-12 16:55
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	24	$2.6K	2,500	561	+1,939	open	—	01-25 20:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	40	$2.5K	2,295	2,300	-5	open	—	06-12 16:59
will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	4	$2.4K	2,486	0	+2,486	open	—	06-24 18:12
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	14	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-12 14:10
will databricks valuation hit low 130b by december 31	1	$2.1K	2,478	0	+2,478	open	—	07-17 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 20:55:27	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xd3b166…
07-31 19:05:09	situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	No	BUY	73	82¢	$59	0x0fe05a…
07-30 05:56:17	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x488641…
07-28 17:54:22	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	700	84¢	$587	0x914355…
07-28 07:03:49	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xa3151f…
07-26 20:15:33	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	No	BUY	411	4¢	$16	0xd26486…
07-25 09:53:43	will procter gamble say currency during earnings call 20260717164206372	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x23468e…
07-25 07:19:33	will procter gamble say portfolio during earnings call 20260717164206376	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x191d3f…
07-25 07:10:37	will procter gamble say supply during earnings call 20260717164206378	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xbac19b…
07-25 07:08:57	will procter gamble say innovation 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206367	Yes	BUY	76	94¢	$72	0xd7ede6…
07-25 07:08:49	will procter gamble say consumer 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206369	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x43eba7…
07-25 07:08:28	will procter gamble say consumer 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206369	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xa917e2…
07-25 07:08:04	will procter gamble say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206365	Yes	BUY	39	94¢	$36	0x2900d0…
07-24 17:01:03	will databricks valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184745124	No	BUY	569	79¢	$449	0x4762ab…
07-24 14:23:54	will procter gamble say insolvency during earnings call 20260717164206377	No	BUY	308	92¢	$283	0xab7e06…
07-24 14:17:12	will procter gamble say portfolio during earnings call 20260717164206376	Yes	BUY	62	98¢	$60	0x81a992…
07-24 14:16:43	will procter gamble say category during earnings call 20260717164206375	Yes	BUY	303	98¢	$299	0x81114e…
07-24 14:16:00	will procter gamble say collusion during earnings call 20260717164206373	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0xda8c87…
07-24 14:11:13	will procter gamble say profit 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206370	No	BUY	57	96¢	$54	0xa86ddb…
07-24 14:05:06	will procter gamble say income 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206364	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0xf30c82…
07-24 14:05:06	will procter gamble say income 10 times during earnings call 20260717164206364	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6e8d5c…
07-24 03:29:25	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xead1ef…
07-24 03:25:34	bgc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt34	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x1cd13a…
07-24 03:21:15	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3f0749…
07-24 03:09:57	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2ef96d…
07-24 03:01:13	bgc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt34	No	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x0f387e…
07-24 02:24:46	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd6dd35…
07-24 01:01:19	will american express say restaurant during earnings call 20260717164416063	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xdec660…
07-24 00:59:19	will verizon say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260713183952371	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xd8fd75…
07-24 00:58:34	bgc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 30 2026 0pt34	No	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x11b2c3…
07-23 22:10:43	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc9f86c…
07-23 21:13:18	will american express say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260717164416061	No	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x876952…
07-23 20:40:07	will american express say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260717164416061	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xbdd1d0…
07-23 20:20:01	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe4e8bd…
07-23 19:56:13	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x18ec51…
07-23 19:51:19	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc8467b…
07-23 19:41:24	will american express say expense during earnings call 20260717164416070	Yes	BUY	155	99¢	$153	0x9388d0…
07-23 19:39:52	will american express say commercial during earnings call 20260717164416069	Yes	BUY	438	83¢	$365	0x2aa9a2…
07-23 19:35:36	will american express say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717164416060	Yes	BUY	346	99¢	$342	0xb6702f…
07-23 19:32:15	will verizon say america during earnings call 20260713183952384	Yes	BUY	41	57¢	$23	0x439add…
07-23 19:30:46	will verizon say churn during earnings call 20260713183952382	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x0eaeea…
07-23 19:30:22	will verizon say leverage during earnings call 20260713183952381	Yes	BUY	41	79¢	$32	0xfcf54d…
07-23 19:26:24	will verizon say fiber during earnings call 20260713183952374	Yes	BUY	224	98¢	$221	0x0de54f…
07-23 19:25:51	will verizon say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260713183952373	Yes	BUY	125	99¢	$124	0xca1b7a…
07-23 19:24:30	will verizon say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260713183952371	Yes	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xd2540e…
07-23 18:47:07	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x65c0ba…
07-23 18:17:34	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe4442e…
07-23 17:11:01	hum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 7	No	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0x2e8fde…
07-23 17:10:52	hum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 7	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x2ea37d…
07-23 16:57:27	hum quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 7	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x2b0f5f…
07-23 16:43:06	will intel say income 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650070	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x90c934…
07-23 16:42:58	will intel say income 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650070	No	BUY	68	95¢	$65	0xa9fca1…
07-23 16:38:49	will intel say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650071	Yes	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0x78f37a…
07-23 16:23:01	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x08f088…
07-23 15:58:28	will intel say foundry during earnings call 20260717163650088	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x646bb9…
07-23 15:57:52	will intel say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650072	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0xd5d6ef…
07-23 12:39:21	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x8685b8…
07-23 10:35:09	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1117a0…
07-23 09:29:27	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x13b41e…
07-23 08:35:01	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	No	BUY	280	7¢	$20	0xc2a95e…
07-23 08:34:06	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2fc87a…
07-23 08:32:51	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x7a1305…
07-23 07:35:06	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x6cad75…
07-23 07:02:43	will intel say fiscal 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650072	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3e0972…
07-23 06:22:01	will intel say china during earnings call 20260717163650085	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x7ad01b…
07-23 06:19:42	will intel say china during earnings call 20260717163650085	No	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0x990990…
07-23 06:09:22	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$248	0x64384c…
07-23 06:05:55	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x35b727…
07-23 05:50:03	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xbb9242…
07-23 04:31:57	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xd72c0c…
07-23 04:22:04	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0xef4f73…
07-23 04:18:34	will meta dip to 420 in july 2026	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5b5b71…
07-23 03:32:49	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa83203…
07-23 03:30:55	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6b75b3…
07-23 03:24:40	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x20efc8…
07-23 03:19:25	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4f94b2…
07-23 03:11:37	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xe75ba9…
07-23 03:04:04	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x137125…
07-23 03:02:18	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x21c849…
07-23 01:25:51	will intel say growth 5 times during earnings call 20260717163650073	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xb8251c…
07-23 00:36:46	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5 by july 31 20260629184740279	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x85787d…
07-23 00:08:25	hood quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt43	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe1b88c…
07-22 21:10:46	will intel say backlog during earnings call 20260717163650086	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xab683e…
07-22 21:08:33	will intel say backlog during earnings call 20260717163650086	Yes	BUY	55	48¢	$26	0x97d672…
07-22 21:02:22	will intel say government during earnings call 20260717163650079	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xc8e8ed…
07-22 21:02:21	will intel say tool during earnings call 20260717163650076	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x4f9d2d…
07-22 20:15:25	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x782968…
07-22 20:14:06	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$1	0xe5b9eb…
07-22 19:40:15	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	Yes	BUY	136	69¢	$94	0xea60a6…
07-22 18:03:42	will intel say foundry during earnings call 20260717163650088	Yes	BUY	115	99¢	$114	0x25608b…
07-22 18:02:28	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 30 2026 1pt82	No	BUY	89	4¢	$4	0xd41c44…
07-22 18:02:01	will intel say cpu or central processing unit during earnings call 20260717163650083	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xeb5e91…
07-22 17:53:24	will intel say quarter 10 times during earnings call 20260717163650071	Yes	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0x31fc66…
07-22 17:02:52	untitled market 1 20260629172240684	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x70c0e1…
07-22 17:00:42	will databricks valuation hit high 170 by july 31 20260629184745125	Yes	BUY	685	60¢	$410	0x7db1cc…
07-22 16:03:22	googl quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 2pt89	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8066fb…
07-22 15:45:43	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x82d442…
07-22 15:27:21	will databricks valuation hit high 200 by july 31 20260629184745122	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x79c474…
07-22 15:24:34	will databricks valuation hit low 145 by july 31 20260629184745128	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5839b3…
07-22 15:24:12	will databricks valuation hit low 140 by july 31 20260629184745129	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf294e6…