Turbulent-Notepad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$555

Unrealized P&L

+$71

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

4,998

lifetime

Volume

$380.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$641

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-30 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

54% 57% +$555

Tech

26% — —

Politics

11% — —

Sports

9% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	+461	$379	92¢	$424	+$45	06-15 15:43
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+200	$151	81¢	$162	+$12	05-28 12:42
Ramp IPO before 2027?	No	-50	$-45	90¢	$-45	+$0	06-27 08:53
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	-100	$-23	11¢	$-11	+$12	06-01 16:16
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	+0	$-2	100¢	$0	+$2	06-17 07:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	76	$28.5K	17,053	12,464	+4,589	open	—	03-04 17:35
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	111	$19.8K	21,363	22,932	-1,569	open	—	03-30 15:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	28	$19.4K	8,948	10,589	-1,642	open	—	06-12 12:33
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	65	$15.8K	7,487	8,833	-1,346	No	+$14	03-09 05:51
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	71	$15.8K	7,258	8,858	-1,600	open	—	06-12 12:55
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	32	$15.7K	15,550	1,170	+14,380	open	—	03-01 14:26
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	8	$13.1K	6,693	6,693	+0	open	—	06-18 15:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	21	$12.1K	2,668	10,412	-7,743	open	—	06-12 16:54
will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	10	$8.0K	3,567	4,519	-952	open	—	06-18 14:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	20	$6.8K	3,700	3,600	+100	open	—	06-12 16:04
will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	26	$6.2K	3,140	3,140	+0	open	—	03-18 15:43
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	576	$6.2K	3,299	3,140	+159	open	—	02-18 11:45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	23	$5.5K	2,599	3,164	-565	open	—	06-11 21:59
jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	36	$4.4K	8,967	443	+8,524	open	—	01-13 07:24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	32	$4.3K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	06-12 16:16
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	41	$3.8K	1,679	2,416	-737	open	—	03-12 16:28
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	57	$3.4K	3,319	557	+2,763	open	—	04-15 07:51
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	37	$3.2K	1,555	1,713	-159	open	—	05-01 05:45
will openais valuation hit low 600b by june 30	8	$3.2K	1,610	1,610	+0	open	—	06-23 20:14
will crude oil cl settle at 70 75 in march 528	34	$3.0K	1,531	1,531	+0	open	—	03-27 01:08
will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	3	$2.8K	1,404	1,404	+0	open	—	03-24 15:16
Polymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?	60	$2.8K	5,963	6,563	-600	open	—	03-04 09:36
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	11	$2.8K	1,900	1,100	+800	open	—	06-12 17:05
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	6	$2.7K	1,800	1,000	+800	open	—	06-12 16:55
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	24	$2.6K	2,500	561	+1,939	open	—	01-25 20:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	40	$2.5K	2,295	2,300	-5	open	—	06-12 16:59
will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	4	$2.4K	2,486	0	+2,486	open	—	06-24 18:12
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	14	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-12 14:10
will canvas valuation hit low 37pt5b by june 30	7	$2.1K	2,136	196	+1,940	open	—	06-23 23:52
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.50 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,082	1,082	-0	open	—	05-30 04:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 07:32:37	will the announcers say pressure 5 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526250	Yes	BUY	125	94¢	$118	0x8b641e…
07-01 07:31:14	will the announcers say corner 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526248	Yes	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x7704e9…
07-01 07:30:10	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526247	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x735327…
06-30 23:58:29	will the announcers say what a save during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526261	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x06788d…
06-30 23:31:41	will the announcers say magic during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526258	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6e5a60…
06-30 23:28:25	will the announcers say magic during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526258	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xdf8cae…
06-30 23:26:16	will the announcers say wild during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526255	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x44a27a…
06-30 23:23:17	will the announcers say challenge 5 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526249	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb96c1d…
06-30 23:19:13	will the announcers say what a save during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526261	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xf837b4…
06-30 23:09:58	will the announcers say messi during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526267	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xc47bc7…
06-30 23:09:55	will the announcers say presence during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034681	No	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x8132ef…
06-30 23:08:38	will the announcers say presence during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034681	No	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x90c5f6…
06-30 22:33:22	will the announcers say champions league during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343706	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2ef42b…
06-30 22:32:29	will the announcers say aggressive during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526253	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7e076d…
06-30 22:11:40	will the announcers say presence during the england vs dr congo fifa world cup match 20260630205034681	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x3b5ac8…
06-30 22:04:43	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154105	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xd26ffe…
06-30 22:04:02	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154105	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd10ae4…
06-30 22:03:37	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154105	No	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x7623f3…
06-30 22:03:26	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the usa vs bosnia herzegovina fifa world cup match 20260630205154105	No	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0xdebd5f…
06-30 21:45:32	will the announcers say ronaldo during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526268	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0xd5f7cf…
06-30 21:30:56	will the announcers say ronaldo during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526268	Yes	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x70e90c…
06-30 21:23:53	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x41ce7d…
06-30 21:08:26	will the announcers say kylian or mbappe 30 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343699	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$58	0x221e61…
06-30 21:07:25	will the announcers say champions league during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343706	Yes	BUY	60	99¢	$59	0x3187c5…
06-30 21:03:53	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343717	Yes	BUY	63	99¢	$62	0xde1afb…
06-30 20:46:29	will the announcers say much anticipated during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343710	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x359668…
06-30 20:45:05	will the announcers say much anticipated during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343710	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x225c39…
06-30 20:09:07	will the announcers say vulnerable during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343707	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x005afe…
06-30 20:08:38	will the announcers say kylian or mbappe 30 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343699	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x75fbcc…
06-30 20:08:10	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343698	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x51ab81…
06-30 20:02:55	will the announcers say kylian or mbappe 30 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343699	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x1fec6e…
06-30 20:01:35	will the announcers say kylian or mbappe 30 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343699	Yes	BUY	203	95¢	$194	0x878dea…
06-30 20:01:23	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343698	Yes	BUY	19	80¢	$16	0x668aea…
06-30 19:54:53	will the announcers say assist during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343713	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x27b24a…
06-30 19:40:29	will the announcers say make a decision during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343708	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x50b278…
06-30 19:38:11	will the announcers say make a decision during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343708	No	BUY	27	88¢	$23	0xee8014…
06-30 19:37:55	will the announcers say world cup finals during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343704	Yes	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0xfd96ec…
06-30 19:36:22	will the announcers say aggressive during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526253	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xee4ce8…
06-30 19:36:22	will the announcers say aggressive during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526253	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x5abc87…
06-30 19:32:46	will the announcers say golden boot during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343715	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7e2590…
06-30 19:21:58	will the announcers say assist during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343713	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x601cfa…
06-30 19:11:05	will the announcers say ronaldo during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343721	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xabd6bc…
06-30 17:28:23	will the announcers say ronaldo during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526268	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5613fd…
06-30 16:37:28	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	Yes	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0x00da0d…
06-30 16:36:31	will the announcers say assist during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343713	Yes	BUY	79	83¢	$65	0x524286…
06-30 16:32:47	will the announcers say goal 60 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343698	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x9a1ba7…
06-30 16:05:07	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	Yes	BUY	93	86¢	$80	0x372843…
06-30 15:05:55	will the announcers say top of the pitch during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343703	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x63afb0…
06-30 15:05:55	will the announcers say top of the pitch during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343703	Yes	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x2de552…
06-30 14:56:23	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343719	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x43f8b2…
06-30 14:55:25	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xced3da…
06-30 14:53:08	will the announcers say top of the pitch during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343703	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x84c120…
06-30 14:50:13	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	Yes	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0xd68769…
06-30 14:13:02	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	Yes	BUY	113	86¢	$97	0x4b6643…
06-30 14:08:25	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x09c4cb…
06-30 14:00:46	will the announcers say champions league during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343706	Yes	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x759678…
06-30 13:46:23	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526247	No	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xd9322b…
06-30 13:31:58	will the announcers say challenge 5 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526249	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x768da2…
06-30 13:29:34	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf67a5b…
06-30 12:32:35	will the announcers say make a decision during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343708	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xb6ebc6…
06-30 12:30:07	will the announcers say make a decision during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343708	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xb71594…
06-30 11:41:38	will the announcers say make a decision during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343708	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x097b88…
06-30 10:45:58	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526247	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8e1363…
06-30 10:27:41	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x924f69…
06-30 10:11:20	will the announcers say what a save during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526261	No	BUY	94	72¢	$68	0xaabc11…
06-30 09:50:32	will the announcers say what a save during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526261	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xf6fcdc…
06-30 09:33:37	will the announcers say what a save during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526261	No	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xe318f3…
06-30 09:23:10	will the announcers say what a save during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526261	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc58ac0…
06-30 08:40:25	will the announcers say what a save during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526261	No	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0x1e32e0…
06-30 08:39:32	will the announcers say world cup finals during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343704	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xbb4123…
06-30 08:15:46	will the announcers say magic during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526258	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x194b91…
06-30 07:46:10	will the announcers say make a decision during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343708	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xcc750b…
06-30 07:11:10	will the announcers say magic during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526258	Yes	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0xe15880…
06-30 07:06:50	will the announcers say throw in during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526252	Yes	SELL	60	63¢	$38	0x3ccdb4…
06-30 07:06:50	will the announcers say throw in during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526252	No	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x3ccdb4…
06-30 07:05:59	will the announcers say messi during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526267	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x608995…
06-30 06:54:25	will the announcers say throw in during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526252	Yes	BUY	60	61¢	$37	0x01e06b…
06-30 06:53:52	will the announcers say magic during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526258	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2c8f56…
06-30 06:51:05	will the announcers say ronaldo during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343721	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x75f5e7…
06-30 06:47:56	will the announcers say vulnerable during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343707	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xc546d7…
06-30 06:41:46	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x1b532b…
06-30 06:40:01	nathans famous hot dog eating contest total hdbs ou 704pt8 20260626152700921	Over	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x078fc3…
06-30 06:34:17	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	Yes	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x69345e…
06-30 06:24:56	will the announcers say attacking presence during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343711	No	BUY	160	90¢	$144	0xd1fa31…
06-30 06:18:19	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526264	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6d9c42…
06-30 05:43:40	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526264	Yes	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x052394…
06-30 05:21:28	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	Yes	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x2fa46f…
06-30 04:51:34	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x76e3b8…
06-30 04:50:01	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb9bb6a…
06-30 04:31:22	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0d277d…
06-30 04:30:44	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526247	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x99a291…
06-30 04:30:19	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343717	No	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xaf23b9…
06-30 04:30:11	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343717	No	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x89c141…
06-30 04:19:01	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x23f1ec…
06-30 04:17:53	will the announcers say much anticipated during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343710	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xed40bd…
06-30 04:17:28	will the announcers say quick strike during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343709	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xd5f7cb…
06-30 04:16:35	will the announcers say make a decision during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343708	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xa58240…
06-30 04:12:32	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343717	No	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x2b57c2…
06-30 04:12:02	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343717	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x2eaa31…
06-30 04:11:29	will the announcers say what a save during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343714	Yes	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x9463c0…