Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?
open
Total volume
$1,278
$638 in 24h
Trades
68
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$2,475
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-21 12:15
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $41 | $24 | +$17 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $44 | $445 | $401 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $7 | $13 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $72 | $36 | +$36 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $6 | $379 | $373 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| Median | 3 | $29 | — | +$29 |
| Below median | 6 | $4 | $5 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $16 | $79 | $63 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $40 | — | +$40 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | $24 | $24 |
| unranked | 4 | $45 | $31 | +$14 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turbulent-Notepad 0xd555…e28a | No | +461 | $379 | $379 | 3 | 06-15 15:43 |
| Pungent-Meet 0xda00…d823 | Yes | +150 | $27 | $27 | 6 | 06-15 15:43 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +82 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 06-06 03:29 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +82 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 06-06 03:29 |
| Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | +73 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-31 20:19 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +63 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-08 06:07 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-31 20:19 |
| Official-Security 0x8c65…dcf7 | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-29 03:56 |
| Those-Marines 0xa2d1…d015 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-16 03:21 |
| Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-16 03:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7bb0…8a46 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x537c…1c5b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-17 01:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $6 | 5 | 06-21 12:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aa7…db14 | Yes | +2 | $9 | $71 | 4 | 06-08 06:07 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 12:15:25 | Unfinished-Length 0x5447…19c8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x51f2fd… |
| 06-21 12:15:25 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x51f2fd… |
| 06-17 06:48:37 | (anonymous) 0x5aa7…db14 | No | SELL | 38 | 78¢ | $30 | 0x24e138… |
| 06-17 06:48:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 38 | 22¢ | $8 | 0x24e138… |
| 06-17 01:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x537c…1c5b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x75687e… |
| 06-17 01:47:55 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x75687e… |
| 06-16 03:21:51 | Poor-Tavern 0x8304…f086 | No | BUY | 14 | 88¢ | $13 | 0xb48124… |
| 06-16 03:21:51 | Those-Marines 0xa2d1…d015 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb48124… |
| 06-15 15:43:15 | Those-Marines 0xa2d1…d015 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x800b03… |
| 06-15 15:43:15 | (anonymous) 0x7bb0…8a46 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x800b03… |
| 06-15 15:43:13 | Pungent-Meet 0xda00…d823 | Yes | BUY | 114 | 18¢ | $21 | 0x308211… |
| 06-15 15:43:13 | Turbulent-Notepad 0xd555…e28a | No | BUY | 361 | 84¢ | $303 | 0x308211… |
| 06-15 15:43:13 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x308211… |
| 06-15 15:43:13 | Utter-Example 0x64a3…450a | No | SELL | 240 | 85¢ | $204 | 0x308211… |
| 06-15 08:18:30 | Pungent-Meet 0xda00…d823 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x0db3b7… |
| 06-15 08:18:30 | (anonymous) 0xd59a…ac7f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x0db3b7… |
| 06-15 08:08:46 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xbe56fa… |
| 06-15 08:08:46 | (anonymous) 0xd59a…ac7f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xbe56fa… |
| 06-09 10:28:27 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x1f79fe… |
| 06-09 10:28:27 | Pungent-Meet 0xda00…d823 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x1f79fe… |
| 06-09 03:00:34 | Pungent-Meet 0xda00…d823 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x7de44a… |
| 06-09 03:00:34 | (anonymous) 0x5aa7…db14 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x7de44a… |
| 06-09 02:49:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x432f36… |
| 06-09 02:49:36 | Pungent-Meet 0xda00…d823 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x432f36… |
| 06-09 02:49:36 | (anonymous) 0x5aa7…db14 | No | BUY | 18 | 81¢ | $15 | 0x432f36… |
| 06-08 06:07:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 24 | 81¢ | $19 | 0x0aa97e… |
| 06-08 06:07:04 | (anonymous) 0x5aa7…db14 | Yes | SELL | 163 | 19¢ | $31 | 0x0aa97e… |
| 06-08 06:07:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x0aa97e… |
| 06-08 06:07:04 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x0aa97e… |
| 06-08 06:07:04 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 39 | 82¢ | $32 | 0x0aa97e… |
| 06-08 06:07:04 | Pungent-Meet 0xda00…d823 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x0aa97e… |
| 06-08 06:03:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xed2d31… |
| 06-08 06:03:03 | (anonymous) 0x5aa7…db14 | Yes | BUY | 84 | 24¢ | $20 | 0xed2d31… |
| 06-08 06:03:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 24 | 76¢ | $18 | 0xed2d31… |
| 06-08 06:03:03 | Turbulent-Notepad 0xd555…e28a | No | BUY | 54 | 76¢ | $41 | 0xed2d31… |
| 06-08 04:15:42 | (anonymous) 0x5aa7…db14 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x2bb274… |
| 06-08 04:15:42 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 4 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x2bb274… |
| 06-08 04:15:22 | Turbulent-Notepad 0xd555…e28a | No | BUY | 46 | 76¢ | $35 | 0xf15915… |
| 06-08 04:15:22 | (anonymous) 0x5aa7…db14 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 24¢ | $20 | 0xf15915… |
| 06-08 04:15:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 39 | 23¢ | $9 | 0xf15915… |
| 06-06 04:09:58 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x9a6d7e… |
| 06-06 04:09:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x9a6d7e… |
| 06-06 03:29:57 | Familiar-Drink 0xa667…84fe | No | SELL | 82 | 81¢ | $66 | 0xf67924… |
| 06-06 03:29:57 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 82 | 81¢ | $66 | 0xf67924… |
| 06-06 03:29:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xf67924… |
| 06-06 03:29:55 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 7 | 79¢ | $6 | 0xb81da3… |
| 06-06 03:29:55 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xb81da3… |
| 06-06 03:29:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xb81da3… |
| 06-06 03:29:55 | Separate-Tongue 0xba71…725b | Yes | SELL | 129 | 20¢ | $26 | 0xb81da3… |
| 06-06 03:29:55 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 20¢ | $16 | 0xb81da3… |
| 06-03 22:14:39 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 36 | 82¢ | $30 | 0x7e5704… |
| 06-03 22:14:39 | (anonymous) 0xb8ed…156f | Yes | SELL | 36 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x7e5704… |
| 06-03 22:14:34 | (anonymous) 0xb8ed…156f | No | SELL | 37 | 77¢ | $29 | 0xd3ad7c… |
| 06-03 22:14:34 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $6 | 0xd3ad7c… |
| 06-03 22:14:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0xd3ad7c… |
| 06-03 12:59:40 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x329072… |
| 06-03 12:59:40 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x329072… |
| 05-31 20:19:59 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 18¢ | $13 | 0x19f6dc… |
| 05-31 20:19:59 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 18¢ | $13 | 0x19f6dc… |
| 05-31 20:19:52 | Worse-Teammate 0xbe91…59c8 | Yes | SELL | 133 | 20¢ | $27 | 0xbfb7d0… |
| 05-31 20:19:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xbfb7d0… |
| 05-31 20:19:52 | Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xbfb7d0… |
| 05-31 20:19:52 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 20¢ | $15 | 0xbfb7d0… |
| 05-29 03:56:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xab4e9b… |
| 05-29 03:56:13 | Official-Security 0x8c65…dcf7 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xab4e9b… |
| 05-29 03:55:48 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x7d2d10… |
| 05-29 03:55:48 | Official-Security 0x8c65…dcf7 | No | SELL | 46 | 81¢ | $37 | 0x7d2d10… |
| 05-29 03:55:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x7d2d10… |