Realized P&L
+$143
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,077
lifetime
Volume
$15.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$36
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 06-27 15:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
61% 100% +$4
Politics
34% 100% +$138
Tech
4%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? No -18 $-15 99¢ $-18 $-3 06-23 11:38
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -137 $-5 $-6 $-0 06-23 08:38
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes -70 $-4 $-4 +$0 06-23 08:39
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes -50 $-4 $-4 +$1 06-23 08:39
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +19 $5 16¢ $3 $-2 06-05 17:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes -500 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-27 15:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes -80 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-26 15:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes -140 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-26 15:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -83 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-26 15:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -80 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-26 15:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes -67 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-05 17:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -40 $3 $-0 $-3 06-26 15:39