Actual-Jaguar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$143

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,107

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 08-04 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$4

Politics

34% 100% +$138

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	19	$706	3,053	3,153	-100	open	—	07-20 01:40
will undertone opening weekend box office be between 9m and 10m	13	$706	366	471	-105	open	—	03-20 23:50
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	9	$410	317	317	+0	open	—	03-01 07:45
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	7	$407	317	347	-30	open	—	04-04 08:24
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	6	$328	437	437	+0	open	—	02-28 04:47
will mrbeasts next video get between 55 and 57 million views on day 3	7	$299	277	277	+0	open	—	03-10 16:35
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	2	$288	0	289	-289	open	—	06-12 22:04
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	4	$270	191	191	+0	open	—	04-04 08:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	10	$257	414	255	+158	open	—	03-21 19:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$235	135	135	+0	open	—	04-04 08:25
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 70m and 75m	10	$234	126	126	+0	open	—	03-21 19:05
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	15	$222	233	233	+0	open	—	03-07 17:03
will they will kill you opening weekend box office be less than 5m	7	$210	154	154	+0	open	—	03-29 16:18
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	2	$198	99	99	+0	open	—	03-12 01:03
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	4	$185	104	104	+0	open	—	03-29 15:38
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$181	725	725	+0	open	—	05-15 21:57
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	4	$170	126	126	+0	open	—	03-13 00:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	2	$168	120	120	+0	open	—	06-26 22:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$159	231	109	+122	Yes	+$134	05-08 19:12
deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	4	$158	100	100	+0	open	—	04-14 15:45
will mrbeasts latest video get between 64 and 65 million views on day 4	7	$150	328	0	+328	open	—	04-07 15:06
will mrbeast hit 515 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858517	4	$148	300	300	+0	open	—	07-10 02:36
will the addams family be the top us netflix movie this week	9	$136	72	72	+0	open	—	03-03 20:58
will qatar strike iran by march 31	3	$136	83	76	+7	open	—	03-10 15:59
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be between 190m and 200m	4	$127	256	28	+228	open	—	04-05 19:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$126	125	28	+96	open	—	04-06 20:34
will mrbeasts next video get between 37pt5 and 38pt0 million views on day 5	3	$124	104	119	-15	open	—	02-26 16:41
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$124	160	160	+0	open	—	04-09 22:16
Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?	9	$121	210	100	+110	open	—	04-27 20:54
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	4	$118	130	0	+130	open	—	06-03 20:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 17:55:39	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	165	3¢	$5	0xa07d26…
08-04 14:20:21	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8825b6…
08-03 09:34:51	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x84310c…
07-27 15:12:22	will mrbeast hit 135 billion views by july 31 20260623145506502	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5d22be…
07-26 10:23:55	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0xb36492…
07-25 04:15:30	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	Yes	SELL	107	2¢	$3	0x2f2c01…
07-23 23:40:33	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xc69c21…
07-23 23:08:40	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xe94c48…
07-23 13:46:42	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x877012…
07-23 02:38:58	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x21fda0…
07-20 08:18:45	will mrbeast hit 135 billion views by july 31 20260623145506502	Yes	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0x08f603…
07-20 01:40:00	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	SELL	493	0¢	$0	0xe6857b…
07-19 18:12:01	will mrbeast hit 135 billion views by july 31 20260623145506502	No	BUY	38	15¢	$6	0x7e43a6…
07-19 18:10:30	will mrbeast hit 135 billion views by july 31 20260623145506502	Yes	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xe3add8…
07-18 21:33:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xbb9fbd…
07-18 21:33:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x0c84ed…
07-18 21:31:00	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x7d5733…
07-18 18:18:55	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	SELL	335	0¢	$0	0x6b1cd7…
07-14 06:28:17	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0x57b088…
07-14 04:22:20	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	SELL	304	0¢	$2	0xaaf856…
07-14 03:49:53	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xe77426…
07-13 21:19:58	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	SELL	367	0¢	$2	0x8e4cca…
07-10 02:37:25	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	Yes	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x24906e…
07-10 02:36:50	will mrbeast hit 515 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858517	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$3	0x4551ed…
07-10 02:35:55	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	SELL	1,605	0¢	$3	0x712f07…
07-06 06:22:17	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	61	32¢	$19	0x6f91e1…
07-03 02:49:31	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?	Yes	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0xdbece2…
07-02 14:51:44	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	40	68¢	$27	0xd2671b…
06-27 15:57:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x040f03…
06-27 11:42:32	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	Yes	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x785405…
06-27 05:11:13	will mrbeast hit 134pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506501	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf1da89…
06-26 22:56:11	will mrbeast hit 512 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858516	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8bdfca…
06-26 22:52:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x7b692a…
06-26 15:40:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0xa96b6b…
06-26 15:39:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0x7baeac…
06-26 15:39:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x7cab69…
06-26 15:39:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	80	0¢	$0	0x647267…
06-26 15:39:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	261	0¢	$0	0x3a8f54…
06-26 15:39:35	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0x190719…
06-25 18:07:25	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x043552…
06-25 18:07:17	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	18	15¢	$3	0x0439a9…
06-25 18:07:07	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0xf1e350…
06-25 17:56:49	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x003dc1…
06-25 01:43:53	will mrbeast hit 135pt5 billion views by july 31 20260623145506503	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x50ecad…
06-25 01:38:43	will mrbeast hit 515 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858517	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xcee1ae…
06-24 23:12:50	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	No	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xc96202…
06-24 17:33:50	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xdc898e…
06-24 17:24:25	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x62b0ad…
06-24 12:37:16	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	74	10¢	$7	0xfad7b7…
06-24 12:12:40	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	116	15¢	$17	0x017710…
06-24 12:10:08	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0x9888b4…
06-24 12:05:13	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x7f5bd6…
06-24 07:33:23	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x2235ad…
06-23 22:18:53	will mrbeast hit 520 million subscribers by july 31 20260623145858518	Yes	BUY	2,099	25¢	$528	0xa6ee1d…
06-23 11:38:58	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x0cd57d…
06-23 11:38:38	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by june 30 2026	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xeea73f…
06-23 09:52:17	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x44ed63…
06-23 09:52:02	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9cfa48…
06-23 08:39:10	Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xe4a386…
06-23 08:39:07	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0xff79f5…
06-23 08:38:58	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	4¢	$5	0xcb4e03…
06-17 13:30:35	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x793b49…
06-17 10:00:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa6a15a…
06-17 09:59:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x135c8b…
06-17 09:59:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xeb5701…
06-17 09:58:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5a9e51…
06-17 09:58:35	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe54522…
06-17 09:56:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7,460	0¢	$15	0xd3579c…
06-17 09:55:59	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	4,975	0¢	$10	0x76eadc…
06-17 09:51:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	221	1¢	$3	0xc15a1c…
06-17 07:42:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0x0e114d…
06-17 06:37:02	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0x308618…
06-13 16:10:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xa5e971…
06-13 08:01:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x42f495…
06-13 08:00:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	No	BUY	70	36¢	$25	0x271119…
06-13 08:00:48	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 18	No	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x295c08…
06-13 07:52:30	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x9ffd09…
06-13 07:44:45	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xa12a40…
06-13 07:41:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xd2df90…
06-13 07:20:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	BUY	150	17¢	$26	0xdb07ef…
06-12 22:06:10	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x2b89ab…
06-12 22:05:15	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xa3ac04…
06-12 22:04:27	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	157	100¢	$156	0xc1ed5f…
06-12 21:44:25	Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?	Yes	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0xe36f31…
06-11 21:25:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xb3473d…
06-11 20:36:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x16bb21…
06-11 20:35:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x3360dd…
06-11 08:14:15	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	No	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0xa81f60…
06-11 08:14:15	gpt 5pt6 released by june 23 2026	No	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0x81369c…
06-11 06:48:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0x79b9a7…
06-10 01:48:07	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550	No	BUY	48	68¢	$32	0x987d26…
06-09 14:06:42	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x794a8e…
06-09 04:48:22	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3b226b…
06-09 04:47:31	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x67ecbe…
06-09 04:47:06	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xe0da5e…
06-06 05:28:24	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x3ec2d7…
06-05 17:23:49	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd4cb76…
06-05 17:23:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	Yes	SELL	67	3¢	$2	0x420491…
06-05 15:09:34	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x575fe3…
06-03 20:51:21	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 10 2026	No	BUY	85	91¢	$77	0x2ab303…