Official-Security — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,398

lifetime

Volume

$49.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 05:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

71% 50% $-37

Politics

12% 75% +$6

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$14

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	66	$4.3K	4,104	4,043	+61	open	—	03-13 15:50
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$2.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-14 10:43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	49	$2.1K	2,380	2,577	-197	open	—	04-03 05:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	17	$1.8K	1,325	1,260	+65	open	—	06-24 03:22
Fed rate hike in 2026?	20	$1.7K	1,469	1,434	+35	open	—	07-23 13:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	98	$1.6K	5,598	5,309	+289	open	—	05-20 00:55
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	34	$1.6K	3,135	3,695	-560	open	—	03-18 14:08
cbb tx pur 2026 03 26	2	$1.5K	1,000	997	+3	open	—	03-26 01:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	36	$1.4K	777	877	-100	open	—	04-23 01:17
cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	4	$1.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-22 12:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	4	$1.2K	705	750	-45	open	—	06-06 07:11
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	41	$1.2K	663	760	-96	open	—	04-23 14:46
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$1.0K	602	602	+0	open	—	03-23 13:50
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	77	$887	866	1,066	-200	open	—	04-01 15:09
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	7	$840	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-20 05:11
cbb vcu ill 2026 03 21	4	$710	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-21 04:55
trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	29	$692	850	543	+307	open	—	06-12 11:46
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	23	$690	463	463	+0	Yes	$-19	05-10 03:21
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	6	$538	900	900	+0	open	—	03-13 06:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$498	300	300	+0	open	—	03-14 02:34
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	21	$473	614	645	-31	open	—	05-14 02:17
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	9	$461	582	378	+204	open	—	05-05 07:28
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$452	528	528	+0	open	—	03-12 06:35
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	8	$426	600	600	+0	open	—	03-09 06:44
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	10	$405	360	340	+20	open	—	03-22 10:48
chatgpt outage by april 10 942	29	$397	320	355	-35	open	—	04-05 14:41
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	14	$389	273	256	+17	open	—	03-20 14:33
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	20	$368	465	415	+50	open	—	07-16 03:31
starmer out by july 31 2026	5	$358	230	200	+30	open	—	06-20 10:58
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	22	$349	900	900	-0	open	—	03-23 11:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 05:23:33	btc updown 5m 1786339200	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xc26370…
08-08 10:32:09	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xf7b3cd…
08-07 01:13:03	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	BUY	174	22¢	$38	0xa80696…
08-06 09:50:42	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x2f79e7…
08-05 10:10:23	will super typhoon dolphin make landfall at category 4 strength or higher 20260730204039278	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x5b509c…
08-05 08:42:26	will super typhoon dolphin make landfall at category 4 strength or higher 20260730204039278	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xef32e7…
08-02 12:05:35	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x53a8b6…
08-02 09:02:48	btc updown 5m 1785661200	Down	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x6b4b9f…
08-02 09:02:14	btc updown 5m 1785661200	Down	SELL	8	80¢	$6	0xffa626…
08-02 09:01:17	btc updown 5m 1785661200	Down	SELL	16	41¢	$6	0x1dbdde…
08-02 09:00:45	btc updown 5m 1785661200	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xde5e5c…
08-02 08:57:57	btc updown 5m 1785660900	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x07c68d…
08-02 08:54:54	btc updown 5m 1785660600	Up	BUY	64	8¢	$5	0x7328ed…
08-02 08:49:39	btc updown 5m 1785660300	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x71903b…
08-01 14:13:35	will spider man beyond the spider verse be delayed 20260721153952581	No	SELL	23	49¢	$11	0xf80b73…
07-29 14:11:42	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0xa7747d…
07-29 12:31:59	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x5223b0…
07-28 11:09:56	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x4042e9…
07-28 11:09:44	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0xd5d8b0…
07-27 18:01:46	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x5662d8…
07-27 10:28:13	will spider man beyond the spider verse be delayed 20260721153952581	No	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x95bdfe…
07-27 01:05:36	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2t cny 20260722211138918	No	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xa2a6b8…
07-24 13:41:09	mar quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 03 2026 3pt07	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x014d48…
07-24 11:00:01	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x391802…
07-24 10:56:28	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x07b632…
07-24 10:30:10	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0x5ffde6…
07-24 10:29:42	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0xf44826…
07-24 09:59:24	will spider man beyond the spider verse be delayed 20260721153952581	No	BUY	14	46¢	$7	0xe962ba…
07-24 09:47:48	will spider man beyond the spider verse be delayed 20260721153952581	No	BUY	37	45¢	$17	0x61624b…
07-24 05:08:54	will spider man beyond the spider verse be delayed 20260721153952581	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4468e3…
07-24 05:03:21	will spider man beyond the spider verse be delayed 20260721153952581	No	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x4751a6…
07-24 04:34:46	will spider man beyond the spider verse be delayed 20260721153952581	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xbd4041…
07-24 04:34:46	will spider man beyond the spider verse be delayed 20260721153952581	No	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x6de9fb…
07-24 04:32:18	will spider man beyond the spider verse be delayed 20260721153952581	No	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x1bbff5…
07-24 03:59:07	mar quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 03 2026 3pt07	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xc214fc…
07-24 03:03:24	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 65 or higher 20260723190142924	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x00db60…
07-24 01:18:10	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xbd1a07…
07-24 01:18:01	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0x2cb238…
07-23 21:35:21	will the batman part ii be delayed 20260721153609985	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xe76938…
07-23 13:49:03	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2t cny 20260722211138918	No	SELL	45	10¢	$4	0x551db9…
07-23 13:41:27	will the batman part ii be delayed 20260721153609985	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xf90e14…
07-23 13:13:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0xed9487…
07-23 12:50:09	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2t cny 20260722211138918	No	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x7bd20e…
07-23 12:50:06	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2t cny 20260722211138918	No	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xbc51f1…
07-23 11:14:01	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2pt5t cny 20260722211138917	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0xad98a3…
07-23 10:57:36	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 2pt5t cny 20260722211138917	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x00560a…
07-23 09:22:12	will seltzers with 5 thc be legal by november 13 2026 20260721192819155	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4238f3…
07-23 07:23:24	open quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt07	Yes	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xa820fe…
07-23 06:40:15	mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 13pt98	Yes	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x0e15f9…
07-23 05:17:04	will the batman part ii be delayed 20260721153609985	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x912a27…
07-23 01:10:28	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x9bc91e…
07-22 17:21:43	mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 13pt98	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xc94c11…
07-22 14:57:58	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x811db7…
07-22 14:32:03	mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 13pt98	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xb10b14…
07-22 13:30:33	mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 13pt98	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x7de393…
07-22 13:17:45	mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 13pt98	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xdffefe…
07-22 13:14:55	mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 13pt98	Yes	BUY	80	23¢	$18	0xa725c1…
07-22 13:11:37	mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 13pt98	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x508909…
07-22 13:09:22	mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 13pt98	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xba7150…
07-22 13:07:33	mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 13pt98	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf04ac2…
07-22 13:07:28	mpc quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 13pt98	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xe1d974…
07-22 07:50:24	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x899fa9…
07-22 07:16:19	will total crypto market cap hit 2pt75t in 2026 20260721192934668	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xea739f…
07-22 06:25:43	will total crypto market cap hit 3t in 2026 20260721192934667	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc3ea37…
07-22 03:47:00	OKX IPO in 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	10¢	$9	0x380b44…
07-22 03:46:51	OKX IPO in 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	9¢	$10	0xe21b09…
07-22 02:54:28	pfe quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 0pt68	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x304785…
07-22 02:37:52	aptv quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1pt43	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x195177…
07-22 02:15:30	open quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt07	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x2696fb…
07-22 02:01:45	will total crypto market cap hit 2pt75t in 2026 20260721192934668	Yes	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x9f92ed…
07-21 10:43:10	will warsh say oil during july press conference 20260720204109045	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xcd1745…
07-21 10:19:36	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0xfa78a6…
07-21 03:25:19	will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x9ca919…
07-21 03:24:43	will spider man brand new day score at least 85 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026312	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x945e5f…
07-21 03:24:33	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x614708…
07-20 08:11:54	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x282e2a…
07-19 07:47:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	42¢	$10	0xc0b105…
07-19 02:11:10	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x30a568…
07-19 02:10:57	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 20 20260717052446993	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x27d38f…
07-19 02:10:45	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc959c9…
07-19 02:08:46	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x6d9360…
07-18 03:17:18	will michael olise transfer to real madrid 20260717222856707	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe45404…
07-18 02:17:28	will claudia sheinbaum attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357142	Yes	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x497d5b…
07-17 15:36:12	will rosalia attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357136	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x8cc313…
07-17 15:35:46	will rafael nadal attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357138	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7b4a8d…
07-17 15:27:57	will javier milei attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357116	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4fae21…
07-17 15:26:07	will claudia sheinbaum attend the 2026 fifa world cup final 20260716193357142	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xb9dece…
07-17 15:17:36	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 18 20260717052446991	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x410f12…
07-17 14:40:18	lol al kc 2026 07 17	Anyone's Legend	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x604133…
07-17 14:31:12	will the boston celtics make the 2027 nba play in tournament 20260708212312767	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x4c413b…
07-17 08:26:27	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	57¢	$57	0x4d9c6e…
07-17 05:11:16	OKX IPO in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd0ab4c…
07-17 02:10:15	will the chicago bulls make the 2027 nba play in tournament 20260708212312770	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x6c5e00…
07-17 01:22:13	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	49	98¢	$49	0x508748…
07-16 14:18:10	lol g2 dk 2026 07 16	G2 Esports	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf31194…
07-16 10:37:23	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x6ca171…
07-16 10:37:08	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xb8da0d…
07-16 10:33:07	lol hle1 jdg 2026 07 16	JD Gaming	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x348306…
07-16 10:28:35	lol hle1 jdg 2026 07 16	JD Gaming	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe0198d…
07-16 10:14:13	will t1 qualify to ewc 2026 playoffs 20260713213715570	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xf40381…