Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
26.6%
Resolved
18
Trades
2,203
lifetime
Volume
$47.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$383
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 17:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
71% 50% $-37
Politics
13% 75% +$6
Tech
9%
Crypto
5%
Sports
2% 100% +$14
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +96 $90 100¢ $96 +$6 06-08 14:32
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +164 $98 55¢ $89 $-9 06-26 05:27
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? No -46 $-37 92¢ $-42 $-5 05-29 03:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -45 $-39 92¢ $-41 $-2 06-06 07:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +20 $33 99¢ $20 $-13 06-20 10:13
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +148 $15 10¢ $14 $-1 06-14 00:12
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No -12 $-11 100¢ $-12 $-1 05-28 07:30
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-13 36¢ $-11 +$3 06-19 08:42
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +22 $11 36¢ $8 $-3 06-30 10:02
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? Yes -25 $-8 26¢ $-6 +$2 06-21 03:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +15 $8 42¢ $6 $-1 06-03 02:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-5 56¢ $-6 $-1 06-05 13:55
UK Recession in 2026? Yes -20 $-11 27¢ $-5 +$5 06-06 18:29
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $6 $5 $-2 06-02 15:16
Halle Berry as Storm? Yes -10 $-7 46¢ $-5 +$2 06-22 13:02
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? No -10 $-5 34¢ $-3 +$2 06-11 05:04
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -20 $-6 15¢ $-3 +$3 06-09 13:20
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes -10 $-4 26¢ $-3 +$2 05-30 15:36
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 18¢ $2 $-1 06-08 04:44
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +21 $4 $2 $-3 05-29 03:56
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? Yes +12 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-17 03:27
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 06-17 03:27
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 06-17 03:27
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? Yes +9 $1 $0 $-1 06-17 03:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +40 $1 $0 $-1 06-24 03:22
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? Yes +10 $1 $0 $-1 06-17 03:27
AWS service disrupted by June 30? Yes -14 $-4 $-0 +$4 06-12 08:14
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +40 $-1 $0 +$1 06-17 01:16
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? Yes -100 $-5 $-0 +$5 05-27 20:35
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? Yes +18 $0 $0 $-0 06-17 01:14