Official-Security 0x8c6519…99dcf7
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
26.6%
Resolved
18
Trades
2,324
lifetime
Volume
$48.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$215
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 10:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
71% 50% $-37
Politics
12% 75% +$6
Tech
9% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Sports
3% 100% +$14
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -45 $-39 94¢ $-43 $-4 06-06 07:11
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? No -46 $-37 91¢ $-41 $-5 05-29 03:55
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +45 $28 62¢ $28 +$0 07-12 07:37
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +198 $20 8¢ $17 $-3 07-17 05:11
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Yes +22 $11 52¢ $12 +$1 06-30 10:02
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes -29 $-13 40¢ $-11 +$2 07-14 01:50
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes -30 $-13 28¢ $-8 +$5 06-19 08:42
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes -30 $-11 26¢ $-8 +$3 07-14 03:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-5 64¢ $-6 $-1 06-05 13:55
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? Yes -25 $-8 24¢ $-6 +$2 06-21 03:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +15 $8 34¢ $5 $-2 06-03 02:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $-0 46¢ $5 +$5 07-15 16:04
UK Recession in 2026? Yes -20 $-11 16¢ $-3 +$7 06-06 18:29
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +7 $4 37¢ $3 $-1 07-13 08:36
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? Yes -20 $-6 12¢ $-2 +$3 06-09 13:20
Halle Berry as Storm? Yes -10 $-7 22¢ $-2 +$5 06-22 13:02
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $6 4¢ $2 $-4 06-02 15:16
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool? No -10 $-5 20¢ $-2 +$3 06-11 05:04
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +21 $4 9¢ $2 $-2 05-29 03:56
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes -10 $-4 18¢ $-2 +$3 05-30 15:36
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026? Yes +55 $6 2¢ $1 $-4 07-12 12:12
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? Yes +20 $1 7¢ $1 +$0 06-17 03:27
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 12¢ $1 $-2 06-08 04:44
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? Yes +12 $1 9¢ $1 +$0 06-17 03:27
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 $-0 06-17 03:27
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? Yes +9 $1 7¢ $1 $-1 06-17 03:26
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 06-17 03:27