Official-Security 0x8c6519…99dcf7
bot 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$118
Unrealized P&L
+$136
Hit rate
43.2%
Resolved
1,233
Trades
4,354
lifetime
Volume
$67.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$794
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-24 04:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Other
70% 37% -$225
Politics
12% 48% +$44
Tech
9% 52% +$86
Sports
6% 47% -$43
Crypto
4% 68% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 38% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +151 $113 90¢ $137 +$24 07-21 10:19
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +109 $36 89¢ $97 +$61 07-20 00:55
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +99 $66 68¢ $68 +$2 10-11 10:24
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +99 $67 68¢ $67 $0 10-11 03:24
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +50 $38 100¢ $50 +$11 06-24 08:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $40 94¢ $47 +$6 06-23 05:22
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +97 $36 41¢ $40 +$4 07-14 07:02
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -39 -$14 95¢ $-37 -$22 05-04 08:26
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 -$16 75¢ $-30 -$14 07-22 14:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -30 -$27 97¢ $-29 -$2 06-06 07:11
Will Drake be the top artist in the US for 2026? Yes +23 $9 90¢ $21 +$12 07-17 16:14
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No -178 -$126 11¢ $-20 +$106 07-14 03:00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +20 $17 94¢ $19 +$2 05-26 01:15
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes +419 $41 4¢ $18 -$22 07-22 03:47
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? No +120 $17 14¢ $16 -$1 07-12 09:17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +30 $10 54¢ $16 +$6 07-21 07:38
will openais valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 937 533 No +14 $11 95¢ $13 +$3 06-18 21:12
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? Yes +50 $21 22¢ $11 -$10 07-05 22:26
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No -10 -$8 96¢ $-10 -$2 05-22 14:05
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +10 $8 97¢ $10 +$2 06-22 03:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $0 90¢ $9 +$9 07-15 16:04
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +10 $6 88¢ $9 +$3 06-30 17:05
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes +160 $29 5¢ $8 -$21 06-02 15:16
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 06-21 12:55
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +20 $7 16¢ $3 -$4 05-26 03:11
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +20 $10 8¢ $2 -$8 06-03 02:16
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +200 $1 1¢ $1 $0 06-25 18:06
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +7 $4 18¢ $1 -$2 07-13 08:36
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +20 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 05-26 15:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +15 $3 6¢ $1 -$3 05-25 10:17