Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$186

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

47.2%

Resolved

204

Trades

904

lifetime

Volume

$3.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

7 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 08-18 13:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

46% 60% -$99

Tech

19% 48% -$4

Crypto

16% 26% -$61

Politics

12% 70% +$1

Sports

7% 55% -$23

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-18).

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	+11	$10	95¢	$11	+$1	06-15 15:43
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	-6	-$5	100¢	$-6	-$2	05-14 17:28
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	-1	-$1	94¢	$-1	-$1	04-29 15:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+0	$0	99¢	$0	$0	05-11 13:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	05-07 14:30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	$0	95¢	$0	$0	05-01 14:34
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	+0	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	05-13 08:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	12	$108	103	103	+0	Yes	-$2	03-29 16:19
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	19	$90	66	56	+9	No	+$4	05-14 18:32
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	16	$65	33	33	-1	Yes	$0	06-12 12:33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	20	$61	29	41	-12	No	-$1	06-05 16:28
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	44	$60	25	36	-11	Yes	$0	06-12 12:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	15	$53	30	30	+0	Yes	$0	06-12 16:16
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $70B and $80B at market close on IPO day?	11	$52	33	28	+5	No	-$3	05-14 19:55
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?	11	$52	29	29	+0	No	+$2	05-14 18:09
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	20	$50	34	24	+10	No	-$5	04-15 10:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	9	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$0	06-11 06:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	10	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	06-10 19:07
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-28 12:00 UTC	9	$40	85	55	+29	Up	-$1	03-28 13:40
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	19	$40	17	26	-9	No	-$1	08-09 19:00
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	12	$39	146	145	+1	No	-$17	03-28 13:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	9	$37	39	39	+0	Yes	-$2	06-12 16:31
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?	15	$33	17	17	+0	No	$0	06-12 14:34
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-27 20:00 UTC	8	$32	81	80	+1	Up	-$8	03-27 23:59
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$30	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-20 20:21
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	05-11 13:40
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?	5	$29	28	28	+0	No	-$1	05-13 12:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	6	$28	15	13	+2	Up	$0	05-08 16:46
will madison airs market cap be greater than 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	5	$26	19	13	+6	Yes	+$2	04-16 19:55
atp galarne pavlovi 2026 03 26	4	$26	39	33	+6	Luka Pavlovic	+$2	03-26 21:00
will madison airs market cap be between 13pt0b and 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	5	$25	18	12	+5	No	+$0	04-17 00:42
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	5	$25	15	10	+5	No	$0	06-12 19:17
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	6	$24	35	35	+0	Yes	-$6	05-11 02:22
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	5	$23	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 02:37
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	5	$23	34	28	+6	No	-$1	04-15 18:12
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	6	$22	18	18	+0	Yes	+$3	06-17 17:14
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	16	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	$0	04-27 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 13:36:22	Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$2	0xc46e7f…
08-18 07:37:00	Will Databricks have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9f09fa…
08-09 19:00:46	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x6a7c8d…
08-01 06:57:21	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa25886…
07-20 12:35:40	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x136c2d…
07-18 21:56:18	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	No	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x12b09d…
07-18 19:14:01	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956885	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x9e4e9d…
07-18 19:12:39	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740619	No	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0xd16d73…
07-18 13:03:03	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740619	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x2d17c7…
07-18 11:50:40	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740618	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x9273dd…
07-18 11:45:01	Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0x814884…
07-18 11:21:36	will the announcers say pressure 15 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956885	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcaa02c…
07-18 01:31:49	will neuralinks valuation hit low 30 by july 31 20260629184735362	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x599c4b…
07-11 06:20:47	will neuralinks valuation hit low 30 by july 31 20260629184735362	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe5cfdb…
07-02 05:50:58	will the announcers say throw in during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526252	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x191a70…
07-01 21:39:43	will neuralinks valuation hit low 30 by july 31 20260629184735362	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x34f647…
07-01 21:06:44	will the announcers say assist during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526260	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaee589…
07-01 14:34:40	will the announcers say assist during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526260	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6bc8a4…
07-01 07:38:32	will the announcers say throw in during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526252	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x49b6b2…
06-30 21:47:13	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf8fe52…
06-30 14:50:14	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8bd40b…
06-30 14:26:52	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf97a15…
06-27 14:40:11	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523343	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0ed83…
06-27 07:06:52	will canvas valuation hit high 42pt5b by june 30	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x26920b…
06-26 01:41:08	will the announcers say qatar during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511669	Yes	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x34c211…
06-26 00:15:34	will the announcers say qatar during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511669	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xe56960…
06-25 22:40:55	will the announcers say what a save during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809456	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x61ec4a…
06-25 22:40:53	will the announcers say what a save during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809456	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x82ef96…
06-25 22:24:38	will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x57aadc…
06-25 22:08:53	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859867	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x82e635…
06-25 22:04:53	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859867	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x686008…
06-25 21:59:32	will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc94325…
06-25 19:32:01	will the announcers say trump during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221729	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0aeab6…
06-25 18:01:25	will stripes valuation hit high 210b by june 30	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x263cf7…
06-25 15:39:49	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859867	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9f55cf…
06-25 14:08:56	will the announcers say visa during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809445	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd0fa47…
06-24 22:43:34	will the announcers say trump during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221729	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x420a10…
06-24 22:08:07	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt55b	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbb351e…
06-24 16:56:02	will the announcers say visa during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809445	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf4057e…
06-24 15:50:08	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x2a7cd9…
06-23 02:42:47	will the announcers say what a save during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729513	No	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x440219…
06-23 02:38:31	will the announcers say what a save during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729513	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa1dc7c…
06-23 02:12:01	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023971	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbe524a…
06-23 01:18:26	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023971	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2157ae…
06-23 00:41:29	will the announcers say visa during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023961	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b9c74…
06-22 18:05:34	will the announcers say visa during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023961	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x19460e…
06-22 11:29:47	will stripes valuation hit high 210b by june 30	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf456d7…
06-22 08:12:29	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1e0325…
06-22 08:08:08	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe7d5b7…
06-21 17:12:41	will canvas valuation hit high 50b by june 30	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x56aa43…
06-20 13:22:07	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xcd9027…
06-19 03:38:58	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xee45e9…
06-19 03:37:56	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0xed909f…
06-19 03:24:43	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x40941b…
06-19 01:55:13	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x6ff05c…
06-19 01:09:04	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xd378bc…
06-18 20:00:10	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x8d69ef…
06-18 17:27:56	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd949c8…
06-18 16:01:35	will the announcers say header during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456408	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbaf7e5…
06-18 12:38:38	will the announcers say header during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456408	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe3d048…
06-18 10:47:08	will the announcers say hydration break 10 times during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751355	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x8fc3e0…
06-18 02:46:05	will the announcers say hydration break 10 times during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751355	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4738ed…
06-18 02:40:38	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcda755…
06-17 23:07:59	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xc24672…
06-17 23:05:34	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x0b3cff…
06-17 22:17:55	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x746bc5…
06-17 18:00:43	Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x91ebeb…
06-17 18:00:37	Will no one dissent the June Fed decision?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4d8e38…
06-17 17:50:40	Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1cd1b2…
06-17 17:30:20	Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x96a55a…
06-17 17:14:16	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x87a814…
06-17 17:13:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x11d585…
06-17 17:11:31	will canvas valuation hit high 42pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5c65bc…
06-17 16:42:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x6f7e41…
06-17 15:36:10	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x7036c6…
06-17 13:38:14	Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x564936…
06-17 13:38:10	Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x0a381f…
06-17 10:40:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x36d5e3…
06-17 10:31:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xab6dcb…
06-17 07:41:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb0a655…
06-17 06:25:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x86bae9…
06-16 20:07:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4c6fcb…
06-16 18:20:56	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x90aba4…
06-16 16:50:01	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x55c1de…
06-16 16:18:37	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xedbba2…
06-16 15:57:23	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc098c8…
06-16 12:05:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe58a6d…
06-16 10:32:12	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe792cf…
06-15 15:43:15	Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x800b03…
06-15 15:38:30	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xfbc015…
06-15 15:37:27	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa8554a…
06-14 18:28:19	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x337fb6…
06-14 18:27:25	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x677377…
06-14 18:26:51	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x765932…
06-14 16:33:57	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xba0953…
06-14 15:25:21	Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x181874…
06-14 15:19:09	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$2	0xef3418…
06-14 15:19:09	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x3fb6ce…
06-14 13:52:55	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x36db21…
06-14 00:28:30	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xab96b4…