Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

Trades

641

lifetime

Volume

$2.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-30 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

37% 44% $-12

Crypto

23% — —

Tech

19% — —

Politics

13% — —

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	+6	$5	92¢	$5	+$0	06-15 15:43
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	+4	$4	100¢	$4	+$0	06-07 15:28
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	-6	$-1	11¢	$-1	+$1	06-01 16:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	12	$108	103	103	+0	open	—	03-29 16:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	44	$60	25	36	-11	open	—	06-12 12:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	15	$53	30	30	+0	open	—	06-12 16:16
barstool after dark will the crew bowl a 300	20	$50	34	24	+10	open	—	04-15 10:19
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	11	$44	22	22	-0	open	—	06-12 12:33
eth updown 4h 1774699200	9	$40	85	55	+29	open	—	03-28 13:40
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 23 29	12	$39	146	145	+1	open	—	03-28 13:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	9	$37	39	39	+0	open	—	06-12 16:31
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	7	$33	12	23	-11	open	—	06-11 06:56
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	8	$32	11	22	-11	open	—	06-10 19:07
xrp updown 4h 1774641600	8	$32	81	80	+1	open	—	03-27 23:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	6	$28	15	13	+2	Up	$-0	05-08 16:46
will madison airs market cap be greater than 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	5	$26	19	13	+6	open	—	04-16 19:55
atp galarne pavlovi 2026 03 26	4	$26	39	33	+6	open	—	03-26 21:00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$25	10	16	-5	open	—	05-20 20:21
will madison airs market cap be between 13pt0b and 13pt5b at market close on ipo day	5	$25	18	12	+5	open	—	04-17 00:42
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	5	$23	34	28	+6	open	—	04-15 18:12
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	6	$22	18	18	+0	open	—	06-17 17:14
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	16	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-27 23:19
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	4	$22	19	18	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 06:44
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	13	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	06-05 16:28
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	17	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 05:45
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 23:41
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-23 21:34
will kailera therapeuticss market cap be greater than 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	3	$15	11	5	+6	open	—	04-17 18:01
wfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 14 2026 1pt58	3	$15	11	5	+5	open	—	04-14 10:28
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	3	$15	11	5	+5	open	—	04-16 20:01
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?	3	$15	10	5	+5	open	—	05-28 19:13
cs2 hero tri9 2026 03 25	3	$15	613	0	+613	open	—	03-25 17:49
uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 swe	3	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	03-26 21:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 21:47:13	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf8fe52…
06-30 14:50:14	will the announcers say brilliant 15 times during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343701	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8bd40b…
06-27 14:40:11	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523343	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0ed83…
06-27 07:06:52	will canvas valuation hit high 42pt5b by june 30	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x26920b…
06-26 01:41:08	will the announcers say qatar during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511669	Yes	SELL	9	49¢	$5	0x34c211…
06-26 00:15:34	will the announcers say qatar during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511669	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xe56960…
06-25 22:40:55	will the announcers say what a save during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809456	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x61ec4a…
06-25 22:40:53	will the announcers say what a save during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809456	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x82ef96…
06-25 22:24:38	will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x57aadc…
06-25 22:08:53	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859867	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x82e635…
06-25 22:04:53	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859867	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x686008…
06-25 21:59:32	will the announcers say qatar during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859849	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc94325…
06-25 19:32:01	will the announcers say trump during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221729	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0aeab6…
06-25 18:01:25	will stripes valuation hit high 210b by june 30	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x263cf7…
06-25 15:39:49	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the ecuador vs germany fifa world cup match 20260623170859867	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9f55cf…
06-25 14:08:56	will the announcers say visa during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809445	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd0fa47…
06-24 22:43:34	will the announcers say trump during the czechia vs mexico fifa world cup match 20260623165221729	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x420a10…
06-24 22:08:07	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt55b	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbb351e…
06-24 16:56:02	will the announcers say visa during the japan vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260623181809445	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf4057e…
06-24 15:50:08	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	No	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x2a7cd9…
06-23 02:42:47	will the announcers say what a save during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729513	No	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x440219…
06-23 02:38:31	will the announcers say what a save during the england vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260622180729513	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa1dc7c…
06-23 02:12:01	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023971	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbe524a…
06-23 01:18:26	will the announcers say crossbar during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023971	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2157ae…
06-23 00:41:29	will the announcers say visa during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023961	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2b9c74…
06-22 18:05:34	will the announcers say visa during the norway vs senegal fifa world cup match 20260619210023961	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x19460e…
06-22 11:29:47	will stripes valuation hit high 210b by june 30	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf456d7…
06-22 08:12:29	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1e0325…
06-22 08:08:08	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe7d5b7…
06-21 17:12:41	will canvas valuation hit high 50b by june 30	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x56aa43…
06-20 13:22:07	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0xcd9027…
06-19 03:38:58	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xee45e9…
06-19 03:37:56	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$0	0xed909f…
06-19 03:24:43	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x40941b…
06-19 01:55:13	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x6ff05c…
06-19 01:09:04	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0xd378bc…
06-18 20:00:10	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	33¢	$0	0x8d69ef…
06-18 17:27:56	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd949c8…
06-18 16:01:35	will the announcers say header during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456408	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbaf7e5…
06-18 12:38:38	will the announcers say header during the czechia vs south africa fifa world cup match 20260616211456408	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe3d048…
06-18 10:47:08	will the announcers say hydration break 10 times during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751355	No	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x8fc3e0…
06-18 02:46:05	will the announcers say hydration break 10 times during the mexico vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260616192751355	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4738ed…
06-18 02:40:38	will anthropic ipo by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcda755…
06-17 23:07:59	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xc24672…
06-17 23:05:34	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x0b3cff…
06-17 22:17:55	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x746bc5…
06-17 17:14:16	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x87a814…
06-17 17:13:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x11d585…
06-17 17:11:31	will canvas valuation hit high 42pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x5c65bc…
06-17 16:42:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x6f7e41…
06-17 15:36:10	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x7036c6…
06-17 10:40:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x36d5e3…
06-17 10:31:13	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xab6dcb…
06-17 07:41:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb0a655…
06-17 06:25:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x86bae9…
06-16 20:07:52	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x4c6fcb…
06-16 18:20:56	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x90aba4…
06-16 16:50:01	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x55c1de…
06-16 16:18:37	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xedbba2…
06-16 15:57:23	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc098c8…
06-16 12:05:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xe58a6d…
06-16 10:32:12	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe792cf…
06-15 15:43:15	Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x800b03…
06-15 15:38:30	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xfbc015…
06-15 15:37:27	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa8554a…
06-13 12:37:13	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4db238…
06-13 12:24:25	will stripes valuation hit high 210b by june 30	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd63b5c…
06-12 19:17:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x252455…
06-12 16:44:52	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2dfb93…
06-12 16:41:33	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x47dabd…
06-12 16:31:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xf6cbf4…
06-12 16:23:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x4818a1…
06-12 16:22:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0xb9b0c8…
06-12 16:22:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf853f5…
06-12 16:16:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x2aa5a3…
06-12 16:12:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x1d22ee…
06-12 16:12:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xb1765f…
06-12 16:12:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x69b8b3…
06-12 16:11:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x5c1848…
06-12 16:11:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xed3a9e…
06-12 16:10:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x64b3af…
06-12 16:09:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x85f6d5…
06-12 16:08:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	3	89¢	$2	0xb7fc89…
06-12 16:08:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf4f5d2…
06-12 16:07:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x769c58…
06-12 16:05:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa8b3e6…
06-12 16:04:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xe293ff…
06-12 16:03:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0x156711…
06-12 16:01:22	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x156e72…
06-12 12:55:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9ad42c…
06-12 12:33:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b329a…
06-12 12:33:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x05aeb0…
06-12 11:45:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe0a29a…
06-12 11:27:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbcf3b2…
06-12 03:07:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb5d24f…
06-12 03:05:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x17152f…
06-12 03:04:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb2c496…
06-12 02:56:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc8825e…
06-12 02:39:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xea5eb7…
06-12 02:38:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x13581f…