Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
open
Total volume
$1,133
$4,709 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,304
Latest YES mid
12¢
Latest NO mid
88¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 01:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $185
vs crowd: 2% YES on $975)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $228 | $228 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $191 | $190 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $17 | $537 | $520 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $185 | $185 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | — | $204 | $204 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 3 | — | $33 | $33 |
| Below median | 3 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | — | $534 | $534 |
| unranked | 2 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defiant-Million 0xc250…8d6e | No | +545 | $507 | $507 | 1 | 05-13 01:43 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +201 | $185 | $185 | 1 | 05-13 00:46 |
| Devoted-Slider 0x1e8e…0cc4 | Yes | +144 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-12 17:27 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +80 | $74 | $74 | 1 | 05-13 00:46 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +60 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +36 | $33 | $33 | 3 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-14 01:04 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +23 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-13 22:21 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-13 22:12 |
| Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 05-13 22:21 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:05 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-13 21:48 |
| Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer 0x3d7d…10fc | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:21 |
| Nice-Goodnight 0xe8f7…7ead | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 01:04:29 | (anonymous) 0x7bb0…8a46 | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xdead7e… |
| 05-14 01:04:29 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | SELL | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0x06c3de… |
| 05-14 01:04:29 | (anonymous) 0x7bb0…8a46 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x0d4c7c… |
| 05-14 01:04:09 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xd93d8f… |
| 05-13 22:21:49 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 15 | 91¢ | $14 | 0xb89d1b… |
| 05-13 22:21:45 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0xb1072b… |
| 05-13 22:21:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 8 | 91¢ | $7 | 0xde6c86… |
| 05-13 22:21:42 | Wasteful-Monsoon-Farmer 0x3d7d…10fc | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xe7023e… |
| 05-13 22:18:01 | Nice-Goodnight 0xe8f7…7ead | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x0e846f… |
| 05-13 22:18:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xac5d4b… |
| 05-13 22:18:01 | (anonymous) 0x7bb0…8a46 | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xa02216… |
| 05-13 22:18:00 | Snarling-Dealer 0x6069…1549 | No | SELL | 100 | 90¢ | $90 | 0xf1722f… |
| 05-13 22:17:18 | Snarling-Dealer 0x6069…1549 | No | SELL | 38 | 91¢ | $35 | 0xba4e07… |
| 05-13 22:12:48 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0xf7ef97… |
| 05-13 22:12:48 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x205110… |
| 05-13 22:12:48 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0xb0b3be… |
| 05-13 22:03:23 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0xeaf862… |
| 05-13 22:03:23 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x6ee9ce… |
| 05-13 21:48:57 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0xb55a50… |
| 05-13 21:05:52 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xf17a41… |
| 05-13 20:32:30 | Wavy-Detector 0xa9ff…bfd7 | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x6effb0… |
| 05-13 20:32:25 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xf768fe… |
| 05-13 20:05:45 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x7c1a09… |
| 05-13 01:43:47 | Defiant-Million 0xc250…8d6e | No | BUY | 545 | 93¢ | $507 | 0xcf4fa3… |
| 05-13 01:02:39 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0x6d4742… |
| 05-13 00:46:40 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 201 | 92¢ | $185 | 0xd88b35… |
| 05-13 00:46:40 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 80 | 92¢ | $74 | 0x038743… |
| 05-12 20:10:50 | Impractical-Senior 0x9a3b…ad18 | No | SELL | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x0cf2a1… |
| 05-12 19:07:26 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x0bc320… |
| 05-12 19:07:15 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xee8554… |
| 05-12 19:06:46 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xb0c005… |
| 05-12 17:27:20 | Devoted-Slider 0x1e8e…0cc4 | Yes | BUY | 144 | 12¢ | $17 | 0x7af64c… |
| 05-12 17:27:18 | Cluttered-Land 0xceaa…6060 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xf4c19b… |