Realized P&L
+$1.33K
Unrealized P&L
+$18
Hit rate
55.6%
Resolved
3,313
Trades
16,606
lifetime
Volume
$49.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$138
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 10-24 13:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 198 days
Categories
Crypto
46% 49% +$171
Other
35% 51% +$94
Sports
11% 55% -$34
Politics
7% 54% +$1,103
Tech
1% 57% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +81 $20 97¢ $79 +$58 05-25 01:15
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +25 $15 95¢ $23 +$8 10-01 16:55
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 05-10 08:34
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +52 $15 12¢ $6 -$9 06-19 22:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +6 $5 96¢ $6 +$1 10-04 11:07
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 09-29 10:34
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +123 $16 4¢ $4 -$12 10-20 15:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +28 $15 10¢ $3 -$13 09-04 03:47
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +77 $16 2¢ $1 -$14 10-01 21:28
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +17 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 05-10 04:02
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +0 -$2 40¢ $0 +$2 10-23 06:43