Moral-Nicety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

109

Trades

270

lifetime

Volume

$286.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.06K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 08-21 08:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Politics

54% 92% -$6,726

Other

24% 81% +$884

Crypto

22% 71% +$3,665

Sports

0% 67% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	18	$50.2K	32,781	32,781	+0	No	+$1,943	05-27 16:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$20.7K	12,453	12,453	+0	No	+$1,743	05-25 12:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$18.9K	10,485	10,485	+0	No	+$51	05-24 10:13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	2	$16.8K	9,432	9,432	+0	No	+$2,060	05-24 04:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	8	$14.2K	2,280,656	0	+2,280,656	Yes	-$14,239	05-28 07:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$13.2K	8,405	8,405	+0	No	+$1,491	05-24 01:25
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	2	$10.8K	5,865	5,865	+0	Up	+$874	05-21 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	4	$10.2K	5,425	5,425	+0	Down	+$665	05-21 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	6	$10.1K	6,020	6,020	+0	Down	+$619	05-18 15:52
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	8	$10.1K	5,669	5,669	+0	No	+$47	05-15 10:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	2	$9.2K	4,800	4,800	+0	Down	+$436	05-21 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	2	$8.1K	4,194	4,194	+0	Up	+$247	05-20 15:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$7.9K	4,054	4,054	+0	No	+$37	05-20 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	3	$7.3K	3,927	3,927	+0	Up	+$585	05-19 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	4	$5.8K	3,107	3,107	+0	Down	+$362	05-15 16:04
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	4	$5.2K	2,891	2,891	+0	No	+$121	08-16 22:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	4	$4.9K	2,682	2,682	+0	Yes	+$475	05-14 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	7	$4.8K	3,998	3,998	+0	Down	-$678	05-16 16:27
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	4	$4.8K	2,389	2,389	+0	No	+$7	05-14 05:16
iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	3	$4.5K	2,619	2,619	+0	No	+$76	08-19 17:31
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	5	$4.2K	4,376	0	+4,376	Up	+$194	05-20 15:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	4	$4.0K	2,376	2,376	+0	Up	+$755	05-13 17:16
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$3.3K	1,689	1,689	+0	No	-$2	05-13 04:18
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,653	1,653	+0	Yes	+$31	05-13 03:22
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	3	$3.2K	1,616	1,616	+0	No	+$24	05-12 14:22
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	4	$3.0K	3,703	0	+3,703	Down	+$668	05-18 15:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	2	$3.0K	1,588	1,588	+0	Yes	+$185	05-11 18:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	4	$2.7K	1,413	1,413	+0	No	+$37	05-17 05:28
lol edg tt 2026 08 21 game2	1	$2.4K	4,508	0	+4,508	EDward Gaming	-$2,434	08-21 08:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	3	$2.2K	1,138	1,138	+0	Up	+$74	05-08 13:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 08:07:01	lol edg tt 2026 08 21 game2	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	4,508	54¢	$2,434	0x11ef09…
08-19 17:31:37	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	SELL	2,507	88¢	$2,201	0xfa7896…
08-18 12:10:36	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	SELL	112	91¢	$102	0x945975…
08-16 22:55:15	iran oman hormuz agreement by august 22	No	BUY	2,619	85¢	$2,226	0x54f7c6…
08-16 22:54:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	2,376	94¢	$2,226	0xee21de…
08-15 21:50:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	2,376	91¢	$2,162	0x2b45fc…
08-15 09:21:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	SELL	516	88¢	$454	0x7ff2ae…
08-12 14:02:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	516	77¢	$397	0x6a1e7d…
08-12 14:01:07	spx opens up or down on august 12 2026	Up	SELL	398	100¢	$397	0x965e6c…
08-12 11:17:21	spx opens up or down on august 12 2026	Up	BUY	398	81¢	$324	0x74fd5b…
08-12 11:16:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	331	98¢	$326	0x8375f3…
08-07 06:28:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	331	81¢	$268	0xf9433d…
08-03 15:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	268	98¢	$263	0x9a2e52…
08-02 10:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	263	93¢	$245	0x7b11e4…
08-02 10:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?	No	SELL	249	99¢	$246	0x87ea52…
08-02 08:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	249	96¢	$239	0x377f1a…
08-02 05:22:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	SELL	241	100¢	$240	0x81bd54…
08-01 06:56:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	241	93¢	$224	0xd242fe…
08-01 06:54:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x32723b…
07-31 15:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	224	98¢	$219	0xc6819f…
07-31 15:02:20	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Up	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x218cf8…
07-31 10:55:24	spx opens up or down on july 31 2026	Up	BUY	220	94¢	$207	0x7bae33…
07-30 15:46:06	spx up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	207	96¢	$199	0xcd32b3…
07-30 14:01:38	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Up	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xb8a453…
07-30 12:04:30	spx opens up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xd0916a…
07-30 11:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 31?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe6359d…
07-30 11:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4c2717…
07-21 09:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 22?	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0xa6ee21…
07-21 03:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	101	7¢	$7	0xde40a5…
07-21 03:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb5e874…
07-21 03:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x634f4b…
07-21 03:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xcf0294…
07-21 03:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x048432…
07-21 03:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	No	SELL	110	49¢	$54	0xf4b0f3…
07-20 12:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	110	88¢	$97	0x13ca50…
07-20 07:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 20?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$97	0x42f3ec…
07-20 04:02:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	98	87¢	$85	0x56136e…
07-20 04:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 20?	No	SELL	88	97¢	$85	0xad6b7a…
07-19 12:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 20?	No	BUY	88	81¢	$72	0x310618…
07-19 09:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 19?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xd3b5de…
07-18 10:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xc05b68…
07-18 10:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 18?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xa49956…
07-17 07:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	71	74¢	$52	0xd5ad90…
07-17 07:42:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 17?	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x384758…
07-16 13:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 17?	No	BUY	53	85¢	$45	0x1ce979…
07-16 11:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xe2fdb7…
07-16 11:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x16dd2a…
07-16 11:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x219eb0…
07-16 11:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$10	0xef6b86…
07-16 06:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 16?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xad58c8…
07-16 06:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 16?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xdaa85e…
07-15 10:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 16?	No	BUY	44	95¢	$42	0x879c22…
07-15 09:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xcfdd3a…
07-14 08:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xd9af73…
07-14 08:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 14?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x6ef04f…
07-12 20:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 14?	No	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x4a3a0f…
07-12 20:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 13?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xc70b47…
07-12 05:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 13?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x25175c…
07-12 05:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x17c85c…
07-11 17:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 12?	No	BUY	35	93¢	$33	0x5b93b0…
07-11 14:00:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?	No	SELL	77	45¢	$35	0xbace75…
07-11 12:41:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xd6fc5e…
07-11 10:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x5be36a…
07-11 07:20:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	68	82¢	$55	0xffba48…
07-11 07:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x30e9a1…
07-11 03:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	56	75¢	$42	0x447552…
07-11 02:33:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 10?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x118b7f…
07-10 16:01:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 10?	No	BUY	42	87¢	$37	0xf9b28d…
07-10 16:00:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x5256af…
07-10 12:58:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0xc5a09e…
07-10 08:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x575410…
07-10 06:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xc67cea…
07-10 04:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xbe602b…
07-10 04:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xf44d9c…
07-10 04:56:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xce9e30…
07-10 04:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6305e0…
07-10 04:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x9ea6c1…
07-10 04:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x573f50…
07-05 17:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xa423d1…
07-05 08:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	114	95¢	$108	0x0d4ce7…
07-05 08:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xc52648…
07-05 08:09:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x87bbc8…
07-05 08:09:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x34f0e7…
07-05 08:09:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xf2063a…
07-05 07:39:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0xcf915d…
07-05 07:33:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x292276…
07-05 07:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	101	93¢	$94	0x64d96b…
07-05 04:22:29	lol tsw tes 2026 07 04	Top Esports	BUY	137	87¢	$119	0x399002…
07-05 03:44:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	120	97¢	$116	0xeb981a…
07-05 03:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	116	93¢	$108	0x8d129b…
07-05 03:09:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf42504…
06-21 12:36:56	bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	Down	BUY	104	57¢	$59	0x6fcf13…
06-20 15:28:17	bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	No	SELL	322	20¢	$65	0xdb20b4…
06-20 12:51:02	bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	No	BUY	322	94¢	$302	0xabea5b…
06-19 13:05:28	bitcoin up or down on june 19 2026	Up	BUY	303	76¢	$231	0x0d540e…
06-18 16:02:50	spy up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	235	97¢	$228	0xad9119…
06-18 16:01:02	bitcoin above 64k on june 18 2026	No	SELL	228	100¢	$227	0x9923de…
06-18 15:18:17	bitcoin above 64k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	228	98¢	$223	0xeae665…
06-18 11:21:34	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	SELL	226	99¢	$224	0xa5ff6a…
06-18 02:41:19	spx opens up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	226	94¢	$212	0xe4e61f…