Moral-Nicety — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.33K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

154

lifetime

Volume

$256.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.67K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-28 07:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

57% — —

Crypto

23% 100% +$462

Other

20% 100% +$871

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	18	$50.2K	32,781	32,781	+0	open	—	05-27 16:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$20.7K	12,453	12,453	+0	open	—	05-25 12:18
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	3	$18.9K	10,485	10,485	+0	open	—	05-24 10:13
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	2	$16.8K	9,432	9,432	+0	open	—	05-24 04:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	8	$14.2K	2,280,656	0	+2,280,656	open	—	05-28 07:38
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	2	$13.2K	8,405	8,405	+0	open	—	05-24 01:25
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	2	$10.8K	5,865	5,865	+0	open	—	05-21 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	4	$10.2K	5,425	5,425	+0	open	—	05-21 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	6	$10.1K	6,020	6,020	+0	open	—	05-18 15:52
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	8	$10.1K	5,669	5,669	+0	open	—	05-15 10:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	2	$9.2K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	05-21 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	2	$8.1K	4,194	4,194	+0	open	—	05-20 15:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$7.9K	4,054	4,054	+0	open	—	05-20 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	3	$7.3K	3,927	3,927	+0	open	—	05-19 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	4	$5.8K	3,107	3,107	+0	open	—	05-15 16:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	4	$4.9K	2,682	2,682	+0	open	—	05-14 15:53
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	4	$4.8K	2,389	2,389	+0	open	—	05-14 05:16
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	5	$4.2K	4,376	0	+4,376	open	—	05-20 15:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	4	$4.0K	2,376	2,376	+0	Up	+$755	05-13 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	4	$3.6K	2,641	3,998	-1,357	open	—	05-16 16:27
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	3	$3.3K	1,689	1,689	+0	open	—	05-13 04:18
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	4	$3.0K	3,703	0	+3,703	open	—	05-18 15:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	2	$3.0K	1,588	1,588	+0	Yes	+$185	05-11 18:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	4	$2.7K	1,413	1,413	+0	open	—	05-17 05:28
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	3	$2.2K	1,138	1,138	+0	Up	+$74	05-08 13:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$1.6K	1,590	0	+1,590	Up	+$4	05-11 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	3	$1.3K	2,542	0	+2,542	open	—	05-17 05:30
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10?	2	$1.3K	1,413	0	+1,413	Up	+$85	05-10 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	1	$1.2K	1,333	0	+1,333	Up	+$180	05-09 13:37
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	3	$1.1K	1,164	0	+1,164	Up	+$29	05-08 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 07:38:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	159,935	0¢	$620	0xe77196…
05-27 16:50:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	163,453	1¢	$887	0x6d5b26…
05-27 16:50:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,056	84¢	$887	0x0e6727…
05-27 13:40:04	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	351,981	1¢	$3,059	0x5ad935…
05-27 13:39:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3,972	77¢	$3,058	0x03b8b2…
05-27 12:08:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	483,425	1¢	$3,971	0x493828…
05-27 12:08:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,027	79¢	$3,972	0xf732a0…
05-27 11:56:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	253,884	1¢	$1,532	0xd5721d…
05-27 11:55:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,915	80¢	$1,532	0xd37368…
05-27 11:46:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	187,098	1¢	$1,051	0x520e70…
05-27 11:46:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,330	79¢	$1,051	0xcf0416…
05-27 11:44:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	202,825	1¢	$1,046	0x24f00e…
05-27 11:44:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,315	79¢	$1,046	0xaa5bcf…
05-27 11:37:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	478,055	0¢	$2,074	0x80d39c…
05-27 11:36:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,579	80¢	$2,074	0x896bb8…
05-25 12:19:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17,194	65¢	$11,207	0x10b8bc…
05-25 12:18:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	12,453	90¢	$11,207	0x8569e7…
05-24 10:15:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	12,453	76¢	$9,464	0x52aa27…
05-24 10:13:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10,485	90¢	$9,464	0x2ecf6e…
05-24 05:10:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x4f58d3…
05-24 04:54:29	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10,469	90¢	$9,399	0x427414…
05-24 04:54:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	SELL	9,432	100¢	$9,413	0xbddae1…
05-24 01:26:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?	No	BUY	9,432	78¢	$7,353	0xe1f76b…
05-24 01:25:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	8,405	87¢	$7,353	0xd4d60b…
05-21 20:15:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	8,405	70¢	$5,862	0x642866…
05-21 20:13:25	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	5,865	100¢	$5,859	0x588c73…
05-21 17:47:15	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	5,865	85¢	$4,985	0x08103f…
05-21 17:46:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6,775	74¢	$5,019	0x0a3fa0…
05-21 16:53:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6,775	80¢	$5,420	0x5637d7…
05-21 16:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	5,425	100¢	$5,419	0x9a8deb…
05-21 13:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	923	82¢	$754	0xcca9ec…
05-21 13:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	2,241	89¢	$2,000	0x5fd673…
05-21 13:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	2,261	88¢	$2,000	0x5106bf…
05-21 13:50:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	4,800	100¢	$4,795	0xf1c3e3…
05-21 12:36:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	4,800	91¢	$4,359	0x9a9b77…
05-21 12:32:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,401	81¢	$4,375	0x0ab31d…
05-21 02:04:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,401	81¢	$4,375	0x61d97b…
05-20 15:47:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	188	97¢	$182	0xefe4ca…
05-20 15:46:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	1,033	97¢	$1,000	0x1e317f…
05-20 15:46:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	1,050	95¢	$1,000	0x0c3979…
05-20 15:46:17	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x656b4f…
05-20 15:46:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	1,053	95¢	$1,000	0x86eff9…
05-20 15:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Up	SELL	4,194	100¢	$4,190	0x601c6f…
05-20 10:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	Up	BUY	4,194	94¢	$3,943	0x7e89e2…
05-20 10:38:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	4,054	98¢	$3,956	0xe78440…
05-19 16:49:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	4,054	97¢	$3,920	0xe1026c…
05-19 16:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	SELL	3,927	100¢	$3,923	0x85e3fe…
05-19 13:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0xd7c9ac…
05-19 13:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	3,921	85¢	$3,333	0x5ca816…
05-18 15:53:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0xb24158…
05-18 15:53:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0x7c52ea…
05-18 15:53:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0x805281…
05-18 15:53:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0x0bd3c7…
05-18 15:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	3,054	100¢	$3,051	0x8761ae…
05-18 12:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	3,054	73¢	$2,242	0x02bc29…
05-18 12:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	SELL	2,965	78¢	$2,324	0x75b094…
05-18 05:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	613	84¢	$515	0x74eb5e…
05-18 05:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0x76d158…
05-18 05:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	1,176	85¢	$1,000	0xc9f39f…
05-17 05:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8c6dea…
05-17 05:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	BUY	640	53¢	$339	0x1143d8…
05-17 05:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 17?	Down	BUY	1,897	53¢	$1,000	0xe1d7ad…
05-17 05:28:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	No	SELL	1,413	98¢	$1,388	0xcb4faf…
05-16 18:41:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0078f8…
05-16 18:41:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	366	96¢	$350	0xf3a7ff…
05-16 18:40:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	1,046	96¢	$1,000	0x1f302b…
05-16 16:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Down	SELL	1,357	100¢	$1,355	0x1d4a60…
05-16 04:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	SELL	2,468	27¢	$669	0xf87716…
05-16 04:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	SELL	174	32¢	$56	0xa80948…
05-16 02:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?	Up	BUY	2,641	56¢	$1,476	0xba823b…
05-16 02:06:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,740	88¢	$1,531	0x8d79da…
05-15 16:49:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,671	90¢	$1,504	0x13ec21…
05-15 16:06:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	114	91¢	$104	0x52a745…
05-15 16:05:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0x154e30…
05-15 16:05:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0x44d1f0…
05-15 16:05:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,099	91¢	$1,000	0xa8d23a…
05-15 16:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	SELL	3,107	100¢	$3,104	0x3c53e9…
05-15 10:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	834	89¢	$742	0x530629…
05-15 10:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0xa71029…
05-15 10:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?	Down	BUY	1,137	88¢	$1,000	0x22a975…
05-15 10:18:10	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	2,949	94¢	$2,772	0xe181e9…
05-14 15:55:42	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	728	92¢	$669	0x02b870…
05-14 15:55:03	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,109	90¢	$1,000	0x7d9927…
05-14 15:54:54	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0xd8e382…
05-14 15:53:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2,682	100¢	$2,679	0x35f826…
05-14 14:46:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	243	84¢	$204	0xf65fe7…
05-14 14:45:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0x8f8674…
05-14 14:45:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0xdd07e2…
05-14 14:44:40	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	2,585	85¢	$2,195	0x9b7310…
05-14 14:42:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	19,010	0¢	$44	0x0cacef…
05-14 14:39:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	19,010	1¢	$100	0xa3f4d9…
05-14 14:39:27	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	136	86¢	$117	0x133f7d…
05-14 05:17:28	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x3e784e…
05-14 05:16:48	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2,719	87¢	$2,366	0xa78eb5…
05-14 05:16:13	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	2,389	100¢	$2,379	0x292a7b…
05-13 17:17:42	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	375	99¢	$372	0x283230…
05-13 17:17:24	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0xdd0b4c…
05-13 17:17:08	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	1,007	99¢	$1,000	0x78386a…
05-13 17:16:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	2,376	100¢	$2,373	0xd78e9a…
05-13 05:38:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd53c32…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	37	$72.5K	1,091	06-01 04:51
Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c	24	$1.37K	54	06-01 00:30
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	23	$7.42M	10,876	06-01 03:20
Darling-Log 0x6e49…f1af	23	$13.7K	768	05-31 15:17
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	22	$77.0K	401	06-01 05:53
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	21	$127.0K	1,853	06-01 00:34
Happy-Go-Lucky-Manicure 0xfe61…e9c2	20	$635	51	05-29 19:21
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	18	$3.66K	163	05-28 03:14