Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 17?
open
Total volume
$1,949
$2,721 in 24h
Trades
87
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$21,866
Latest YES mid
76¢
Latest NO mid
24¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-14 22:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-69.7¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $43
vs crowd: 70% YES on $1.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $67 | $326 | $258 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 32 | $1.1K | $182 | +$919 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $43 | $43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $72 | $326 | $254 |
| Median | 10 | $20 | $8 | +$12 |
| Below median | 9 | $22 | $11 | +$11 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $3 | $16 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $73 | $71 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $48 | $7 | +$41 |
| unranked | 5 | $1.0K | $24 | +$978 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x665c…16d5 | Yes | +1,589 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-12 10:22 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | +576 | $321 | $321 | 6 | 05-14 14:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x1657…d101 | No | +144 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 05-12 16:47 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | +78 | $48 | $48 | 4 | 05-12 22:35 |
| Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | +71 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-14 11:39 |
| Free-Consent 0x7ed2…4a81 | No | +32 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | +26 | $11 | $11 | 11 | 05-11 04:08 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 10:22 |
| Grimy-Nephew 0x1e63…1a5e | No | +19 | $5 | $7 | 2 | 05-14 20:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +16 | $10 | $10 | 10 | 05-11 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e3d…bd04 | No | +16 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 10:22 |
| Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | No | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 04:07 |
| Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 16:47 |
| Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 04:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x70cf…e7b3 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x76f7…c334 | Yes | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 05:49 |
| Alive-Sage 0xda12…f351 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x471e…9b47 | No | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:27 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 20:50 |
| Best-Gastronomy 0x28e0…2383 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 16:06 |
| Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 20:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xde38…958e | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 20:37 |
| Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:49 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:54 |
| Lively-Photography 0x1173…eb6e | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 22:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xd41c…7efc | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x2833…a01d | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xa026…e127 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x705b…5693 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:56 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 22:37 |
| Eager-Wind 0x2fe5…c5b2 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 16:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 22:37:51 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x20653a… |
| 05-14 22:37:49 | (anonymous) 0x39fa…9869 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 77¢ | $41 | 0x7b5d1e… |
| 05-14 22:07:20 | (anonymous) 0x6728…7525 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $1 | 0xa71563… |
| 05-14 22:07:18 | Brilliant-Valley 0x4e7d…e7a0 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 76¢ | $8 | 0xf275a0… |
| 05-14 20:54:29 | Grimy-Nephew 0x1e63…1a5e | No | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x69927a… |
| 05-14 20:27:42 | (anonymous) 0x471e…9b47 | No | BUY | 6 | 28¢ | $2 | 0x913649… |
| 05-14 19:58:37 | (anonymous) 0xa026…e127 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x24784c… |
| 05-14 19:58:36 | Alive-Sage 0xda12…f351 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x59db12… |
| 05-14 19:58:34 | Grimy-Nephew 0x1e63…1a5e | No | BUY | 24 | 26¢ | $6 | 0xa03c53… |
| 05-14 19:42:10 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 41 | 75¢ | $31 | 0xd4bccc… |
| 05-14 19:41:56 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 41 | 75¢ | $31 | 0xfc51b6… |
| 05-14 19:41:51 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 41 | 75¢ | $31 | 0x1f45e9… |
| 05-14 19:00:07 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 19 | 77¢ | $15 | 0x1dea7f… |
| 05-14 18:12:10 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 69 | 80¢ | $55 | 0x4c0cf7… |
| 05-14 17:04:28 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0x06e959… |
| 05-14 16:59:31 | Eager-Wind 0x2fe5…c5b2 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x0769b6… |
| 05-14 16:56:44 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x800f01… |
| 05-14 16:06:36 | Best-Gastronomy 0x28e0…2383 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x20c9b2… |
| 05-14 16:06:36 | Best-Gastronomy 0x28e0…2383 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x659287… |
| 05-14 14:56:19 | (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x41cb35… |
| 05-14 14:16:05 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 105 | 49¢ | $51 | 0x067d11… |
| 05-14 14:09:30 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 47¢ | $47 | 0x654661… |
| 05-14 13:34:19 | Querulous-Dogsled 0x4d75…b263 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 49¢ | $13 | 0x9e1182… |
| 05-14 12:54:18 | Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x3d2bcb… |
| 05-14 11:39:37 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 71 | 61¢ | $43 | 0x649b43… |
| 05-14 11:30:08 | Free-Consent 0x7ed2…4a81 | No | BUY | 32 | 62¢ | $20 | 0xc1824a… |
| 05-14 10:24:20 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 19 | 55¢ | $10 | 0x98f92e… |
| 05-14 02:57:09 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x198f3d… |
| 05-14 02:56:01 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0x11b9e0… |
| 05-14 02:00:18 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 142 | 57¢ | $81 | 0xcb3827… |
| 05-14 00:17:14 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 200 | 57¢ | $114 | 0x84920d… |
| 05-13 22:14:14 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 105 | 58¢ | $61 | 0x6a5b38… |
| 05-13 22:11:00 | (anonymous) 0x39fa…9869 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 43¢ | $10 | 0x7e92b4… |
| 05-13 20:43:38 | Glistening-Bribery 0x373a…b7f2 | No | SELL | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x2dd763… |
| 05-13 15:58:27 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x86d428… |
| 05-13 08:54:15 | Querulous-Dogsled 0x4d75…b263 | No | SELL | 28 | 31¢ | $9 | 0xe4a29e… |
| 05-13 05:49:08 | (anonymous) 0xd41c…7efc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x0ab3a2… |
| 05-13 05:49:08 | (anonymous) 0x2833…a01d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x722341… |
| 05-13 05:49:06 | (anonymous) 0x76f7…c334 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x404264… |
| 05-13 05:49:06 | (anonymous) 0x705b…5693 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x9eeaf9… |
| 05-13 05:49:06 | Stable-Mandarin 0x2c08…724f | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x408858… |
| 05-12 22:35:55 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x85be9b… |
| 05-12 20:50:55 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xfd2b1c… |
| 05-12 20:47:58 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x8ebd90… |
| 05-12 20:45:40 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 18 | 61¢ | $11 | 0xf10e0c… |
| 05-12 20:40:48 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x02062a… |
| 05-12 20:37:58 | Lively-Photography 0x1173…eb6e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x5e8f03… |
| 05-12 20:37:39 | (anonymous) 0xde38…958e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $2 | 0x0d1a23… |
| 05-12 16:47:15 | (anonymous) 0x1657…d101 | No | BUY | 144 | 50¢ | $73 | 0xc45976… |
| 05-12 16:47:15 | (anonymous) 0x70cf…e7b3 | No | BUY | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x0fedb7… |
| 05-12 16:47:14 | Disgusting-Answer 0xe9c6…95c9 | No | BUY | 10 | 48¢ | $5 | 0x973500… |
| 05-12 10:22:36 | Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0x6ae80a… |
| 05-12 10:22:36 | (anonymous) 0x5e3d…bd04 | No | BUY | 16 | 40¢ | $6 | 0x49836f… |
| 05-12 10:22:35 | (anonymous) 0x665c…16d5 | Yes | BUY | 1,589 | 63¢ | $1,000 | 0xb6fa91… |
| 05-11 04:08:05 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x8535a5… |
| 05-11 04:08:04 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x8a4aae… |
| 05-11 04:08:04 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xed7f29… |
| 05-11 04:08:04 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xfe5ae5… |
| 05-11 04:08:04 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x697e71… |
| 05-11 04:08:04 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x3a9c1e… |
| 05-11 04:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x346eff… |
| 05-11 04:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x1c36a8… |
| 05-11 04:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x74e00c… |
| 05-11 04:08:02 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x076b92… |
| 05-11 04:08:00 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x7bff7d… |
| 05-11 04:08:00 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x71f8c8… |
| 05-11 04:08:00 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x26df75… |
| 05-11 04:08:00 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x22052c… |
| 05-11 04:08:00 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x913102… |
| 05-11 04:07:58 | Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x9c0f42… |
| 05-11 04:07:58 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xcd9c95… |
| 05-11 04:07:57 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x650822… |
| 05-11 04:07:55 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x0a0b00… |
| 05-11 04:07:55 | Scary-Rubbish-Contour 0xdb0f…6906 | No | BUY | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0x41bd80… |
| 05-11 04:07:53 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0xbe0bed… |
| 05-11 04:07:53 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x36eb71… |
| 05-11 04:07:51 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | No | SELL | 52 | 39¢ | $20 | 0xcf2775… |
| 05-11 04:07:51 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | No | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x810e9d… |
| 05-10 22:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x96850a… |
| 05-10 22:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb71ee8… |
| 05-10 22:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb5d7f8… |
| 05-10 22:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf3b582… |
| 05-10 22:42:07 | (anonymous) 0x8d1b…22e3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb270c3… |
| 05-10 20:07:06 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xa13f67… |
| 05-10 20:07:06 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | No | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x0cf464… |
| 05-10 20:07:06 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | No | BUY | 3 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x997a3c… |
| 05-10 20:07:06 | Silky-Cabbage 0x5f05…a70f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 68¢ | $1 | 0xcdd7a0… |