Helpful-Contention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55.9K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

674

Trades

1,775

lifetime

Volume

$379.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$214

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-12 21:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 26% +$42,319

Other

13% 19% -$2,318

Politics

7% 35% +$16,954

Sports

3% 27% -$1,079

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 68k on february 25	11	$26.1K	25,469	25,469	+0	Yes	+$24,748	02-25 17:31
ethereum above 2100 on march 4	10	$17.7K	16,653	16,653	+0	Yes	+$15,590	03-04 17:06
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	20	$15.8K	14,913	14,913	+0	Yes	+$12,509	02-28 07:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?	7	$13.3K	20,142	20,142	+0	Yes	+$11,735	09-03 15:36
bitcoin above 66k on august 19 2026	8	$10.8K	16,820	10,045	+6,775	Yes	+$9,234	08-19 16:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?	7	$8.7K	14,550	6,481	+8,070	No	+$4,218	09-11 16:01
bl2 h96 fur 2026 03 08 fur	4	$7.7K	6,805	6,805	+0	Yes	+$5,898	03-08 14:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$7.4K	7,072	7,072	+0	Yes	+$5,799	02-28 20:35
epl new mun 2026 03 04 new	3	$7.3K	6,275	6,275	+0	Yes	+$5,229	03-04 22:19
bitcoin above 72k on march 4	4	$6.4K	6,867	6,867	+0	Yes	+$5,689	03-04 16:08
epl wol liv 2026 03 03 wol	4	$6.1K	5,327	5,327	+0	Yes	+$4,523	03-03 22:15
bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	4	$5.7K	11,381	5,368	+6,013	Yes	+$5,009	07-14 16:11
bitcoin above 64k on august 4 2026	6	$4.9K	11,053	4,314	+6,738	Yes	+$3,516	08-04 16:01
bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	7	$4.7K	6,213	6,213	+0	Yes	+$3,123	08-20 08:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?	3	$4.7K	3,868	3,868	+0	Yes	+$2,731	08-27 15:45
bitcoin above 66k on june 15 2026	5	$4.5K	4,827	4,827	+0	Yes	+$3,643	06-15 13:36
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$4.2K	24,724	24,724	+0	No	+$295	03-17 05:35
bitcoin above 72k on august 20 2026	6	$3.8K	4,957	4,957	+0	Yes	+$1,308	08-20 15:17
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	14	$3.8K	15,183	3,200	+11,984	No	-$1,141	08-27 12:55
ethereum above 2000 on february 25	2	$3.0K	3,520	3,520	+0	Yes	+$2,790	02-25 15:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	36	$2.8K	258,402	0	+258,402	No	-$2,803	09-24 07:07
will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	5	$2.8K	8,985	8,985	+0	No	+$712	07-20 16:46
ethereum up or down on march 2	4	$2.6K	2,215	2,215	+0	Up	+$1,822	03-02 16:20
bitcoin above 80k on september 4 2026	3	$2.5K	4,289	1,740	+2,549	No	-$506	09-04 13:27
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	8	$2.4K	53,172	36,064	+17,108	No	-$1,515	09-23 05:15
will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	19	$2.2K	27,304	0	+27,304	Yes	+$25,061	08-20 15:56
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15?	2	$2.2K	2,660	2,660	+0	Yes	+$1,756	06-15 13:36
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	22	$2.1K	74,320	0	+74,320	No	-$2,080	05-19 09:02
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bil	2	$2.0K	10,244	0	+10,244	No	-$2,048	03-07 16:30
epl tot cry 2026 03 05 tot	5	$1.9K	10,631	0	+10,631	No	-$1,875	03-05 20:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 21:19:30	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	Yes	BUY	43	16¢	$7	0x6bc1ad…
10-12 21:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xaa6891…
10-12 18:00:14	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	Yes	BUY	593	17¢	$100	0x4c6007…
10-12 17:40:35	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31?	Yes	BUY	112	16¢	$18	0xc2a056…
10-10 21:44:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	No	BUY	209	9¢	$18	0xde8d36…
09-24 12:07:46	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	Yes	BUY	201	7¢	$15	0x48bcbb…
09-24 12:04:49	Exact Score: Austria 1 - 2 Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,410	4¢	$100	0x763a5e…
09-24 12:04:24	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	SELL	2,008	3¢	$69	0xe69a13…
09-24 12:04:18	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27?	Yes	SELL	3,420	2¢	$55	0x654959…
09-24 07:07:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x7ebdda…
09-23 07:54:40	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,166	9¢	$100	0x1123ba…
09-23 05:17:20	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,140	5¢	$100	0x55dac7…
09-23 05:15:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	2,244	4¢	$100	0x059e58…
09-23 05:14:46	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	682	18¢	$120	0x21535d…
09-22 16:01:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	SELL	430	100¢	$430	0x72082f…
09-22 12:35:19	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,008	3¢	$60	0x925e19…
09-22 10:12:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	430	56¢	$241	0x226e58…
09-22 10:10:54	Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4,006	5¢	$200	0x8dd5bc…
09-22 10:00:52	Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	2,739	17¢	$471	0x33a268…
09-22 09:58:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	6,681	4¢	$300	0xa17bcc…
09-21 20:36:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	163	12¢	$20	0x7aaa17…
09-21 20:36:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	545	9¢	$50	0xfe6867…
09-21 20:35:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	BUY	18,879	1¢	$100	0x35b605…
09-21 20:35:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	8,183	5¢	$400	0x934761…
09-21 20:34:28	Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xe0bc91…
09-20 11:25:15	Israel military action against Syria by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x270c68…
09-19 23:15:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	BUY	29,408	1¢	$205	0xd182ea…
09-19 23:13:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	BUY	44,971	0¢	$200	0xde28a2…
09-19 23:12:51	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	SELL	36,064	1¢	$435	0xd826f6…
09-17 16:41:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xb268a3…
09-16 13:09:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	5,673	5¢	$296	0xb20442…
09-16 13:08:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	2,499	4¢	$100	0x4a06ad…
09-16 13:08:13	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,250	8¢	$420	0xed5e81…
09-16 12:33:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	7,987	6¢	$470	0x91d5b8…
09-15 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?	Up	BUY	10,853	4¢	$400	0xd253fb…
09-15 08:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	130	38¢	$50	0xa64f4b…
09-15 08:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x96ae63…
09-15 08:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xd5e23a…
09-15 08:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xd5c907…
09-15 08:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x8ef304…
09-15 08:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0x81a659…
09-15 08:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	130	39¢	$50	0x50c06c…
09-15 08:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	131	38¢	$50	0x02fb28…
09-15 08:32:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	13,026	2¢	$300	0x4e81f9…
09-15 08:32:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	11,216	3¢	$300	0xd90d5f…
09-15 08:31:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	15,000	2¢	$300	0xa7b5b4…
09-14 13:45:48	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4,400	1¢	$44	0xdbfc92…
09-14 13:45:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x5acbd6…
09-14 10:21:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8,151	4¢	$346	0x3d91c0…
09-13 12:19:27	bitcoin up or down september 13 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xf7f128…
09-13 12:19:25	bitcoin up or down september 13 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x574ac4…
09-13 12:19:06	bitcoin up or down september 13 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x54ea4c…
09-13 12:19:04	bitcoin up or down september 13 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xc4ae52…
09-13 12:19:04	bitcoin up or down september 13 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xaa43c7…
09-13 09:35:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0xc79780…
09-13 09:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-13 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa2e5b7…
09-13 09:34:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-13 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xd2e36f…
09-13 09:33:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	10,970	3¢	$300	0x710c5b…
09-13 09:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	20,259	1¢	$120	0x1e3178…
09-13 09:27:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8,183	2¢	$200	0xad83ae…
09-11 22:02:03	US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	1,667	6¢	$100	0x551e68…
09-11 22:01:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0xe62b45…
09-11 21:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	335	3¢	$10	0xf66dea…
09-11 21:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x2f86e0…
09-11 21:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x5749d2…
09-11 21:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	230	4¢	$10	0x791739…
09-11 21:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xe13bb4…
09-11 21:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	138	13¢	$18	0x19f549…
09-11 21:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xe6bf10…
09-11 21:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	392	13¢	$50	0x483f84…
09-11 21:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	201	12¢	$24	0xdd0478…
09-11 21:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	426	12¢	$50	0x5429d2…
09-11 21:50:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	Yes	BUY	7,692	1¢	$100	0x44bfc9…
09-11 21:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3,972	1¢	$38	0xc33754…
09-11 21:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3,493	0¢	$12	0x5eba83…
09-11 21:49:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,327	18¢	$419	0xe561f5…
09-11 21:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	308	6¢	$20	0xce0ae5…
09-11 21:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x066416…
09-11 21:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	271	18¢	$50	0x7df774…
09-11 21:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xcfbd10…
09-11 21:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xb8f1c7…
09-11 21:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x4c6ecb…
09-11 21:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0xde3e54…
09-11 21:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x615918…
09-11 21:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0xd3f8a3…
09-11 21:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x950e6d…
09-11 21:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x425429…
09-11 21:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x3b999f…
09-11 21:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x27d16f…
09-11 21:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0xfc49a7…
09-11 21:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xcccbe9…
09-11 21:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xb20808…
09-11 21:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x2bf55b…
09-11 21:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x5b08aa…
09-11 21:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4,511	1¢	$50	0x769567…
09-11 21:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	490	10¢	$50	0x526376…
09-11 21:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	160	14¢	$23	0xfc08ed…
09-11 21:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xfc8d46…
09-11 21:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x0d1540…
09-11 21:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xab0109…