Wavy-Bog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$100

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

Trades

2,245

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-03 03:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 33% $-100

Other

39% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	19	$592	10,028	28	+10,000	open	—	07-22 14:44
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	12	$479	1,300	1,200	+100	open	—	04-03 15:33
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	3	$413	213	213	+0	open	—	04-03 09:32
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	141	$345	55,099	6,964	+48,135	open	—	03-29 08:26
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	18	$325	8,109	8,109	+0	open	—	08-01 14:20
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	9	$309	750	750	+0	open	—	04-01 15:36
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	9	$277	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-23 11:09
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	58	$228	25,108	16,108	+9,000	open	—	06-16 06:13
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	4	$204	124	123	+2	open	—	04-16 05:20
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	2	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	04-22 03:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	2	$187	124	124	+0	No	$-13	05-06 12:42
will bitcoin dip to 62k june 1 7 2026	3	$170	200	200	+0	open	—	06-04 01:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	2	$161	82	82	+0	No	+$1	05-07 02:54
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$161	91	91	+0	open	—	07-07 02:00
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	3	$147	100	100	+0	open	—	04-11 12:24
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$146	300	286	+14	open	—	04-14 06:26
btc updown 5m 1773928200	2	$139	93	91	+1	open	—	03-19 13:54
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	123	$138	40,926	12,040	+28,885	open	—	06-28 09:12
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	15	$138	5,000	3,799	+1,201	open	—	03-23 12:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$131	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-10 12:36
btc updown 5m 1774150500	3	$128	147	42	+105	open	—	03-22 03:39
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	3	$118	93	90	+2	open	—	04-17 12:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	3	$111	104	104	+0	open	—	04-30 14:17
bitcoin above 78k on april 22	6	$111	132	128	+4	open	—	04-22 05:51
bitcoin above 68k on april 2	12	$105	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-02 11:57
bitcoin above 70k on april 1	8	$100	551	235	+316	open	—	04-01 10:16
btc updown 5m 1773840300	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	03-18 13:29
btc updown 5m 1777024500	3	$96	115	17	+98	open	—	04-24 09:59
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	6	$96	128	100	+28	open	—	04-07 12:34
elon musk of tweets april 4 april 6 65 89	1	$91	100	0	+100	open	—	04-06 09:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 03:19:23	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb53640…
08-03 03:10:06	bitcoin above 63000 on august 3 2026 12am et	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x9d65c1…
08-01 14:20:08	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,359	1¢	$33	0x73dc99…
08-01 14:10:12	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	339	1¢	$5	0x4c0d78…
08-01 14:02:11	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	260	1¢	$4	0xe2603e…
08-01 13:49:51	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6d13e9…
08-01 13:49:41	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x98afaf…
07-23 09:39:40	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$42	0xf89d12…
07-22 14:44:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$98	0x3b3c53…
07-14 14:26:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,000	5¢	$150	0xaccec8…
07-13 03:16:19	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	1¢	$42	0x369c2d…
07-13 03:14:40	btc updown 5m 1783912200	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7ad3a2…
07-13 03:13:26	btc updown 5m 1783912200	Down	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x951c96…
07-13 02:59:43	btc updown 5m 1783911300	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8d50fd…
07-09 07:24:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 9 2026	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2cf17b…
07-07 02:00:40	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xa40e06…
07-07 01:01:58	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	91	77¢	$70	0x9d880f…
06-28 09:12:32	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xd8e6c7…
06-28 08:58:10	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x476679…
06-28 08:37:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb787b2…
06-27 13:24:11	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x03b390…
06-27 04:24:38	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$26	0xf39ccb…
06-26 07:10:52	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x349ff4…
06-26 07:09:20	Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	700	0¢	$1	0xd7f51d…
06-26 00:52:17	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	3¢	$2	0xb96338…
06-26 00:52:07	Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x2a8dc5…
06-25 01:59:14	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,000	7¢	$207	0xcff054…
06-25 00:50:41	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	530	7¢	$37	0x6c9c25…
06-24 23:05:47	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$13	0xa4154c…
06-24 22:59:08	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0xaa9a5e…
06-24 19:36:58	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x6a3a65…
06-24 14:44:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	889	7¢	$59	0xf593a4…
06-24 13:33:44	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0xe5607a…
06-24 13:33:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x2b9df6…
06-24 13:05:17	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x69d825…
06-24 11:20:04	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x1eb6c3…
06-24 11:13:37	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	49	7¢	$3	0xcf3c3e…
06-24 10:56:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	7¢	$3	0x597c01…
06-24 10:54:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xd9c3eb…
06-24 10:38:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x645fdc…
06-24 10:34:47	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf69b49…
06-22 13:28:56	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0x2df9d4…
06-22 13:14:53	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x6bd406…
06-22 13:10:26	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xeb0ca6…
06-22 13:01:04	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1cc808…
06-22 12:48:52	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xc18059…
06-22 12:48:47	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd9b126…
06-22 12:21:37	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xc41b29…
06-22 10:48:01	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x23c055…
06-22 10:32:17	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	63	0¢	$0	0xf036d7…
06-22 10:24:41	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x86a459…
06-22 10:22:46	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x35d318…
06-22 10:10:41	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0x123a7d…
06-22 10:06:59	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	59	0¢	$0	0xd0bd7b…
06-22 10:05:43	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x34eee9…
06-22 09:52:17	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	46	0¢	$0	0x8b8e0a…
06-22 09:18:31	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x71a415…
06-22 08:28:01	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xe09b82…
06-22 08:27:41	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0x341b24…
06-22 08:00:38	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x4f1533…
06-22 07:36:23	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0xa2a794…
06-22 07:27:26	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x92784d…
06-22 07:25:25	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x74f37c…
06-22 07:20:13	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0xf3f753…
06-22 07:16:01	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x772ac9…
06-22 06:59:55	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0x771bd7…
06-22 05:52:10	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf32ad3…
06-22 05:34:46	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x444ca1…
06-22 05:15:19	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x42ae6e…
06-22 05:05:11	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x6db50b…
06-22 05:03:16	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xd6d328…
06-22 05:01:20	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x19f186…
06-22 04:50:35	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1811e9…
06-22 04:22:01	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x5672f8…
06-22 03:32:23	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x6f1bc4…
06-22 03:27:01	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x243d98…
06-22 02:23:10	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x449e5b…
06-22 02:15:41	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x08ef2e…
06-22 01:45:20	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0xad9767…
06-22 01:02:55	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	55	0¢	$0	0x7285cc…
06-22 01:00:44	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	52	0¢	$0	0xb4ecd1…
06-22 00:51:01	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xd1cc4f…
06-22 00:47:44	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xdaf2a0…
06-22 00:45:14	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$22	0x1eeb96…
06-22 00:25:26	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x538258…
06-21 23:50:17	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x4f8235…
06-21 23:46:16	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x1d4bcc…
06-21 23:25:34	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb09d78…
06-21 23:21:31	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x87599d…
06-21 23:18:25	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0xd73059…
06-21 22:54:41	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0xf66499…
06-21 22:10:49	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x09c7cc…
06-21 20:41:19	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x55d417…
06-21 20:07:56	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0xfaddcb…
06-21 20:04:16	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9bcc4d…
06-21 20:03:04	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x953f7b…
06-21 20:00:26	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x33fd3e…
06-21 19:59:16	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0x258c76…
06-21 19:51:44	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x0891bb…
06-21 19:35:10	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x277d82…