Wavy-Bog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$537

Unrealized P&L

-$310

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

611

Trades

2,702

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$102

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 21:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Other

50% 17% +$1,312

Crypto

48% 33% -$739

Politics

2% 15% -$85

Sports

0% 100% +$50

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes		+4,979	$412	2¢	$102	-$310	10-29 10:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria?	15	$987	1,092	1,092	+0	Yes	+$979	06-28 04:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	40	$910	11,986	7,007	+4,979	open	—	10-29 10:28
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	107	$609	30,108	40,108	-10,000	No	+$54	06-16 06:13
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	28	$483	17,109	17,109	+0	No	-$61	08-21 04:26
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	12	$479	1,300	1,200	+100	No	+$250	04-03 15:33
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 240 259	3	$413	213	213	+0	No	+$13	04-03 09:32
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	141	$345	55,099	6,964	+48,135	No	-$17	03-29 08:26
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	9	$309	750	750	+0	Yes	+$249	04-01 15:36
bitcoin above 72k on march 23	9	$277	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$267	03-23 11:09
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	133	$261	42,229	17,040	+25,189	No	+$47	06-28 09:12
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	4	$204	124	123	+2	No	+$42	04-16 05:20
will bitcoin reach 78k on april 21	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$1	04-22 03:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	2	$187	124	124	+0	No	-$13	05-06 12:42
will bitcoin dip to 62k june 1 7 2026	3	$170	200	200	+0	Yes	+$118	06-04 01:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4?	22	$165	2,000	500	+1,501	No	+$73	06-04 14:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 6?	2	$161	82	82	+0	No	+$1	05-07 02:54
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	2	$161	91	91	+0	Belgium	+$21	07-07 02:00
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 65 89	3	$147	100	100	+0	Yes	+$5	04-11 12:24
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$146	300	286	+14	No	+$32	04-14 06:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 13:50 UTC	2	$139	93	91	+1	Up	+$41	03-19 13:54
bitcoin above 74k on march 23	15	$138	5,000	3,799	+1,201	No	+$128	03-23 12:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$131	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-10 12:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 03:35 UTC	3	$128	147	42	+105	Up	+$23	03-22 03:39
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	3	$118	93	90	+2	Yes	+$23	04-17 12:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	3	$111	104	104	+0	Yes	+$18	04-30 14:17
bitcoin above 78k on april 22	6	$111	132	128	+4	Yes	+$19	04-22 05:51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$109	61	61	+0	Yes	+$5	05-19 14:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?	3	$108	71	71	+0	No	+$8	05-04 12:48
bitcoin above 68k on april 2	12	$105	1,500	0	+1,500	No	-$105	04-02 11:57
bitcoin above 70k on april 1	8	$100	551	235	+316	No	-$2	04-01 10:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 21:49:28	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,800	0¢	$2	0x8abd83…
10-31 20:07:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x12457c…
10-31 18:13:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xb645be…
10-31 07:20:19	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xa45a52…
10-31 06:27:51	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0x4f62ba…
10-31 05:26:51	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x08efe2…
10-31 05:13:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xe80e3c…
10-31 05:08:58	will bitcoin reach 81k on october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0xf85771…
10-31 05:02:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$10	0x39312e…
10-29 10:28:23	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4,979	3¢	$159	0x6ff66e…
09-19 13:56:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	909	4¢	$33	0x619e54…
09-19 12:15:45	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0x525ff1…
09-19 12:15:27	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xc4a7d7…
09-19 12:14:54	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xb3cc02…
09-19 12:14:14	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xc85609…
09-19 12:13:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xdd6c94…
09-19 12:13:17	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xb72279…
09-19 12:12:38	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xc99503…
09-19 12:12:09	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x33034a…
09-19 12:11:53	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x72dfe6…
09-19 12:11:51	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x8e03d2…
09-19 12:11:42	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf08787…
09-19 12:11:32	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x4d444d…
09-19 12:11:21	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xe0d839…
09-19 12:11:11	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x548080…
09-19 12:11:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xcdfce5…
09-19 12:01:41	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$6	0x15d24c…
09-19 11:14:39	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$14	0x1ca098…
09-19 11:14:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	160	4¢	$6	0xd4c288…
09-18 13:13:09	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0xdc9237…
09-01 04:48:22	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,662	0¢	$3	0x5155d7…
09-01 04:20:42	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	338	0¢	$0	0xb5c5fb…
08-30 04:22:28	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xe7feef…
08-29 00:48:37	will bitcoin reach 80k on august 28 2026	Yes	BUY	532	1¢	$3	0x762241…
08-29 00:21:37	will bitcoin reach 80k on august 28 2026	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x59d94b…
08-29 00:21:06	will bitcoin reach 80k on august 28 2026	Yes	BUY	262	0¢	$1	0x24030c…
08-29 00:13:24	will bitcoin dip to 76k on august 28 2026	Yes	BUY	800	1¢	$7	0x6003ec…
08-28 02:34:24	will bitcoin dip to 76k august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x5e6ce8…
08-26 17:17:22	will bitcoin dip to 68k august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	575	1¢	$7	0x04df76…
08-26 10:02:13	will bitcoin dip to 68k august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x1e60b1…
08-26 01:56:28	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0xb39fb2…
08-26 01:56:28	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x72ea49…
08-26 01:56:27	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x8e0f5e…
08-26 01:56:25	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xf55083…
08-26 01:56:21	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0xc41d16…
08-26 01:56:12	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2be181…
08-26 01:56:04	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	38	1¢	$0	0x28bcfc…
08-26 01:55:55	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xdb905b…
08-26 01:55:42	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x9d68d6…
08-26 01:55:39	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	108	1¢	$1	0xa7fd0b…
08-26 01:55:31	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xa1f9bd…
08-26 01:55:18	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xa1ed0a…
08-26 01:55:03	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xad1986…
08-26 01:54:55	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x04469f…
08-26 01:54:28	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	32	1¢	$0	0xe0fe06…
08-26 01:53:49	will bitcoin dip to 77k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x6dd91d…
08-21 04:28:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9a6e2c…
08-21 04:28:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x65b772…
08-21 04:27:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xc6ea1e…
08-21 04:27:19	will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	Yes	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x702b39…
08-21 04:26:39	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,210	1¢	$42	0x0e39f4…
08-21 04:25:06	will bitcoin reach 76k august 17 23 2026	Yes	BUY	60	66¢	$40	0x2e25aa…
08-21 04:19:18	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x993fc4…
08-21 04:17:18	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,790	1¢	$34	0x100009…
08-15 15:01:03	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,863	1¢	$15	0x025826…
08-15 12:15:31	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	664	1¢	$5	0x2c4603…
08-15 11:48:10	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	353	1¢	$3	0xa65b9b…
08-15 10:57:13	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,100	1¢	$9	0x7e91a5…
08-15 04:00:49	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf49f87…
08-15 02:39:54	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x579f4f…
08-14 13:45:19	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$50	0x3da7b2…
08-14 13:44:24	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,000	4¢	$88	0x549a5e…
08-03 03:19:23	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb53640…
08-03 03:10:06	bitcoin above 63000 on august 3 2026 12am et	Yes	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x9d65c1…
08-01 14:20:08	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,359	1¢	$33	0x73dc99…
08-01 14:10:12	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	339	1¢	$5	0x4c0d78…
08-01 14:02:11	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	260	1¢	$4	0xe2603e…
08-01 13:49:51	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x6d13e9…
08-01 13:49:41	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x98afaf…
07-23 09:39:40	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	1¢	$42	0xf89d12…
07-22 14:44:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$98	0x3b3c53…
07-19 13:42:31	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	531	3¢	$15	0x9ab67e…
07-19 12:07:06	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x5be95e…
07-18 00:04:48	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0x9dc433…
07-17 23:48:39	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x155bc1…
07-17 01:22:34	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0x70adf5…
07-15 05:54:46	Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xd1d0df…
07-15 05:54:08	Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x059806…
07-15 05:53:44	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x787e93…
07-15 05:52:17	Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	176	2¢	$3	0x41de6c…
07-15 05:51:07	Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0xb98ff5…
07-15 05:50:52	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd117f4…
07-15 05:50:08	Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x7d0ca1…
07-15 05:50:01	Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x3a6f59…
07-14 14:26:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3,000	5¢	$150	0xaccec8…
07-13 03:33:04	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x865b39…
07-13 03:32:31	Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x9102ef…
07-13 03:32:28	Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x4cf2df…
07-13 03:16:19	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,000	1¢	$42	0x369c2d…
07-13 03:14:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x7ad3a2…