Mindless-Swath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

292

Trades

1,127

lifetime

Volume

$525.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$466

Open exposure

$626

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 10-18 11:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 94% -$26,983

Other

15% 83% -$599

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No		+924	$739	68¢	$626	-$114	10-02 07:51
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No		+0	-$124	100¢	$0	+$124	10-18 11:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	15	$24.7K	40,765	16,215	+24,550	No	-$2,952	06-01 18:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	10	$18.4K	34,397	0	+34,397	Yes	-$18,372	05-25 08:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	6	$9.2K	4,906	4,906	+0	No	+$181	05-22 20:14
bitcoin above 68k on august 7 2026	8	$8.9K	4,453	4,453	-0	No	+$22	08-07 01:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	6	$8.2K	4,273	4,273	+0	No	+$161	05-25 11:07
bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	17	$8.1K	4,079	4,079	+0	No	+$26	08-06 15:09
bitcoin above 64k on august 16 2026	13	$7.6K	3,825	3,825	+0	No	+$84	08-16 15:13
bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	16	$7.3K	3,950	3,450	+500	No	+$91	08-14 08:36
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	6	$7.2K	4,286	3,388	+898	No	-$10	06-24 07:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 2?	4	$7.0K	3,600	3,600	+0	Yes	-$26	09-02 10:36
bitcoin above 66k on august 4 2026	20	$7.0K	3,567	3,567	+0	No	+$154	08-04 10:37
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	4	$6.6K	3,400	3,400	+0	No	+$123	06-19 06:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	2	$6.4K	3,549	3,549	+0	Yes	+$372	06-04 08:17
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	3	$6.3K	4,071	3,571	+500	Yes	-$335	06-12 03:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$6.3K	3,315	3,315	+0	No	+$250	05-24 17:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31?	2	$6.1K	3,093	3,093	+0	No	+$90	05-30 17:50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$6.0K	26,636	0	+26,636	Yes	-$6,000	05-25 11:09
bitcoin above 66k on august 1 2026	4	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$21	08-01 03:15
bitcoin above 68k on august 21 2026	3	$5.9K	2,965	2,965	+0	Yes	+$25	08-21 03:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	2	$5.8K	2,925	2,925	+0	No	+$22	05-31 17:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	3	$5.5K	2,850	2,850	+0	No	+$107	05-17 13:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 24?	18	$5.5K	2,829	2,829	+0	Yes	+$156	07-22 16:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	3	$5.3K	2,697	2,697	+0	No	+$94	05-19 16:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	6	$5.2K	4,200	1,000	+3,200	Yes	+$19	09-01 15:13
bitcoin above 60k on august 1 2026	6	$5.2K	3,400	1,800	+1,600	Yes	+$22	08-01 15:23
bitcoin above 68k on july 30 2026	9	$4.8K	2,440	2,440	+0	No	+$41	07-29 20:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 17?	1	$4.8K	4,781	0	+4,781	No	+$10	09-16 16:47
bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	7	$4.8K	2,500	2,500	+0	Yes	-$221	08-19 15:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?	1	$4.7K	4,772	0	+4,772	Yes	+$29	09-15 16:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	3	$4.6K	4,603	0	+4,603	No	+$46	04-29 06:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 11:00:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	814	99¢	$805	0xf016ae…
10-17 23:59:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0xf6cb85…
10-17 22:56:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	506	99¢	$500	0x3c1a84…
10-17 20:20:41	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9aaaca…
10-06 20:22:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	463	99¢	$459	0x33f6a4…
10-06 20:17:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	No	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x6c4612…
10-02 07:51:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?	No	BUY	924	80¢	$739	0xeb9424…
10-02 07:45:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,396	90¢	$1,257	0x81121e…
10-02 07:44:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	505	99¢	$499	0x4ece62…
10-02 07:41:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a6e8c…
09-23 14:31:49	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	SELL	2,500	49¢	$1,231	0x416361…
09-23 13:54:14	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	98¢	$2,457	0x186e0c…
09-23 10:07:32	bitcoin above 82k on september 23 2026	Yes	SELL	1,008	100¢	$1,003	0x4b7e4e…
09-23 10:02:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x310b09…
09-23 10:01:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3a9600…
09-23 09:55:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x369931…
09-23 09:50:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x438958…
09-23 09:45:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x8f5ce0…
09-23 09:35:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	SELL	748	99¢	$744	0x7ca5e9…
09-22 18:51:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	382	100¢	$381	0x8ac25a…
09-22 18:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	1,778	99¢	$1,760	0xd8951f…
09-22 16:33:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	985	100¢	$982	0xcd9fa5…
09-22 16:32:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xdd8e1b…
09-22 16:31:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe47601…
09-22 16:30:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 21-27?	Yes	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x960d4f…
09-21 18:28:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x589c99…
09-21 18:28:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x5c1bcc…
09-21 18:28:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	400	99¢	$397	0x4b8fd9…
09-21 18:27:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	430	99¢	$427	0xb84b1d…
09-21 18:27:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	427	99¢	$424	0xa59c04…
09-21 03:16:29	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 14 20 2026	No	BUY	1,676	100¢	$1,674	0xec0b2f…
09-21 03:04:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6948e5…
09-21 03:03:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x88bb95…
09-21 03:00:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0f1279…
09-20 18:29:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0x398bf7…
09-20 18:10:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xac89b4…
09-20 17:55:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	320	99¢	$318	0xd99fec…
09-20 17:54:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	331	99¢	$329	0x97f26d…
09-20 17:45:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb8bfe4…
09-20 17:15:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	370	99¢	$368	0xc36dfd…
09-20 17:15:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0xe2fa6c…
09-20 16:55:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	430	100¢	$428	0x5ebea0…
09-20 07:02:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	2,231	100¢	$2,227	0xa945ed…
09-19 23:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	1,692	100¢	$1,685	0x024096…
09-18 16:27:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	1,909	100¢	$1,905	0xd60fd6…
09-18 14:42:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	No	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0xc7c501…
09-17 17:46:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xe44372…
09-17 17:45:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	350	99¢	$346	0xbea317…
09-17 17:44:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	800	99¢	$792	0xd2a7be…
09-17 17:44:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	845	99¢	$837	0xf18e90…
09-17 17:42:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x225ce2…
09-17 17:40:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?	No	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x715f97…
09-17 17:38:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x36191a…
09-17 17:38:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	1,694	100¢	$1,689	0x9b2fce…
09-16 16:47:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	4,781	100¢	$4,771	0x502ec2…
09-15 16:26:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	4,772	99¢	$4,743	0xee33c6…
09-14 17:14:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	1,038	100¢	$1,036	0x829394…
09-14 17:13:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	2,600	100¢	$2,595	0x8961bd…
09-14 14:05:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe94762…
09-14 10:45:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	146	98¢	$144	0x6fcc15…
09-14 10:44:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x8da8bb…
09-14 10:43:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xd319d4…
09-14 10:40:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	257	100¢	$256	0xa1344d…
09-14 10:32:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x94504d…
09-14 10:15:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	500	98¢	$491	0xc97f53…
09-14 10:14:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	333	98¢	$327	0x08178d…
09-14 10:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0xd49eeb…
09-14 10:12:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xdf5809…
09-14 10:12:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	1,694	100¢	$1,689	0x7a6454…
09-14 07:19:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	830	100¢	$826	0x5403b1…
09-14 07:19:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xf61121…
09-14 02:55:18	will bitcoin dip to 76k september 7 13 2026	No	BUY	158	100¢	$157	0x346b5c…
09-14 02:54:06	will bitcoin dip to 76k september 7 13 2026	No	BUY	580	99¢	$577	0x549eaa…
09-14 02:53:48	will bitcoin dip to 76k september 7 13 2026	No	BUY	770	99¢	$765	0x8ffd54…
09-14 02:51:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5d605d…
09-13 19:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xeaa1a9…
09-13 03:16:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 September 7-13?	No	BUY	453	100¢	$452	0x7d3785…
09-13 03:04:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xc3173e…
09-13 03:02:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	3,833	100¢	$3,825	0x05e2af…
09-11 17:16:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x918a83…
09-11 17:14:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	2,350	99¢	$2,333	0x05f0dd…
09-11 17:13:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	310	99¢	$307	0xdf2df5…
09-10 19:06:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	929	100¢	$924	0xd5deb7…
09-10 19:04:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x86cec1…
09-10 17:34:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	663	99¢	$656	0x464291…
09-10 16:34:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	1,256	98¢	$1,230	0x9a1d21…
09-10 03:54:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x24fbb7…
09-10 03:54:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x1871e8…
09-10 03:53:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	848	98¢	$830	0x1293c8…
09-10 03:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	900	99¢	$894	0x2dbd83…
09-09 14:09:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	822	99¢	$812	0x8a0800…
09-09 08:06:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	750	98¢	$735	0xbf3ba4…
09-09 08:03:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	987	99¢	$978	0x291fbf…
09-09 02:28:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x7ab357…
09-09 02:27:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0xcf4981…
09-08 22:52:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0x2a9711…
09-08 16:40:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	900	99¢	$895	0x7f17ac…
09-08 09:29:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	620	100¢	$618	0x87d181…
09-08 03:11:30	bitcoin above 76k on september 8 2026	Yes	BUY	1,500	98¢	$1,476	0x247a52…
09-08 02:45:21	bitcoin above 76k on september 8 2026	Yes	BUY	594	99¢	$587	0x1c8958…