Breakable-Amazement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$308.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

7,402

Trades

88,422

lifetime

Volume

$8.25M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-26 19:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 229 days

Categories

Other

95% 57% +$103,852

Sports

5% 100% +$204,755

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 2616 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on july 1 2026	627	$166.6K	237,278	+237,278	Down	-$9,932	07-01 19:54
nba atl dal 2026 03 18	1	$129.2K	174,588	+174,588	Hawks	+$45,393	03-18 22:52
spx up or down on june 26 2026	598	$126.5K	173,528	+173,528	Down	-$57,806	06-26 19:58
spx up or down on june 24 2026	314	$109.6K	145,006	+145,006	Down	+$5,887	06-24 19:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	437	$103.4K	178,365	+178,365	Up	-$14,932	05-11 19:21
nba lac dal 2026 03 21	3	$97.5K	137,303	+137,303	Clippers	+$39,818	03-21 23:08
nba gsw nyk 2026 03 15	1	$88.0K	100,000	+100,000	Knicks	+$12,000	03-15 20:55
spx up or down on july 13 2026	247	$86.6K	102,243	+102,243	Down	+$15,677	07-13 15:36
spx up or down on june 25 2026	465	$81.3K	104,576	+104,576	Down	-$27,042	06-25 19:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	204	$76.7K	95,234	+95,234	Up	+$4,707	06-02 19:30
mlb col sf 2026 07 09	1	$65.7K	131,490	+131,490	San Francisco Giants	+$65,745	07-10 02:44
spx up or down on july 2 2026	259	$62.2K	96,674	+96,674	Up	-$37,206	07-02 19:57
djia up or down on july 8 2026	86	$62.0K	106,924	+106,924	Down	-$2,757	07-08 15:50
djia up or down on june 25 2026	135	$62.0K	115,831	+115,831	Up	+$2,393	06-25 19:51
aapl close above 310 on june 8 2026	66	$58.6K	69,312	+69,312	No	-$55,308	06-08 18:05
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$58.2K	100,000	+100,000	Yes	+$41,800	07-15 20:57
spx up or down on june 29 2026	116	$54.2K	73,432	+73,432	Up	-$3,056	06-29 15:43
spx up or down on july 10 2026	234	$49.1K	70,969	+70,969	Up	-$10,347	07-10 17:37
amzn up or down on january 21 2026	111	$47.9K	76,147	+76,147	Up	-$8,048	01-21 20:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?	215	$47.5K	84,942	+84,942	Down	+$20,898	05-18 19:06
aapl up or down on june 8 2026	87	$43.7K	46,146	+46,146	Down	-$43,450	06-08 18:08
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$40.5K	150,000	+150,000	Yes	-$40,500	07-07 15:50
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	196	$39.2K	76,537	+76,537	No	+$26,092	05-28 13:59
djia up or down on june 12 2026	57	$38.0K	54,164	+54,164	Up	+$10,865	06-12 17:37
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	77	$36.3K	55,152	+55,152	No	+$11,047	05-29 13:40
spx up or down on july 8 2026	150	$35.7K	40,049	+40,049	Down	+$4,350	07-08 19:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	248	$34.9K	108,112	+108,112	Up	-$14,154	04-27 19:50
googl close above 325 on february 9 2026	59	$34.1K	61,921	+61,921	No	-$2,694	02-09 20:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	338	$33.5K	131,142	+131,142	Down	+$34,775	05-04 18:20
djia up or down on july 1 2026	62	$30.8K	42,411	+42,411	Down	-$458	07-01 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:55:33	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,728	85¢	$1,469	0x2bd440…
10-26 19:55:29	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xe0928f…
10-26 19:55:21	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	No	BUY	2,000	78¢	$1,560	0x85af3c…
10-26 19:54:45	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	89	30¢	$27	0x8bf94d…
10-26 19:54:17	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $600 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x4ed392…
10-26 19:54:05	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	No	BUY	2,005	67¢	$1,333	0x6b9505…
10-26 19:54:05	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	No	BUY	1,115	67¢	$747	0x2d37cf…
10-26 19:53:26	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	1,095	71¢	$777	0x60c677…
10-26 19:53:18	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	2,000	81¢	$1,620	0xa6b2dd…
10-26 19:47:18	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0xa7f707…
10-26 19:47:18	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$9	0xa03aa2…
10-26 19:45:00	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x090224…
10-26 19:44:45	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdadfd3…
10-26 19:44:24	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xfbd801…
10-26 19:23:39	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	268	81¢	$217	0x8f519a…
10-26 19:07:27	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	23	85¢	$19	0xcabe1d…
10-26 19:07:14	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x961dce…
10-26 19:07:14	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x7190fa…
10-26 18:55:57	Will Meta (META) close above $630 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	126	74¢	$93	0xe044c6…
10-26 18:55:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $555 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x37edf4…
10-26 18:52:47	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $520 on October 27?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x9b5c9e…
10-26 18:50:27	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x397b9a…
10-26 18:50:24	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x284816…
10-26 18:48:24	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xa18b0d…
10-26 18:47:41	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	55	88¢	$49	0xe39509…
10-26 18:46:35	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0xc0d99a…
10-26 18:46:33	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xda9fed…
10-26 18:46:33	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	46	88¢	$40	0x4478f5…
10-26 18:46:32	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	240	87¢	$209	0xc169ca…
10-26 18:46:32	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xbf3e2b…
10-26 18:39:33	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xfc0e83…
10-26 18:39:33	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0xe70f72…
10-26 18:39:32	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	65	90¢	$59	0xf6747d…
10-26 18:39:27	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	71	90¢	$64	0xf90507…
10-26 18:39:27	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	77	90¢	$69	0xad615e…
10-26 18:39:26	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	41	90¢	$37	0x58fb0f…
10-26 18:39:24	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xe12e2a…
10-26 18:39:24	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x6f4234…
10-26 18:39:24	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x6d6f11…
10-26 18:39:15	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x4ccf56…
10-26 18:39:03	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xa2da49…
10-26 18:38:48	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	125	89¢	$112	0x1a3663…
10-26 18:38:41	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0x16c783…
10-26 18:38:12	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	48	86¢	$42	0x92c9d7…
10-26 18:37:57	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	45	86¢	$38	0xde6111…
10-26 18:37:51	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0x4721b6…
10-26 18:37:50	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	56	86¢	$48	0xa56241…
10-26 18:37:50	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	52	86¢	$44	0x53103f…
10-26 18:37:39	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0x959c1b…
10-26 18:37:39	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	49	86¢	$42	0x9252df…
10-26 18:37:32	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	54	86¢	$47	0x5d9664…
10-26 18:37:30	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x48e879…
10-26 18:37:29	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	73	86¢	$63	0x6ba80a…
10-26 18:37:29	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	92	86¢	$79	0x08e4a4…
10-26 18:37:26	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	96	86¢	$83	0x7584bc…
10-26 18:37:26	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	88	86¢	$76	0x14a134…
10-26 18:37:24	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	110	86¢	$95	0xfba1a2…
10-26 18:37:24	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	121	86¢	$104	0x9e82dc…
10-26 18:37:21	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	86	84¢	$72	0xf8fd7b…
10-26 18:37:21	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	128	84¢	$107	0xa5c6ea…
10-26 18:37:20	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	186	86¢	$160	0xe464f7…
10-26 18:37:18	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	197	86¢	$170	0x910ab0…
10-26 18:37:18	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	250	86¢	$215	0x5b4ee7…
10-26 18:37:17	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	149	84¢	$125	0x9aff96…
10-26 18:37:17	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	162	84¢	$136	0x5e1902…
10-26 18:37:15	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	101	82¢	$83	0x817aae…
10-26 18:37:15	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	111	82¢	$91	0x131a76…
10-26 18:33:54	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	27	80¢	$21	0x7a01b1…
10-26 18:33:47	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $228 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x27ebb3…
10-26 18:29:00	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xdca4d7…
10-26 18:29:00	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x2e2809…
10-26 18:28:57	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xd3fbab…
10-26 18:28:57	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x3714db…
10-26 18:28:39	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	42	90¢	$38	0xeac87d…
10-26 18:28:27	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0xd0a415…
10-26 18:28:17	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xc07919…
10-26 18:28:17	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	600	91¢	$546	0x2e6377…
10-26 18:28:15	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0xcb9c92…
10-26 18:28:15	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0x93b8b0…
10-26 18:28:09	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $532.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x17beb0…
10-26 18:27:57	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	1,877	88¢	$1,652	0x98b328…
10-26 18:27:41	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x252ce0…
10-26 18:26:11	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0x948fe1…
10-26 18:21:03	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x17630a…
10-26 18:20:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x5b483a…
10-26 18:19:59	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $520 on October 27?	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x095a0f…
10-26 18:19:56	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x1ba072…
10-26 18:19:47	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	986	29¢	$286	0xa53b1e…
10-26 18:19:47	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $520 on October 27?	No	BUY	897	22¢	$197	0x9257f2…
10-26 18:15:02	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0x615045…
10-26 18:13:14	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x9a7388…
10-26 18:12:30	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x53b7e4…
10-26 18:12:23	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xffb536…
10-26 18:12:23	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x9a9c37…
10-26 18:12:20	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xdb862e…
10-26 18:12:18	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	20	92¢	$19	0x5f3c86…
10-26 18:12:06	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0x565d1c…
10-26 18:12:06	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x214d10…
10-26 18:11:45	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x4a8b6b…
10-26 18:11:32	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0xbaf4ab…