Charming-Pupil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.28K

Unrealized P&L

+$63

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

Trades

696

lifetime

Volume

$200.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$288

Open exposure

$549

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-19 03:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

99% 77% +$7,285

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes		+593	$486	92¢	$549	+$63	07-11 11:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will february 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	22	$33.0K	42,783	583	+42,200	open	—	03-03 20:09
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in january 2026	100	$19.9K	28,443	381	+28,061	open	—	02-11 13:09
will january 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record	7	$12.7K	14,269	0	+14,269	open	—	01-17 12:41
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	20	$12.6K	15,785	1,335	+14,449	open	—	02-26 12:34
will february 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	4	$9.4K	12,471	396	+12,075	open	—	03-03 12:20
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in march 2026	16	$7.9K	9,097	0	+9,097	open	—	03-20 14:20
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt19c in january 2026	5	$7.4K	7,938	0	+7,938	open	—	01-16 15:05
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	13	$7.1K	7,964	0	+7,964	No	+$901	04-17 17:32
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in february 2026 988	5	$6.6K	6,169	750	+5,419	open	—	03-11 11:06
will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in march 2026	21	$6.0K	6,972	1,303	+5,670	open	—	04-07 14:33
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt24c in february 2026	39	$5.9K	16,637	6,868	+9,769	open	—	03-11 12:49
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	19	$5.4K	5,422	4,234	+1,188	open	—	04-07 05:47
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	34	$5.4K	9,887	911	+8,975	Yes	+$4,185	04-28 00:36
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in january 2026	93	$5.3K	13,395	5,986	+7,409	open	—	02-09 23:55
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt00c in january 2026	10	$5.1K	5,747	0	+5,747	open	—	01-16 12:36
will global temperature increase by between 1pt25c and 1pt29c in march 2026	29	$4.5K	5,176	815	+4,361	open	—	04-09 15:03
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?	3	$4.4K	4,745	0	+4,745	No	+$314	04-13 00:29
will january 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	4	$3.9K	2,256	2,256	+0	open	—	01-14 12:45
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	26	$3.8K	5,356	0	+5,356	Yes	+$1,550	04-28 00:04
will global temperature increase by between 1pt05c and 1pt09c in december 2025	12	$3.5K	9,399	0	+9,399	open	—	01-12 13:23
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	19	$2.9K	4,518	2,198	+2,320	No	+$248	04-28 05:26
nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	2	$2.8K	3,495	0	+3,495	open	—	07-19 03:42
will global temperature increase by less than 1pt10c in march 2026	53	$2.6K	2,797	0	+2,797	open	—	03-17 02:58
will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	14	$2.5K	10,843	0	+10,843	open	—	03-08 21:30
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	22	$2.4K	5,200	878	+4,322	No	$-965	04-27 18:48
will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in march 2026	19	$2.2K	2,710	670	+2,040	open	—	03-30 15:29
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	5	$2.0K	2,306	0	+2,306	No	+$289	04-23 18:10
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$1.7K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-29 19:38
will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in february 2026 838	25	$1.4K	2,427	2,427	+0	open	—	03-05 03:45
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	1	$1.3K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-30 16:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 03:42:34	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	Yes	BUY	2,109	90¢	$1,898	0x7670f7…
07-18 17:52:04	philadelphia air quality index below 100 by july 19 2026 20260717132206211	Yes	BUY	125	78¢	$98	0x67f00e…
07-18 17:24:48	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 19 20260717052446992	Yes	BUY	1,386	65¢	$899	0x9b3ab5…
07-11 11:21:35	Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	593	82¢	$486	0x0b1113…
06-30 16:02:53	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	2,000	63¢	$1,260	0x3704db…
06-30 00:53:19	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Netherlands	BUY	2,000	59¢	$1,180	0xa0bdef…
06-29 19:38:59	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	2,000	87¢	$1,740	0xae464d…
06-27 20:48:22	mlb chc mil 2026 06 27	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	2,000	59¢	$1,180	0xea5287…
06-26 22:37:35	mlb chc mil 2026 06 26	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	1,000	69¢	$690	0x12bf08…
06-18 03:02:02	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x3ae5b6…
06-01 13:42:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x57156e…
06-01 13:42:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	737	49¢	$361	0x229a8f…
06-01 13:42:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x06262f…
06-01 13:42:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0xf7eee2…
06-01 13:42:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7c0810…
06-01 13:42:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x78a0e6…
06-01 13:42:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x467d06…
05-11 19:23:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	267	24¢	$64	0xb8b431…
05-08 16:46:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	436	2¢	$7	0x64cb9a…
05-08 16:36:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb3d65d…
05-08 16:32:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf44541…
05-08 16:17:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	548	2¢	$8	0xfdc60f…
05-08 16:16:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x96bfc4…
05-08 16:13:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0671df…
05-04 14:28:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	1,000	35¢	$350	0x4f335d…
04-28 05:26:36	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xc24301…
04-28 00:36:12	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,038	70¢	$723	0xdb596b…
04-28 00:34:40	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	69¢	$161	0xaed8ed…
04-28 00:34:20	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	500	32¢	$158	0xfb9160…
04-28 00:12:54	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	93	31¢	$29	0x1ffd10…
04-28 00:09:50	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	318	31¢	$100	0x17c179…
04-28 00:04:08	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	220	89¢	$195	0xf7dcc8…
04-28 00:04:08	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x9c2ac9…
04-28 00:04:08	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x3de006…
04-28 00:04:08	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x1dc57f…
04-27 23:44:16	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6174b3…
04-27 22:48:36	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	880	80¢	$704	0x4b4054…
04-27 22:14:30	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe13329…
04-27 22:14:30	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3f16c8…
04-27 22:14:26	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	110	78¢	$86	0xd4d0c4…
04-27 22:12:46	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	1,156	81¢	$935	0xdf78d7…
04-27 20:37:10	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe68286…
04-27 19:31:30	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x582223…
04-27 18:50:54	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	911	52¢	$473	0xfd4854…
04-27 18:50:26	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	149	63¢	$94	0xc83215…
04-27 18:49:42	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	52¢	$134	0x1fd828…
04-27 18:48:00	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,656	11¢	$185	0x091722…
04-27 11:33:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,172	37¢	$432	0xb85f81…
04-27 02:32:14	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	697	29¢	$202	0xcc568c…
04-26 14:36:10	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x71fe90…
04-26 14:36:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0xcb4180…
04-26 14:36:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xa04994…
04-26 14:36:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x2658fe…
04-26 14:36:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0x24ead2…
04-26 14:20:06	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	489	25¢	$122	0x7c8e5e…
04-26 14:19:38	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	948	11¢	$104	0x8343dd…
04-25 12:19:16	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	19¢	$40	0x45858f…
04-24 12:36:02	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	428	69¢	$293	0x264c5a…
04-24 11:12:28	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	499	68¢	$338	0xffaa92…
04-24 11:12:28	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x2f07cc…
04-24 11:12:28	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	69¢	$55	0x1c4651…
04-23 18:10:04	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x1ff6ac…
04-23 18:08:38	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	87	90¢	$78	0x063c01…
04-23 13:46:10	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	58¢	$69	0x01414e…
04-23 03:43:44	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	331	63¢	$210	0xd2ee8a…
04-23 03:39:20	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x2cc883…
04-22 21:07:58	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	22¢	$110	0x8e8e0a…
04-22 19:47:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x771176…
04-22 19:47:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	58¢	$32	0x6fe283…
04-22 19:47:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x4d5e49…
04-22 19:47:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1ac823…
04-22 19:47:08	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x12ae54…
04-22 18:50:16	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x8bd249…
04-22 13:34:24	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	58¢	$14	0xf0e6fd…
04-22 13:03:22	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x2a3fa3…
04-21 19:50:18	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	25¢	$188	0x1fa3d2…
04-21 01:55:20	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	489	52¢	$255	0x98c98b…
04-20 05:45:20	Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?	No	BUY	4	85¢	$4	0x6eaee0…
04-19 16:02:58	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	204	81¢	$166	0x82b573…
04-19 15:11:24	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	144	84¢	$121	0xd6a8bc…
04-19 15:11:24	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x618a71…
04-19 15:11:22	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xfe008c…
04-19 14:36:56	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x996ef0…
04-19 14:36:56	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x8bd45f…
04-19 14:36:56	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	256	86¢	$220	0x7f21b7…
04-19 14:36:56	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	29	85¢	$24	0x2d0fd4…
04-19 14:36:56	Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x1ad80e…
04-19 12:25:54	Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?	No	BUY	190	89¢	$169	0xd12327…
04-19 12:25:04	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	999	50¢	$500	0xe76b4f…
04-17 17:33:18	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	246	71¢	$175	0xc1e8f7…
04-17 17:32:14	Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	BUY	688	89¢	$611	0x59b173…
04-17 17:30:40	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	228	70¢	$160	0x1bf8db…
04-17 15:50:30	Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	BUY	1,151	94¢	$1,082	0xe25cd5…
04-17 15:25:26	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	783	30¢	$233	0x0b9308…
04-17 14:40:10	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	210	69¢	$145	0xcfb6cf…
04-17 12:41:26	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	524	79¢	$412	0x6fa1ac…
04-17 12:15:06	Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?	No	BUY	650	89¢	$578	0xf78094…
04-17 12:14:42	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	696	76¢	$526	0x54a7d1…
04-17 11:22:04	Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	42¢	$74	0xbbcdf8…
04-17 02:00:36	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	Yes	BUY	260	71¢	$184	0x29a58c…