Granular-Wallaby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

Trades

6,357

lifetime

Volume

$92.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-04 07:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$2

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% 0% $-0

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 199 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No		-20	$-20	100¢	$-20	$-0	06-04 07:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	82	$914	863	983	-120	open	—	04-02 22:59
highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 66 67f	8	$811	817	0	+817	open	—	03-26 19:59
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$799	800	0	+800	open	—	03-31 15:34
highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 56 57f	63	$650	655	0	+655	open	—	03-23 01:36
highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 18c	17	$645	648	0	+648	open	—	03-25 08:52
highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 16c	25	$626	630	0	+630	open	—	03-29 10:23
highest temperature in denver on april 10 2026 60 61f	44	$605	424	601	-177	open	—	04-10 21:56
highest temperature in nyc on march 25 2026 50 51f	7	$577	580	0	+580	open	—	03-25 22:59
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 28 2026 30c	6	$555	555	0	+555	open	—	03-29 02:37
highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 17corhigher	19	$515	519	0	+519	open	—	03-29 12:39
highest temperature in london on april 1 2026 14c	20	$506	508	0	+508	open	—	04-01 21:18
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	21	$502	504	0	+504	open	—	04-02 13:42
will spx dip to 4750 in march	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	03-31 15:39
highest temperature in denver on april 10 2026 62forhigher	13	$480	423	434	-11	open	—	04-10 21:23
highest temperature in tokyo on march 20 2026 13c	20	$472	478	0	+478	open	—	03-20 08:58
highest temperature in lucknow on march 22 2026 30corbelow	25	$456	463	0	+463	open	—	03-22 14:47
highest temperature in wellington on april 10 2026 17c	19	$440	442	0	+442	open	—	04-10 10:28
highest temperature in lucknow on march 23 2026 31corbelow	23	$429	431	0	+431	open	—	03-23 15:05
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	13	$416	418	0	+418	open	—	04-06 16:29
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	32	$416	418	0	+418	open	—	03-24 14:39
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 16c	14	$415	417	0	+417	open	—	04-06 19:27
highest temperature in nyc on march 20 2026 52 53f	8	$410	413	0	+413	open	—	03-21 01:49
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 13c	17	$405	408	0	+408	open	—	03-25 09:20
highest temperature in atlanta on march 30 2026 76forhigher	1	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	03-31 01:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 14c	10	$396	399	0	+399	open	—	04-01 08:55
highest temperature in nyc on march 29 2026 52 53f	11	$395	396	0	+396	open	—	03-30 02:10
highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 13c	18	$395	3,133	2,779	+354	open	—	03-22 19:11
highest temperature in wellington on march 26 2026 19c	19	$394	397	0	+397	open	—	03-26 09:28
highest temperature in toronto on april 1 2026 10c	8	$351	353	0	+353	open	—	04-02 01:15
highest temperature in miami on march 15 2026 80 81f	3	$350	353	0	+353	open	—	03-15 19:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 07:54:54	Solana all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe7c258…
05-12 19:23:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x51e7b9…
05-12 17:39:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x71ca8a…
05-12 17:09:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb868b2…
05-12 16:22:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x0a1a0f…
05-12 16:20:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x067e09…
05-12 16:17:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1a6338…
05-12 16:16:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd64012…
05-12 16:12:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x098abb…
05-11 22:07:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xcb693d…
05-11 20:12:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf83614…
05-11 19:38:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc2e4c4…
05-11 19:23:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x7dac70…
05-08 19:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xdbd838…
05-08 19:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd0d765…
05-08 19:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd80cd5…
05-08 19:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xac8d81…
05-08 19:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xed75c7…
05-08 19:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x52a5fb…
05-08 19:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x81787d…
05-08 19:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x1a9cf3…
05-08 19:20:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xceadba…
05-08 19:18:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x07ec5b…
05-08 18:55:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x07e894…
05-08 18:54:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Down	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xb285cc…
05-08 18:51:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xcef1e0…
05-08 18:47:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x89085b…
05-08 18:47:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0xfc5212…
05-08 18:46:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6566be…
05-07 22:32:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd0c0f6…
05-07 22:28:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa4119e…
05-07 22:25:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xd47ee4…
05-07 22:20:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x671fc7…
05-07 22:20:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x304421…
05-07 22:20:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x76ab50…
05-07 22:16:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x4806fe…
05-07 22:13:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6f6392…
04-29 18:36:16	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe18d21…
04-29 18:35:50	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd4eab3…
04-29 18:34:16	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x724e71…
04-29 18:33:06	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe5e31a…
04-28 10:30:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc799d9…
04-28 09:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xddf5cf…
04-28 09:25:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xbdf69b…
04-28 09:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6fc02d…
04-28 08:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad6549…
04-28 08:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x56d238…
04-28 08:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaed2c7…
04-28 08:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9b28a3…
04-28 08:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x38ad2b…
04-28 06:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x237ddf…
04-28 05:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x093a5f…
04-28 05:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4da0b6…
04-28 05:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c5cd8…
04-28 04:50:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5f4540…
04-28 03:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5015b0…
04-28 03:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb863b1…
04-28 03:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xda2b6d…
04-28 02:24:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc4b669…
04-28 02:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x951c10…
04-28 02:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ea99c…
04-28 02:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe75896…
04-28 01:22:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb6fc7f…
04-28 01:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x70ad4c…
04-28 01:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91b4ca…
04-28 00:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd48dbe…
04-28 00:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x13c2b6…
04-27 23:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x82dfa5…
04-27 22:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe6223a…
04-27 13:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcc2733…
04-27 12:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1ba855…
04-27 12:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5d4ddb…
04-27 12:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa92a82…
04-27 12:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x96530d…
04-27 12:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3e9eff…
04-27 12:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x36e7a7…
04-27 12:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xec57d8…
04-27 12:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe320a2…
04-27 12:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x04cdfe…
04-27 11:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd0cd38…
04-27 11:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 42°C or below on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce559a…
04-27 11:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc69f82…
04-27 11:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9490b0…
04-27 11:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 27?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd941f8…
04-27 11:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa54ecb…
04-27 10:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x34911e…
04-27 10:23:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x068106…
04-27 10:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x003f63…
04-27 09:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9a737…
04-27 07:55:32	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x64d373…
04-27 06:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x46df0e…
04-27 06:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1b81e4…
04-27 05:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2cf12…
04-27 04:52:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfe7219…
04-27 04:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x718bff…
04-27 04:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb1df5b…
04-27 03:44:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2b1ee7…
04-27 03:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x21beab…
04-27 03:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xcb0364…
04-27 03:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9abf17…