Realized P&L
+$2.14K
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
67.0%
Resolved
6,838
Trades
123,706
lifetime
Volume
$159.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 09-29 20:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 212 days
Categories
Other
64% 44% +$1,006
Politics
21% 52% +$853
Sports
8% 48% +$235
Crypto
7% 43% +$50
Tech
0% 40% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 38% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 136 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -4 -$1 55¢ $-2 -$1 06-15 20:35
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +2 -$2 92¢ $2 +$3 05-27 17:59
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? No -1 $0 88¢ $-1 -$1 06-01 09:25
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +3 -$5 20¢ $1 +$5 07-08 15:21
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 -$1 05-12 20:41
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No +2 $1 30¢ $1 +$0 06-03 17:18
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -5 -$3 8¢ $-0 +$3 05-21 12:28
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +3 $0 7¢ $0 +$1 07-30 20:59
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? Yes +4 $2 5¢ $0 -$1 07-23 09:31
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +4 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-08 16:16
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes +0 $0 10¢ $0 $0 05-26 06:12
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes — -22 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 04-30 08:02
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +2 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 06-24 16:40
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -0 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-15 18:42