Nervous-Oyster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$323

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,248

lifetime

Volume

$54.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-22 10:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

83% 48% $-323

Politics

10% 50% +$0

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 416 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?	6	$3.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-29 08:31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	6	$2.3K	1,000	1,401	-401	Up	$-7	05-12 17:03
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	18	$1.8K	1,372	1,372	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 15:57
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	18	$1.5K	1,361	1,361	+0	Down	+$11	05-04 10:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	25	$1.4K	1,211	1,211	+0	open	—	05-17 07:48
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	22	$1.4K	1,508	1,508	+0	open	—	05-21 15:08
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 13?	8	$1.3K	1,492	1,012	+480	Down	$-370	05-13 14:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	12	$1.2K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-10 20:43
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18?	5	$1.2K	823	823	+0	open	—	05-18 15:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$1.2K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-10 20:12
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	7	$1.1K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-06 10:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	9	$1.1K	865	865	+0	Up	+$96	05-04 13:33
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	20	$1.1K	820	820	+0	No	+$0	05-06 12:42
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	10	$1.1K	1,062	1,057	+5	open	—	05-21 15:50
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	4	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 09:32
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	6	$1.1K	727	727	+0	open	—	05-15 15:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	10	$1.0K	730	730	+0	open	—	05-10 21:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	4	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-03 16:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	33	$998	1,285	1,285	+0	open	—	05-06 10:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	11	$983	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	$-7	05-03 13:00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	9	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-14 07:20
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	8	$929	782	782	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 14:08
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	10	$919	1,044	1,205	-161	open	—	05-22 09:06
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	32	$908	1,065	1,065	+0	open	—	05-21 13:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 8?	10	$905	500	500	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 11:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	5	$777	500	500	+0	open	—	05-03 13:00
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 30?	10	$773	920	920	+0	open	—	04-30 09:48
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?	10	$729	621	621	+0	open	—	04-30 07:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	9	$712	704	704	+0	open	—	05-06 12:31
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 14?	3	$710	500	500	+0	open	—	05-14 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 10:29:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	291	39¢	$113	0x136d1b…
05-22 10:29:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	347	39¢	$135	0x377268…
05-22 09:06:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	568	35¢	$199	0x17df1e…
05-22 09:04:43	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	568	35¢	$199	0xf90454…
05-22 09:02:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	57	62¢	$35	0xfe9514…
05-22 08:36:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	57	62¢	$35	0x8fb3ac…
05-22 08:30:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	351	42¢	$147	0xcab8c1…
05-22 08:30:24	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x8d0f6f…
05-22 08:29:07	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	371	42¢	$156	0x6c3b3c…
05-22 08:03:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	204	53¢	$108	0xba93f8…
05-22 07:57:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x96983a…
05-22 07:57:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	48	59¢	$28	0x8279de…
05-22 06:06:10	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 22?	No	SELL	593	49¢	$291	0xd75b19…
05-22 05:22:23	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 22?	No	BUY	593	49¢	$291	0xaf2939…
05-22 01:47:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0x0ed2b2…
05-22 01:43:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xb0b3a6…
05-22 01:43:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	20	37¢	$8	0xfd2daf…
05-22 01:43:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xc76cc5…
05-22 01:43:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x6af14e…
05-22 01:43:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	23	37¢	$9	0x666d83…
05-22 01:43:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	103	37¢	$38	0x9e04fa…
05-22 01:43:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	20	37¢	$8	0x377900…
05-22 01:43:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	23	37¢	$9	0x13b48d…
05-22 00:02:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	638	39¢	$249	0x676563…
05-22 00:02:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	493	37¢	$182	0xc847a5…
05-21 20:36:08	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	SELL	388	29¢	$113	0x0dc607…
05-21 15:50:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	260	84¢	$219	0x42118d…
05-21 15:48:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	260	84¢	$219	0x2a9697…
05-21 15:08:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xe26806…
05-21 15:08:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xaab7d0…
05-21 14:31:33	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	89	21¢	$19	0x19c05c…
05-21 14:21:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0xba66dc…
05-21 14:21:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	88	22¢	$19	0x5fe629…
05-21 14:21:01	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xa7d3af…
05-21 14:07:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	42	59¢	$25	0xa22a52…
05-21 14:07:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x0c4edc…
05-21 14:06:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	102	21¢	$21	0xe7412c…
05-21 14:06:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	191	21¢	$40	0x98690c…
05-21 13:32:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	150	23¢	$34	0xfd9461…
05-21 13:32:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xc1c8ed…
05-21 13:32:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xbd1f3b…
05-21 13:32:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0xb46c47…
05-21 13:32:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x5c50c3…
05-21 13:32:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xf6436f…
05-21 13:32:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	68	23¢	$16	0x1a3749…
05-21 13:32:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	291	23¢	$67	0x182973…
05-21 12:56:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	SELL	142	43¢	$61	0xb1b754…
05-21 12:54:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xcbecde…
05-21 12:53:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 in May?	Yes	BUY	192	43¢	$83	0x599844…
05-21 12:36:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xfc548f…
05-21 12:36:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x9a9b77…
05-21 11:49:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	41	54¢	$22	0x5244ca…
05-21 11:49:37	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	190	54¢	$103	0xb24315…
05-21 11:39:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	47¢	$49	0xc7fea2…
05-21 10:50:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	39	57¢	$22	0x7c7376…
05-21 10:44:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x13b6b2…
05-21 10:44:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	49	57¢	$28	0xac96aa…
05-21 10:34:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	264	79¢	$209	0x0f071b…
05-21 10:34:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	264	79¢	$209	0x659df0…
05-21 10:27:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	94	60¢	$56	0xe01823…
05-21 10:25:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7fe486…
05-21 08:54:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	47	45¢	$21	0x6d5d14…
05-21 08:54:46	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	47	45¢	$21	0x7efcd6…
05-21 08:33:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x9bc725…
05-21 08:33:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	91	43¢	$39	0xb37ae5…
05-21 08:33:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	108	43¢	$46	0xe27828…
05-21 08:07:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	50¢	$54	0xba6264…
05-21 08:06:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	94	60¢	$56	0x5dd3da…
05-21 07:50:27	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	No	BUY	388	29¢	$113	0x5929d4…
05-21 06:59:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	70	56¢	$39	0xaee423…
05-21 06:59:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	120	56¢	$67	0x3e0355…
05-21 06:59:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	36	56¢	$20	0x305b00…
05-21 06:59:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	226	56¢	$127	0x84bfc2…
05-21 06:42:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xf52aa4…
05-21 06:41:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0xf3aa40…
05-21 06:41:14	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x51b665…
05-21 06:40:51	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0xe378bb…
05-21 06:40:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	50¢	$84	0xd5f4e2…
05-21 06:23:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xe88db2…
05-21 06:22:11	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	558	47¢	$262	0x1ed46b…
05-21 06:12:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	125	47¢	$59	0xd5736c…
05-21 06:10:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	283	49¢	$139	0x1bad2a…
05-21 06:10:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	1,000	51¢	$513	0x4a2736…
05-21 06:08:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	124	48¢	$60	0x1f37f4…
05-21 06:08:45	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	266	46¢	$122	0xf14bb1…
05-21 05:48:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0xfd5d4a…
05-21 05:48:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0xef516b…
05-21 05:48:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xc6f6e0…
05-21 05:48:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	58	48¢	$28	0xabbecd…
05-21 05:48:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$6	0xf1968c…
05-21 05:48:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0xdc863e…
05-21 05:48:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x7cf43f…
05-21 05:48:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$6	0x77b1eb…
05-21 05:48:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$6	0x5c7512…
05-21 05:48:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	67	48¢	$32	0x560454…
05-21 05:48:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	11	48¢	$6	0x3703b2…
05-21 05:48:35	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	558	47¢	$262	0x03cc7b…
05-21 05:48:04	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x87794f…
05-21 05:48:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x67e00b…
05-21 05:48:02	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x665635…