Bitter-Tempo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$803

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$19.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 05-31 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

65% 65% $-870

Crypto

17% 33% +$67

Politics

17% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	05-15 07:28
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$1.7K	1,273	1,273	+0	open	—	05-14 07:51
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?	3	$1.1K	1,075	66	+1,009	open	—	05-18 19:42
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	1	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	Down	+$2	05-12 19:59
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$1000	1,002	0	+1,002	Up	+$2	05-11 19:59
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 19?	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-19 19:40
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of May 11 2026?	6	$987	505	505	+0	open	—	05-15 20:03
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 20?	1	$899	900	0	+900	open	—	05-20 19:32
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	1	$800	923	0	+923	Royal Challengers Bangalore	$-800	05-10 18:07
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$787	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-13 06:20
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 11?	7	$601	302	302	+0	Yes	+$1	05-11 16:00
btc updown 5m 1772372100	1	$515	1,795	0	+1,795	open	—	03-01 13:39
btc updown 5m 1772371500	1	$499	515	0	+515	open	—	03-01 13:27
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$423	424	0	+424	open	—	05-22 19:47
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of May 18 2026?	2	$398	200	200	+0	open	—	05-22 15:19
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $72.50 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$396	400	0	+400	No	+$4	05-08 19:30
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of May 18 2026?	5	$331	166	166	+0	open	—	05-22 20:02
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	4	$297	300	300	+0	No	$-21	05-07 13:33
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$295	295	0	+295	open	—	05-22 19:48
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?	4	$277	140	140	+0	open	—	05-21 22:04
Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 21?	1	$276	279	0	+279	open	—	05-21 19:59
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?	3	$273	138	138	+0	open	—	05-22 20:01
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 8?	1	$250	252	0	+252	No	+$2	05-08 19:54
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$229	117	117	+0	open	—	05-20 20:21
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	4	$221	261	261	+0	open	—	05-14 09:33
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Epstein" on Thursday?	3	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	05-21 21:37
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above $395?	2	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	05-15 20:06
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	2	$214	200	200	+0	open	—	05-18 17:06
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday?	3	$207	104	104	+0	open	—	05-21 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$207	109	109	+0	Down	+$7	05-08 14:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 17:05:02	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	SELL	500	5¢	$26	0x161946…
05-31 16:53:43	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x6f2897…
05-22 20:02:31	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0f68be…
05-22 20:02:29	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x39270d…
05-22 20:01:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x29a494…
05-22 20:01:32	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x77e1e1…
05-22 20:01:28	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8e5426…
05-22 20:01:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0xf95e38…
05-22 19:49:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	138	98¢	$135	0x90301a…
05-22 19:48:05	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	295	100¢	$295	0x023173…
05-22 19:47:02	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xc43c41…
05-22 19:46:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0xf729e5…
05-22 19:37:12	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	166	99¢	$165	0x4773da…
05-22 15:19:34	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xcce073…
05-22 14:35:04	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $328 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa1eb3e…
05-21 22:04:51	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x7e94c0…
05-21 22:02:42	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?	Yes	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x23e7f6…
05-21 21:37:49	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Epstein" on Thursday?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0xfb9916…
05-21 21:25:25	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Election" on Thursday?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x144107…
05-21 21:16:33	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Election" on Thursday?	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0xcc0d4d…
05-21 21:06:33	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday?	Yes	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xb3f079…
05-21 21:04:59	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Drug" on Thursday?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x050977…
05-21 21:04:48	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Drug" on Thursday?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8f39c0…
05-21 20:04:33	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Epstein" on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc41851…
05-21 20:04:17	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Epstein" on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb52c16…
05-21 20:03:31	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf41619…
05-21 20:03:16	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x11e67e…
05-21 19:59:53	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	279	99¢	$276	0x620164…
05-21 19:49:21	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $385 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb57075…
05-21 14:51:14	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Drug" on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7da68f…
05-21 05:42:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x368b10…
05-21 05:37:27	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Election" on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xd7634d…
05-21 05:37:04	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Election" on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	21	74¢	$16	0x6f236f…
05-21 05:33:06	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x2e9c8b…
05-21 05:32:01	Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Laptop" on Thursday?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5ac8e4…
05-20 21:40:40	Will NVIDIA say "Token" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x2d4f61…
05-20 21:12:43	Will NVIDIA say "AI" 30+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x2fdad2…
05-20 21:11:28	Will NVIDIA say "AI" 30+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe6167d…
05-20 21:10:27	Will NVIDIA say "Data Center" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xfebc35…
05-20 20:21:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0x2aec45…
05-20 19:43:58	Will NVIDIA say "AI" 30+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xda1ae1…
05-20 19:35:46	Will NVIDIA say "Token" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x7bb535…
05-20 19:35:13	Will NVIDIA say "Token" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xdbf92f…
05-20 19:32:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 20?	No	BUY	900	100¢	$899	0xa3a734…
05-20 14:39:09	Will NVIDIA say "Data Center" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xaf9af8…
05-20 14:28:18	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa73aa9…
05-20 14:26:19	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x5372b3…
05-20 14:03:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	89	97¢	$86	0x35bdda…
05-19 19:40:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 19?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x680517…
05-19 19:39:15	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xab0e83…
05-19 19:37:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on May 19?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f4662…
05-19 19:36:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x28dd51…
05-18 19:49:48	Will Meta (META) close above $610 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xab0c89…
05-18 19:42:56	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,009	100¢	$1,008	0xf6e2de…
05-18 19:27:27	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 18?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7f8e89…
05-18 19:12:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?	Yes	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x64a813…
05-18 17:06:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0x2d3261…
05-18 17:05:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	No	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xa57265…
05-18 16:54:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x89c712…
05-18 15:37:56	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 18?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xeb5591…
05-18 15:36:04	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 18?	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x283c90…
05-18 13:55:23	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on May 18?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xd20b47…
05-15 20:06:54	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above $395?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x778bc2…
05-15 20:03:46	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	490	100¢	$489	0x6ab35b…
05-15 20:02:33	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3eb8fe…
05-15 19:57:46	Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 11 above $395?	Yes	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x0aa081…
05-15 19:45:03	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9c7727…
05-15 19:42:17	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x27ab1e…
05-15 19:41:40	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xa03eb0…
05-15 19:36:18	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0x3abf22…
05-15 07:28:02	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1,010	100¢	$1,009	0xdb762a…
05-15 06:24:53	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x43f411…
05-14 20:56:28	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 14?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb52858…
05-14 20:55:58	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 14?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x9d437c…
05-14 19:58:04	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 on May 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0x24ed87…
05-14 19:54:36	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on May 14?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xed7c0a…
05-14 09:33:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	38¢	$61	0x2e5a5e…
05-14 09:31:17	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x13d715…
05-14 09:26:26	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	42¢	$21	0x15bc71…
05-14 09:17:55	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	261	45¢	$117	0x44f486…
05-14 07:51:40	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1,273	80¢	$1,018	0xa52440…
05-13 16:39:47	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xd1e47f…
05-13 10:04:10	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,055	57¢	$600	0x6f6ca2…
05-13 06:20:52	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	SELL	1,000	16¢	$157	0x046a19…
05-13 06:17:32	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0x9a2a0a…
05-12 19:59:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xfc9f92…
05-12 19:45:21	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1d8c06…
05-11 19:59:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0xd32af4…
05-11 19:57:26	Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x56ee09…
05-11 16:00:26	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x492354…
05-11 15:28:33	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x2c5b7f…
05-11 15:01:08	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xd00a26…
05-11 14:48:35	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xe30ae2…
05-11 14:48:14	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xac2a6d…
05-11 13:48:34	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5a40a2…
05-11 13:01:22	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xd6d9ca…
05-10 18:07:43	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	Mumbai Indians	BUY	923	87¢	$800	0xe391a1…
05-10 13:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x9ad3ea…
05-08 19:54:42	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 8?	No	BUY	252	99¢	$250	0x2f3a6c…
05-08 19:53:41	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x7fd008…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Wobbly-Order 0xa540…0b43	33	$58.3K	789	05-29 15:28
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	29	$678.3K	1,494	06-01 06:09
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	26	$2.02K	360	05-31 20:53
(anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b	23	$607	109	05-28 04:27
(anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8	19	$4.00K	153	05-29 19:13
Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c	18	$24.8K	405	05-26 13:31
Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367	15	$27.8K	1,992	05-29 19:13
Witty-Decadence 0xb307…9c25	15	$9.49K	242	05-26 10:37