Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved
283
Trades
35,470
lifetime
Volume
$122.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$8
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 07-21 01:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
75% 58% +$16
Sports
13% 54% $-0
Politics
10% 50% $-4
Crypto
1% 80% +$4
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $-2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +2 $2 100¢ $2 $-0 06-20 17:58
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +4 $2 54¢ $2 +$0 07-03 19:54
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +7 $4 22¢ $2 $-2 06-19 19:10
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -3 $-2 29¢ $-1 +$1 05-27 23:37
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1 $1 55¢ $1 +$0 06-17 09:15
Alcatraz reopened in 2026? Yes +10 $1 $0 $-1 06-26 07:39
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $-0 33¢ $0 +$1 07-16 00:51
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -0 $-1 71¢ $-0 +$1 06-30 09:34
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027? Yes +1 $4 $0 $-4 06-21 13:57