Juvenile-Mine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$136

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

1,899

Trades

4,134

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 11-03 16:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 189 days

Categories

Other

62% 77% -$52

Crypto

22% 71% -$36

Sports

10% 70% -$37

Politics

5% 72% -$13

Tech

1% 86% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sam burns win the 2026 masters tournament	25	$187	96	96	+0	No	$0	04-10 23:40
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	41	$183	95	95	+0	Yes	+$1	04-13 23:09
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	15	$105	54	54	+0	No	+$0	04-11 19:14
nba okc lal 2026 04 07	8	$104	55	52	+3	Thunder	+$2	04-08 03:47
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	13	$95	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	07-01 19:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	20	$92	174	130	+45	Yes	-$32	04-07 22:43
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	7	$78	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-10 17:39
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?	11	$75	40	40	+0	Yes	$0	04-26 13:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	10	$70	109	109	+0	No	+$11	04-09 15:47
nba bkn tor 2026 04 12	16	$68	35	35	+0	Raptors	$0	04-12 18:27
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 180 199	18	$61	35	35	+0	No	-$3	04-24 15:41
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	14	$56	30	30	+0	No	+$0	04-23 10:32
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	6	$56	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-19 19:04
nba phx okc 2026 04 22	13	$56	30	30	+0	Thunder	$0	04-23 03:18
nba cha bos 2026 04 07	5	$53	46	45	+0	Celtics	-$6	04-08 00:32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	7	$52	31	31	+0	Yes	-$5	06-02 06:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	11	$52	36	36	+0	Yes	-$12	05-04 14:05
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	11	$48	25	25	+0	No	+$0	04-12 20:30
bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 6am et	10	$48	25	25	+0	Down	+$0	04-23 10:47
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	11	$48	25	25	+0	No	+$1	04-21 01:54
nba por den 2026 04 06 spread home 7pt5	6	$47	31	21	+10	Trail Blazers	-$1	04-07 03:42
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	11	$43	25	25	+0	76ers	-$1	04-22 00:07
lol lgd edg 2026 04 23	7	$40	25	25	+0	LGD Gaming	+$1	04-23 11:02
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?	4	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-09 21:22
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?	4	$38	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-14 20:49
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 2pt5	4	$38	20	20	+0	Argentina	+$0	07-19 19:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	4	$38	20	19	+1	Yes	+$1	07-31 13:37
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?	8	$38	40	0	+40	No	+$2	06-29 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	5	$37	20	19	+1	No	+$1	07-24 07:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 23	6	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-23 11:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:43:24	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x0915fe…
11-03 14:18:22	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfb787e…
11-03 02:15:43	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x348701…
11-02 20:40:58	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x05bbb3…
11-02 18:17:48	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdac616…
11-02 06:15:28	Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8f4e37…
11-02 00:40:54	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1e317c…
11-01 17:47:43	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xba31a1…
11-01 17:27:45	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb85b51…
10-31 19:11:54	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd640a0…
10-31 18:30:55	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb01f46…
10-31 14:23:07	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x444268…
10-31 13:58:54	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x61ca2e…
10-31 13:30:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x27bf2c…
10-31 07:41:06	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x58ade0…
10-30 18:14:21	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x76fbdd…
10-30 17:36:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xad3d31…
10-30 16:56:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x671acc…
10-30 14:57:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$4	0x368e0b…
10-30 14:13:36	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5838fc…
10-30 01:39:25	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x45b767…
10-29 14:06:52	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x437504…
10-29 02:31:53	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x02cbb4…
10-29 01:49:22	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe169a2…
10-29 01:49:22	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$4	0x79a361…
10-29 00:47:38	Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x40dabe…
10-29 00:36:49	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd27616…
10-28 14:52:40	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4eea6d…
10-28 12:57:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x7502a6…
10-28 12:45:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfca759…
10-28 08:48:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0bf9ad…
10-28 06:17:10	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3f91e9…
10-28 03:21:22	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5802c2…
10-28 02:27:30	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6ce424…
10-28 02:01:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x09fdc6…
10-28 01:49:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf0bb4a…
10-28 01:38:44	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x58a495…
10-27 23:47:23	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdff8fc…
10-27 23:42:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x160bdb…
10-27 23:23:53	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x59dc20…
10-27 23:14:15	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc99d36…
10-27 23:14:15	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa1825b…
10-27 22:39:15	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xe21ccc…
10-27 20:08:20	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0dc435…
10-27 20:04:02	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4574cb…
10-27 19:51:09	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x938f8e…
10-27 16:56:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1195e9…
10-27 10:53:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x1d7ed7…
10-27 07:38:17	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2c0368…
10-27 06:00:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x58deb9…
10-27 03:55:33	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdb4c36…
10-27 03:34:18	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xca89e3…
10-27 03:23:42	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf915c4…
10-27 00:00:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xedd900…
10-26 22:50:29	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x33ceba…
10-26 14:52:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x111ed7…
10-26 14:05:09	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf8f469…
10-26 04:00:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xafc6d6…
10-26 01:56:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x0c6475…
10-26 00:02:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc747df…
10-25 23:56:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa0157a…
10-25 23:45:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x983aa0…
10-25 23:44:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2fb665…
10-25 23:35:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdfdd5d…
10-25 23:29:59	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5133d2…
10-25 20:15:53	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xda8185…
10-25 05:55:50	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x618765…
10-25 01:23:27	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa13279…
10-24 11:50:53	Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)	Aston Villa FC	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc684a9…
10-24 11:19:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6c6388…
10-24 05:24:15	Spread: Manchester City FC (-3.5)	Aston Villa FC	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4c053b…
10-24 05:18:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0xc7f8e3…
10-24 04:00:17	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdeb615…
10-23 09:17:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe9841a…
10-22 02:46:39	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x121559…
10-21 13:30:14	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x811d35…
10-21 06:41:30	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x507cf8…
10-21 05:35:03	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc21129…
10-20 07:41:25	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$4	0xecaceb…
10-20 05:15:53	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaed64c…
10-19 17:35:27	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbc31c9…
10-19 17:34:24	Paris curfew by October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf5dfa8…
10-19 02:04:54	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xce0713…
10-16 15:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0ed893…
10-16 15:21:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xfe799f…
10-16 14:46:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0a5585…
10-16 14:45:28	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x112298…
10-16 02:01:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa48e9c…
10-16 01:59:30	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x30064c…
10-16 01:54:15	Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x431141…
10-16 01:17:46	Games Total: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x63dcdd…
10-15 23:39:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x47dbc0…
10-15 12:38:28	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb78971…
10-15 06:01:08	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc1dd19…
10-14 19:14:01	ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Aston Villa FC	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1d1ef8…
10-14 18:33:16	ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Aston Villa FC	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0b5649…
10-13 20:21:34	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3930de…
10-13 19:54:33	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xc7a224…
10-13 19:51:24	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xaa4af8…
10-13 18:31:15	Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-13?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x50b133…