Boring-Revenue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$147

Hit rate

80.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,771

lifetime

Volume

$185.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

$236

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-11 09:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 50% +$97

Politics

25% — —

Crypto

19% 33% +$99

Sports

0% 0% $-200

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-999	$-290	16¢	$-155	+$135	05-30 18:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	+100	$60	57¢	$57	$-3	06-11 09:08
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	-2,333	$-38	1¢	$-23	+$15	05-28 09:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on february 17 2026	36	$14.3K	15,752	14,556	+1,197	open	—	02-17 20:44
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$9.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	02-12 16:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	37	$6.7K	16,943	16,943	+0	open	—	03-26 21:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	43	$5.0K	149,669	48,812	+100,857	open	—	04-09 13:13
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	15	$4.3K	12,166	12,166	+0	open	—	02-20 16:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	14	$4.2K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	04-07 20:58
spx up or down on april 10 2026	47	$3.7K	3,267	3,267	+0	open	—	04-10 17:22
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	21	$3.7K	16,573	3,182	+13,391	open	—	02-18 17:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	17	$3.6K	4,938	4,938	+0	open	—	04-16 20:54
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	11	$3.2K	8,702	7,363	+1,339	open	—	03-06 18:13
spx up or down on february 18 2026	42	$3.1K	20,033	4,935	+15,098	open	—	02-18 20:16
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$3.1K	1,647	1,647	+0	open	—	03-01 17:54
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	34	$3.1K	59,806	3,936	+55,870	open	—	02-03 16:34
spx up or down on february 19 2026	10	$2.8K	2,298	2,298	+0	open	—	02-19 18:36
will sp 500 spx close over 6860 on the final trading day of february 2026	17	$2.8K	2,930	2,930	+0	open	—	02-17 14:51
spx up or down on march 5 2026	11	$2.6K	1,862	1,974	-113	open	—	03-05 16:02
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	55	$2.5K	116,153	0	+116,153	open	—	02-19 18:41
spx up or down on march 4 2026	3	$2.4K	2,221	2,221	+0	open	—	03-04 14:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$2.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-07 22:42
spx up or down on march 13 2026	9	$2.4K	1,633	1,633	+0	open	—	03-13 18:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	5	$2.3K	2,529	2,529	+0	open	—	04-12 21:51
will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	22	$2.2K	27,475	1,437	+26,038	open	—	02-20 14:34
ethereum above 2000 on february 10	2	$2.1K	4,411	4,411	+0	open	—	02-10 07:22
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	25	$2.1K	2,276	2,615	-339	open	—	03-12 15:44
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	7	$2.0K	2,045	2,045	-0	open	—	02-16 17:11
btc updown 5m 1772398500	9	$2.0K	2,080	2,052	+28	open	—	03-01 20:58
will silver si hit low 65 by end of february 598 917 186 187 154 235 433 943	28	$1.8K	7,564	851	+6,713	open	—	02-20 16:39
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	01-27 07:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	7	$1.8K	2,370	2,370	+0	open	—	05-23 22:15
spx up or down on february 13 2026	8	$1.7K	1,589	1,589	+0	open	—	02-13 16:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 09:08:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xb93f80…
06-01 01:46:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0x271090…
06-01 01:37:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x7cb124…
06-01 01:37:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	130	25¢	$32	0xb7d56c…
06-01 01:36:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x4f7c89…
06-01 00:55:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x125503…
06-01 00:34:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xafe7e4…
06-01 00:34:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	165	33¢	$54	0x0d22bd…
06-01 00:09:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x8b22d6…
06-01 00:06:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x97da8a…
06-01 00:00:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$7	0xf4cc21…
05-31 23:13:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe79e9f…
05-31 10:26:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x37d696…
05-31 09:27:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x89c955…
05-30 19:13:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x6af7c2…
05-30 18:30:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,009	19¢	$192	0xbe3a4f…
05-30 18:30:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	999	29¢	$290	0xfb7205…
05-28 09:26:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	38	51¢	$19	0xcccc3f…
05-28 09:26:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0x16a135…
05-28 09:25:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	312	0¢	$1	0xc5199d…
05-28 09:25:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	Yes	SELL	117	1¢	$2	0x429941…
05-28 09:25:06	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,150	2¢	$24	0xc76127…
05-28 09:23:09	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	2,333	2¢	$38	0xd1c879…
05-28 09:21:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x09a2b5…
05-28 09:20:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	30¢	$180	0x7f7133…
05-28 09:20:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	409	30¢	$123	0xa6d137…
05-27 19:29:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	SELL	571	29¢	$166	0x4b3f11…
05-27 14:59:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	Down	BUY	571	56¢	$320	0xa1e963…
05-24 08:08:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,676	37¢	$620	0x843ef8…
05-23 22:21:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	159	8¢	$13	0x8421de…
05-23 22:21:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x7a0520…
05-23 22:21:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0x531086…
05-23 22:20:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 in May?	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0xd182af…
05-23 22:17:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	62¢	$97	0x875314…
05-23 22:17:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xee5c21…
05-23 22:16:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	63¢	$315	0x5273c6…
05-23 22:15:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	63¢	$630	0x81a117…
05-23 22:15:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,370	52¢	$1,232	0x4a589a…
05-23 20:50:05	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?	Yes	BUY	505	14¢	$71	0x48cdf7…
05-23 20:42:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in May?	Yes	BUY	117	19¢	$22	0x081356…
05-22 12:46:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	21¢	$60	0x99244a…
05-22 12:43:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xd3d2ba…
05-22 12:43:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xd1c300…
05-22 12:42:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x6ed1fd…
05-22 12:42:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	22¢	$440	0x85396a…
05-22 12:42:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	21¢	$14	0xa5f401…
05-12 19:54:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x158f55…
05-12 19:54:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb9c617…
05-12 19:54:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x820686…
05-12 19:54:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe9f891…
05-12 19:53:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x92b886…
05-12 19:53:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0x485bba…
05-12 19:53:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0x329256…
05-12 19:53:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	21¢	$32	0x6dff7b…
05-12 19:53:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0x60ca24…
05-12 19:53:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0x444266…
05-12 19:53:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	20¢	$30	0x255996…
05-12 19:50:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0xd5c7e6…
05-12 19:50:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0xb10f0a…
05-12 19:50:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0x7ad099…
05-12 19:50:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0x76cdc5…
05-12 19:50:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x49a5ed…
05-12 19:50:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0xa150ae…
05-12 19:50:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x1eb89d…
05-12 19:50:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	8¢	$12	0x1e13cd…
05-12 19:50:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	32	8¢	$3	0x33b01f…
05-12 19:50:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x10c4f3…
05-12 19:50:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x0993fc…
05-12 19:48:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x73133f…
05-12 19:48:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xb7e1c4…
05-12 19:33:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xf37dd5…
05-12 19:33:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xf10052…
05-12 19:33:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xe23707…
05-12 19:33:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xd6ae24…
05-12 19:33:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xb5a363…
05-12 19:33:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xa6209b…
05-12 19:33:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	28	5¢	$1	0xa29987…
05-12 19:33:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0x6b8dc0…
05-12 19:33:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0x6399c4…
05-12 19:33:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0x09a23c…
05-12 19:33:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0x099225…
05-12 19:33:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xd7d7ea…
05-12 19:33:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xaafd0e…
05-12 19:33:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0xa460ad…
05-12 19:33:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0x874122…
05-12 19:33:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x225b96…
05-12 16:05:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$25	0x76dece…
05-12 16:04:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	4,310	2¢	$108	0x5237f0…
05-12 16:04:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	5,000	2¢	$125	0x1587e6…
05-11 08:08:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5,000	1¢	$35	0xcae727…
05-11 08:06:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	SELL	128	83¢	$107	0x591d8c…
05-11 08:05:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	686	76¢	$523	0xac2707…
05-07 13:20:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x98a215…
05-07 13:20:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	No	BUY	128	76¢	$98	0x350f8c…
05-07 13:18:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	486	68¢	$330	0xb2d5a8…
05-07 13:18:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xa9bbcf…
05-07 13:16:24	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	1,456	4¢	$56	0x13b519…
05-05 18:29:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 5?	No	SELL	684	100¢	$683	0xda6eba…
05-05 06:57:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	1,493	1¢	$22	0xec8eba…
05-05 06:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x4951e5…