Splendid-Convection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$968

Unrealized P&L

+$692

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

446

lifetime

Volume

$49.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

$1.40K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-05 00:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

100% 75% $-968

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		-3,076	$-2,092	46¢	$-1400	+$692	05-29 22:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	36	$7.4K	21,163	0	+21,163	open	—	04-29 18:40
spx up or down on june 5 2026	59	$5.7K	12,800	0	+12,800	open	—	06-04 23:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	96	$5.1K	12,423	0	+12,423	Down	$-5,145	05-12 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	45	$4.4K	4,000	3,000	+1,000	Up	+$2,034	05-11 15:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	42	$3.6K	2,955	3,100	-145	Down	+$722	05-04 14:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	9	$3.2K	6,075	0	+6,075	open	—	06-01 13:14
spx up or down on february 2 2026	1	$2.5K	5,077	0	+5,077	open	—	02-02 14:36
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$2.1K	0	3,076	-3,076	open	—	05-29 22:36
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	3	$2.0K	2,545	0	+2,545	open	—	01-26 18:16
googl above 330 on february 6 2026	1	$1.8K	3,075	0	+3,075	open	—	02-04 20:37
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	6	$1.6K	3,242	3,242	+0	open	—	04-06 00:20
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	71	$1.4K	2,841	0	+2,841	Up	+$1,420	05-12 23:47
will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	14	$1.4K	3,313	0	+3,313	open	—	03-29 19:50
will sp 500 spx hit 6200 low in march 2026	11	$1.4K	1,926	0	+1,926	open	—	03-29 22:23
spx up or down on april 6 2026	4	$1.2K	1,565	1,564	+1	open	—	04-06 00:41
spx up or down on april 2 2026	7	$700	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	04-01 18:41
spx opens up or down on january 26 2026	1	$533	1,045	0	+1,045	open	—	01-24 08:21
spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	8	$438	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	06-05 00:05
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	9	$408	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	05-19 11:25
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for france by feburary 1	2	$397	235	235	+0	open	—	01-26 18:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	1	$360	800	0	+800	open	—	05-19 08:40
rut up or down on march 6 2026	1	$284	457	0	+457	open	—	03-06 05:14
spx up or down on april 20 2026	9	$238	857	0	+857	open	—	04-20 12:53
spx up or down on march 30 2026	2	$200	526	0	+526	open	—	03-29 18:50
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	2	$188	399	0	+399	open	—	03-22 10:19
spx up or down on march 5 2026	1	$168	284	0	+284	open	—	03-05 04:47
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$100	217	0	+217	open	—	04-04 18:55
will sp 500 spx close at 6400 in march	1	$100	399	0	+399	open	—	03-29 18:44
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	2	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	05-28 13:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 00:05:09	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	778	35¢	$272	0x78d293…
06-04 23:58:12	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	2,500	40¢	$1,000	0x34b682…
06-04 23:47:57	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x31ec47…
06-04 23:23:03	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	117	35¢	$41	0xe9f21b…
06-04 23:13:36	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	817	44¢	$359	0x60f3a4…
06-04 23:13:31	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	210	44¢	$92	0x9c3aa3…
06-04 23:13:25	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	3,833	45¢	$1,725	0xa29f1d…
06-04 23:13:06	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x1c4548…
06-04 23:12:58	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x876802…
06-04 22:41:43	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	492	47¢	$231	0x053516…
06-04 22:40:39	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	2,338	47¢	$1,099	0x770319…
06-04 22:39:48	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x1e2b16…
06-04 22:39:21	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xcb59fc…
06-04 22:39:16	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xdca84d…
06-04 22:37:58	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x8af5bb…
06-04 22:37:19	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x9c9068…
06-04 22:37:15	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xb2733b…
06-04 22:36:15	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x291c66…
06-04 22:35:43	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x65e9e6…
06-04 22:35:39	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xf564a7…
06-04 22:35:33	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x60566d…
06-04 22:35:31	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xee9bf8…
06-04 22:35:31	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x2d99ea…
06-04 22:35:28	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	261	47¢	$122	0x619f9b…
06-04 22:35:28	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0x5f0238…
06-04 22:35:09	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	233	41¢	$96	0xddf35e…
06-04 22:34:36	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xcf7f87…
06-04 22:34:25	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7f95be…
06-04 22:34:07	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5ac33b…
06-04 22:33:19	spx opens up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	52	41¢	$21	0x87858e…
06-04 22:27:00	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	866	46¢	$398	0x322d58…
06-04 22:25:37	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x714b89…
06-04 22:25:31	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xc92d12…
06-04 22:25:25	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xec644e…
06-04 22:25:25	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xeb9f08…
06-04 22:25:21	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x9a66dc…
06-04 22:25:15	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc3430a…
06-04 22:24:55	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe285f8…
06-04 22:24:45	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb0e36d…
06-04 22:24:33	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf9ad6c…
06-04 22:24:24	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xebf912…
06-04 22:24:12	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1d85b2…
06-04 22:24:01	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6d1be1…
06-04 22:22:58	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5f3009…
06-04 22:22:57	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xafe98e…
06-04 22:22:55	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xc58f17…
06-04 22:22:49	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xbe856b…
06-04 22:22:48	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdc4292…
06-04 22:22:45	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xcce901…
06-04 22:22:40	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	66	46¢	$30	0x59d8d8…
06-04 22:22:39	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x1de611…
06-04 22:22:37	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x25e1e1…
06-04 22:22:33	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x77d6f8…
06-04 22:22:28	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc08d74…
06-04 22:22:27	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x32fd0e…
06-04 22:22:25	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xcba21a…
06-04 22:22:22	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x8000f5…
06-04 22:22:16	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x229f1a…
06-04 22:22:06	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x77ea2e…
06-04 22:22:04	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2575ed…
06-04 22:22:03	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x4dc02d…
06-04 22:21:55	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0f5478…
06-04 22:21:46	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x865a3e…
06-04 22:21:46	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x0e7c36…
06-04 22:21:45	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe7a41c…
06-04 22:21:45	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x018722…
06-04 22:21:43	spx up or down on june 5 2026	Up	BUY	13	44¢	$6	0x3f7aba…
06-01 13:14:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	2,617	50¢	$1,309	0x7d7483…
05-31 22:05:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd795f1…
05-31 22:05:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	92	50¢	$46	0xacdad8…
05-31 22:05:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	411	50¢	$204	0x2fc16a…
05-31 22:02:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	1,900	55¢	$1,045	0x0b5dbe…
05-31 21:49:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd6f2a9…
05-31 21:46:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	990	55¢	$544	0x511960…
05-31 20:31:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xf2e4d4…
05-31 20:29:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xe7ea9b…
05-29 22:36:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	3,076	68¢	$2,092	0xa8fa40…
05-28 13:01:00	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	22	48¢	$11	0xeeec62…
05-28 02:52:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x9425b4…
05-19 11:25:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x1f0b59…
05-19 11:24:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	406	34¢	$138	0x20f4d3…
05-19 11:22:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0x311b3c…
05-19 11:16:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0xff19a1…
05-19 11:16:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0x53e293…
05-19 11:15:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0x94f472…
05-19 11:15:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	150	34¢	$51	0x3f79fc…
05-19 11:05:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x048459…
05-19 11:00:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x54afb5…
05-19 08:40:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	800	45¢	$360	0xf6dfd8…
05-12 23:47:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3bd1c4…
05-12 23:43:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xc51242…
05-12 23:43:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xb58583…
05-12 23:43:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x205fdc…
05-12 23:43:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x120f01…
05-12 23:42:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x285076…
05-12 23:42:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xde97d6…
05-12 23:42:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x31c880…
05-12 23:42:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa62602…
05-12 23:41:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x9d116e…
05-12 23:41:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8120e3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	26	$893.0K	2,960	06-10 03:49
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	21	$3.78K	730	06-05 17:10
Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c	19	$27.4K	563	06-05 13:32
Close-Breastplate 0x2651…3471	18	$81.0K	773	06-05 22:43
Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851	17	$27.3K	1,104	06-05 14:28
Charming-Diffuse 0xf259…7592	17	$8.19K	135	06-05 15:35
(anonymous) 0x22f1…6415	17	$3.72K	752	06-07 23:46
e25247f2da2a2462f03c936c379b7ab0 0xdefe…17f4	16	$374.6K	1,919	06-05 14:34