Splendid-Convection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$968

Unrealized P&L

+$877

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

934

lifetime

Volume

$184.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$198

Open exposure

$1.22K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-20 19:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

100% 75% $-968

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		-3,076	$-2,092	40¢	$-1215	+$877	05-29 22:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 2pt5	4	$8.7K	5,626	5,626	+0	open	—	07-14 20:30
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	2	$8.4K	4,372	4,372	+0	open	—	07-05 21:49
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	36	$7.4K	21,163	0	+21,163	open	—	04-29 18:40
spx up or down on july 14 2026	35	$6.4K	4,433	4,433	+0	open	—	07-14 20:26
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	2	$6.2K	3,669	3,669	+0	open	—	07-18 22:39
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	4	$5.9K	6,800	0	+6,800	open	—	07-05 21:50
spx up or down on june 5 2026	59	$5.7K	12,800	0	+12,800	open	—	06-04 23:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$5.5K	3,594	3,235	+359	open	—	07-06 02:27
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	96	$5.1K	12,423	0	+12,423	Down	$-5,145	05-12 13:30
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread away 2pt5	5	$4.9K	3,200	2,688	+512	open	—	07-06 02:12
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	14	$4.7K	3,486	3,200	+286	open	—	07-12 03:31
spx up or down on july 20 2026	12	$4.7K	11,014	0	+11,014	open	—	07-20 19:02
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$4.5K	5,010	0	+5,010	open	—	07-04 22:06
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total away 1pt5	12	$4.4K	2,501	2,501	+0	open	—	07-12 03:09
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	45	$4.4K	4,000	3,000	+1,000	Up	+$2,034	05-11 15:54
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$4.0K	4,300	0	+4,300	open	—	07-03 22:20
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	1	$3.9K	4,601	0	+4,601	open	—	07-06 20:57
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 first half total 2pt5	2	$3.7K	2,072	2,072	+0	open	—	07-12 01:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	42	$3.6K	2,955	3,100	-145	Down	+$722	05-04 14:40
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	6	$3.2K	4,566	3,559	+1,007	open	—	06-13 02:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	9	$3.2K	6,075	0	+6,075	open	—	06-01 13:14
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 0pt5	2	$3.1K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	06-23 20:21
spx up or down on july 2 2026	51	$2.9K	4,680	0	+4,680	open	—	07-01 21:24
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread away 1pt5	2	$2.6K	2,886	0	+2,886	open	—	07-06 02:41
spx up or down on february 2 2026	1	$2.5K	5,077	0	+5,077	open	—	02-02 14:36
spx up or down on july 1 2026	72	$2.4K	4,230	0	+4,230	open	—	06-30 21:33
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 spread away 1pt5	2	$2.4K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	07-07 00:42
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	6	$2.4K	2,809	0	+2,809	open	—	06-13 22:34
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$2.2K	3,719	0	+3,719	open	—	07-07 20:39
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$2.1K	0	3,076	-3,076	open	—	05-29 22:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 19:02:46	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	600	42¢	$255	0x0c104c…
07-20 19:02:13	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	3,362	46¢	$1,546	0xcb1ffd…
07-20 19:02:09	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0xbd1fa1…
07-20 19:01:28	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	632	46¢	$291	0xa63124…
07-20 19:01:27	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe78341…
07-20 19:01:19	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	1,019	45¢	$459	0x4d6bd4…
07-20 19:01:04	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	296	44¢	$130	0x4a424e…
07-20 19:00:13	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x67f5f3…
07-20 19:00:13	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x31668b…
07-20 19:00:03	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xcfe376…
07-20 18:59:42	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x0dd65f…
07-20 18:59:10	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	5,000	39¢	$1,950	0x13cf9d…
07-19 20:57:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x1ec774…
07-19 19:38:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 first half total 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xda6984…
07-18 22:54:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xf29930…
07-18 22:39:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0xe1232f…
07-18 22:39:03	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	Over	SELL	3,669	100¢	$3,665	0x3acf83…
07-18 22:13:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	3,669	68¢	$2,495	0xd3e870…
07-16 07:13:25	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0x27b2ec…
07-16 07:13:23	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd09f28…
07-16 07:13:23	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa396de…
07-16 07:13:23	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xa2ea28…
07-16 07:13:23	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6cbc13…
07-16 07:13:23	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x235afc…
07-16 07:13:22	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x84b26e…
07-16 07:13:22	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x723c43…
07-16 07:13:22	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x6e71f5…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf1d8bd…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xec29fe…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc8e539…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbbaa9d…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb94dc4…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb85f45…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x86c426…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x861f4c…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x79b79b…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x73fd26…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6ed301…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x62a958…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5b14d4…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x4f16cd…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x40a35f…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x328119…
07-16 07:13:20	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x30b59c…
07-16 07:13:19	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc4f3b0…
07-16 07:13:19	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc0c361…
07-16 07:13:19	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbabb91…
07-16 07:13:19	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4a1bc7…
07-16 07:13:19	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x20b7e6…
07-16 07:13:19	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x04382c…
07-16 07:13:17	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x4fa50c…
07-16 07:13:13	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xea3c43…
07-16 07:13:13	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcccffc…
07-16 07:13:13	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb4f032…
07-16 07:13:13	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9d0efe…
07-16 07:13:13	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x966b48…
07-16 07:13:13	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7684c7…
07-16 07:11:44	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x75a453…
07-16 07:11:40	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xba07b8…
07-16 07:11:40	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb21cf8…
07-16 07:11:40	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51f64b…
07-16 07:01:19	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x94e175…
07-16 07:01:17	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfb43f4…
07-16 07:01:17	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e269d…
07-16 07:01:17	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x59cb0f…
07-16 06:39:01	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	120	50¢	$60	0x423704…
07-16 06:36:47	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9e0951…
07-15 23:22:26	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x16f02a…
07-15 23:22:23	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	690	57¢	$392	0x8b495b…
07-15 23:05:26	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe53202…
07-15 22:29:26	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdb6743…
07-15 22:28:58	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x77912a…
07-15 22:28:52	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x1040e6…
07-15 22:21:08	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xa9eb5e…
07-15 21:32:16	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xa845df…
07-15 21:15:07	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	200	54¢	$108	0xd085e6…
07-15 21:14:28	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xbaa110…
07-15 21:13:02	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xb1f508…
07-15 21:10:01	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x2f6af9…
07-15 20:48:31	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	225	52¢	$117	0x69499d…
07-15 20:22:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,000	68¢	$675	0xcb49af…
07-15 20:19:40	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0xffd7ea…
07-14 20:32:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	440	68¢	$300	0x754943…
07-14 20:30:37	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 2pt5	France	SELL	5,626	77¢	$4,320	0x637e13…
07-14 20:27:11	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 2pt5	France	BUY	2,411	78¢	$1,878	0x22534a…
07-14 20:27:10	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 2pt5	France	BUY	2,715	78¢	$2,115	0x97cca7…
07-14 20:27:10	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 2pt5	France	BUY	500	78¢	$390	0x668de5…
07-14 20:26:37	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	4,433	100¢	$4,428	0x2bb0e4…
07-14 03:04:58	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xee5809…
07-14 03:04:56	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xb47f47…
07-14 03:04:56	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	147	45¢	$66	0x5771ba…
07-14 03:04:53	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	49	45¢	$22	0xf9038a…
07-14 03:04:53	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xe39dda…
07-14 03:04:53	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	400	45¢	$178	0xda9e32…
07-14 03:04:53	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc23883…
07-14 03:04:53	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xc11c5f…
07-14 03:04:53	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x192d77…
07-14 03:04:53	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x1634f5…
07-14 03:04:53	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x13536d…
07-14 03:03:19	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb8d2a3…