Splendid-Convection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$968

Unrealized P&L

+$692

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

Trades

655

lifetime

Volume

$79.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$122

Open exposure

$1.40K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-30 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

100% 75% $-968

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No		-3,076	$-2,092	46¢	$-1400	+$692	05-29 22:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	36	$7.4K	21,163	0	+21,163	open	—	04-29 18:40
spx up or down on june 5 2026	59	$5.7K	12,800	0	+12,800	open	—	06-04 23:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	96	$5.1K	12,423	0	+12,423	Down	$-5,145	05-12 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	45	$4.4K	4,000	3,000	+1,000	Up	+$2,034	05-11 15:54
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	42	$3.6K	2,955	3,100	-145	Down	+$722	05-04 14:40
fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	6	$3.2K	4,566	3,559	+1,007	open	—	06-13 02:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	9	$3.2K	6,075	0	+6,075	open	—	06-01 13:14
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 0pt5	2	$3.1K	3,500	0	+3,500	open	—	06-23 20:21
spx up or down on february 2 2026	1	$2.5K	5,077	0	+5,077	open	—	02-02 14:36
spx up or down on july 1 2026	72	$2.4K	4,230	0	+4,230	open	—	06-30 21:33
fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	6	$2.4K	2,809	0	+2,809	open	—	06-13 22:34
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$2.1K	0	3,076	-3,076	open	—	05-29 22:36
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	3	$2.0K	2,545	0	+2,545	open	—	01-26 18:16
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread away 1pt5	1	$2.0K	2,252	0	+2,252	open	—	06-29 17:33
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 2pt5	19	$1.9K	1,182	1,182	+0	open	—	06-11 21:13
googl above 330 on february 6 2026	1	$1.8K	3,075	0	+3,075	open	—	02-04 20:37
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	6	$1.6K	3,242	3,242	+0	open	—	04-06 00:20
fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	4	$1.5K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	06-14 21:11
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 13?	71	$1.4K	2,841	0	+2,841	Up	+$1,420	05-12 23:47
will sp 500 spx hit 6300 low in march 2026	14	$1.4K	3,313	0	+3,313	open	—	03-29 19:50
will sp 500 spx hit 6200 low in march 2026	11	$1.4K	1,926	0	+1,926	open	—	03-29 22:23
spx up or down on april 6 2026	4	$1.2K	1,565	1,564	+1	open	—	04-06 00:41
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 spread away 1pt5	1	$1.2K	1,393	0	+1,393	open	—	06-12 19:28
fifwc che can 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	2	$1.0K	968	968	+0	open	—	06-24 20:35
fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$957	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	06-14 04:30
fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 team total home 0pt5	1	$900	1,047	0	+1,047	open	—	06-21 22:28
fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 btts	1	$870	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-15 17:17
spx up or down on june 26 2026	2	$843	1,794	0	+1,794	open	—	06-26 07:23
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 team total home 1pt5	1	$800	1,481	0	+1,481	open	—	06-24 01:28
spx up or down on april 2 2026	7	$700	1,400	0	+1,400	open	—	04-01 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 22:40:31	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	160	55¢	$88	0x3019d3…
06-30 22:35:58	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 2pt5	Over	SELL	280	100¢	$280	0xb9d122…
06-30 22:23:14	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xed7181…
06-30 22:23:14	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	270	68¢	$184	0xb03943…
06-30 21:33:52	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xfe923e…
06-30 21:33:52	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x3db243…
06-30 21:32:50	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xde13db…
06-30 21:31:49	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x052bf1…
06-30 21:30:49	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x107768…
06-30 21:29:47	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x0c3379…
06-30 21:28:46	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc35473…
06-30 21:28:38	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x131cbc…
06-30 21:27:46	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xd2ff8c…
06-30 21:26:46	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa6525c…
06-30 21:25:52	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xdffd93…
06-30 21:25:44	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2ce0e9…
06-30 21:24:44	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x033b34…
06-30 21:23:43	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x4ebd34…
06-30 21:23:01	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0c2844…
06-30 21:22:50	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0xec673b…
06-30 21:22:41	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2cde7d…
06-30 21:21:41	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x018db4…
06-30 21:20:40	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xfd9426…
06-30 21:19:38	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb9d9a8…
06-30 21:18:38	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xef3c4a…
06-30 21:17:35	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x911fa9…
06-30 21:16:32	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xeb7ffa…
06-30 21:15:41	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb6ae1b…
06-30 21:15:31	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x38fc01…
06-30 21:14:29	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x5d92e7…
06-30 21:13:28	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xcc7d1a…
06-30 21:12:26	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x86e005…
06-30 21:11:53	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x26a8b9…
06-30 21:11:37	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x64ab08…
06-30 21:11:25	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xe19308…
06-30 21:11:13	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x51d89c…
06-30 21:11:08	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb23ad3…
06-30 21:10:56	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xd86d59…
06-30 21:05:58	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xeae55b…
06-30 21:03:10	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9a7c32…
06-30 21:02:37	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x489bd4…
06-30 21:02:35	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x63f1c7…
06-30 20:24:34	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	562	55¢	$309	0x55a3f7…
06-30 20:11:43	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	1,338	55¢	$736	0x4e1486…
06-30 20:07:28	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x70aa8a…
06-30 20:07:22	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xd99c33…
06-30 20:06:52	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xdba09b…
06-30 20:06:41	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xc37346…
06-30 20:06:29	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x7a0495…
06-30 20:06:07	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0xbb1211…
06-30 20:06:05	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x30d356…
06-30 20:06:02	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x1bc8fa…
06-30 20:06:01	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x7700d1…
06-30 20:05:59	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0xc1db90…
06-30 20:05:59	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x8cea50…
06-30 20:05:58	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0xeff1a0…
06-30 20:05:47	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0xc64a15…
06-30 20:05:46	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x7091d8…
06-30 20:05:46	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x29f23c…
06-30 20:05:41	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0xec8cd7…
06-30 20:05:41	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x514153…
06-30 20:05:34	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x210e3c…
06-30 20:05:32	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x32cde8…
06-30 20:05:29	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x6340b2…
06-30 20:05:28	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0xfda686…
06-30 20:05:26	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x363d74…
06-30 20:05:22	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0xb42cb8…
06-30 20:05:19	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x3874ad…
06-30 20:05:19	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x3492fe…
06-30 18:33:47	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x163d88…
06-30 18:24:50	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 spread away 1pt5	Côte d'Ivoire	BUY	600	75¢	$450	0xa9cb97…
06-30 18:24:35	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	127	60¢	$76	0xb2bda2…
06-30 18:23:56	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7ef697…
06-30 18:23:55	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	331	60¢	$198	0x0e647c…
06-30 17:58:32	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbab898…
06-30 16:40:04	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$8	0x90d68a…
06-29 21:19:52	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0x6085d2…
06-29 21:14:38	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	SELL	571	35¢	$200	0x6fda21…
06-29 21:13:56	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	571	35¢	$200	0x59c18a…
06-29 17:33:46	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	2,252	89¢	$2,000	0x337795…
06-26 07:23:13	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	1,594	47¢	$749	0x574c6a…
06-26 07:23:13	spx up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x004df7…
06-24 22:32:34	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	222	49¢	$109	0xe0bafb…
06-24 22:30:37	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 3pt5	Brazil	SELL	667	13¢	$87	0x9f5ba8…
06-24 22:28:23	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 3pt5	Brazil	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0xf41560…
06-24 22:18:08	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	SELL	221	68¢	$150	0xa6da06…
06-24 21:51:31	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	BUY	99	49¢	$48	0x6d595c…
06-24 21:51:08	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 2pt5	Haiti	BUY	643	70¢	$450	0x5b8ee3…
06-24 21:50:13	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Haiti	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xa0f49a…
06-24 21:49:26	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xe923f6…
06-24 21:49:20	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xd02aca…
06-24 21:49:14	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x2563de…
06-24 20:35:04	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Canada	SELL	968	74¢	$714	0x7c4e2e…
06-24 20:17:19	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Canada	BUY	968	31¢	$300	0x464f10…
06-24 01:28:40	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,481	54¢	$800	0x25d674…
06-23 20:21:05	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	3,490	90¢	$3,141	0xf3e1f5…
06-23 20:21:05	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd76656…
06-23 17:44:38	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	110	36¢	$40	0x1338a7…
06-21 22:28:47	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,047	86¢	$900	0x40001c…
06-21 22:28:38	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Uruguay	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xec8e54…