Splendid-Convection — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21.4K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

216

Trades

1,791

lifetime

Volume

$321.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$179

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 11-06 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Other

99% 53% -$22,798

Sports

1% 100% +$1,470

Politics

0% 0% -$100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on september 11 2026	211	$35.5K	54,628	0	+54,628	Up	+$19,083	09-11 03:13
spx up or down on october 13 2026	58	$13.1K	19,603	14,091	+5,512	Down	+$210	10-13 13:53
spx up or down on august 19 2026	69	$9.5K	7,039	7,039	+0	Up	+$2,898	08-19 19:47
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 2pt5	4	$8.7K	5,626	5,626	+0	France	-$62	07-14 20:30
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 0pt5	2	$8.4K	4,372	4,372	+0	Over	+$367	07-05 21:49
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	63	$7.6K	24,157	24,157	+0	No	-$2,186	05-10 23:17
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	36	$7.4K	21,163	0	+21,163	Down	-$7,441	04-29 18:40
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	2	$6.9K	3,896	3,896	+0	No	+$888	07-06 20:56
spx up or down on july 14 2026	35	$6.4K	4,433	4,433	+0	Up	+$2,426	07-14 20:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$6.3K	17,016	0	+17,016	No	-$6,287	10-14 15:27
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	2	$6.2K	3,669	3,669	+0	Over	+$1,170	07-18 22:39
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	4	$5.9K	6,800	0	+6,800	Norway	+$902	07-05 21:50
spx up or down on june 5 2026	59	$5.7K	12,800	0	+12,800	Down	-$5,709	06-04 23:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	100	$5.5K	13,613	0	+13,613	Down	-$5,532	05-12 13:30
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	2	$5.5K	3,594	3,235	+359	England	+$338	07-06 02:27
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 spread away 2pt5	5	$4.9K	3,200	2,688	+512	Mexico	+$569	07-06 02:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$4.8K	5,611	5,611	+0	Yes	-$210	09-10 17:11
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	14	$4.7K	3,486	3,200	+286	Argentina	-$441	07-12 03:31
spx up or down on july 20 2026	12	$4.7K	11,014	0	+11,014	Down	-$4,670	07-20 19:02
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$4.5K	5,010	0	+5,010	France	+$551	07-04 22:06
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total away 1pt5	12	$4.4K	2,501	2,501	+0	Under	+$598	07-12 03:09
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	45	$4.4K	4,000	3,000	+1,000	Up	+$2,034	05-11 15:54
Fed rate hike in 2026?	6	$4.2K	3,076	3,076	+0	Yes	+$2	05-29 22:36
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?	1	$4.2K	5,022	0	+5,022	No	+$854	07-04 16:19
England leading at halftime?	2	$4.0K	5,400	0	+5,400	Yes	-$3,996	07-05 23:54
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$4.0K	4,300	0	+4,300	Argentina	+$344	07-03 22:20
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	1	$3.9K	4,601	0	+4,601	Under	+$732	07-06 20:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?	40	$3.8K	7,040	5,280	+1,760	Down	+$24	08-24 16:18
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 first half total 2pt5	2	$3.7K	2,072	2,072	+0	Under	+$267	07-12 01:39
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 4?	42	$3.6K	2,955	3,100	-145	Down	+$722	05-04 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 02:38:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0x9ea087…
11-06 02:38:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0xfdee79…
11-06 02:38:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x99e13e…
11-06 02:38:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	500	63¢	$315	0x5fb64f…
11-06 02:38:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x318f1a…
11-06 02:38:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x02d443…
11-06 02:38:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x6e3503…
11-06 02:38:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xe75f62…
11-06 02:38:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	300	63¢	$189	0xbab273…
11-06 02:38:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xa3934c…
11-06 02:38:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	12	63¢	$8	0x2b9ca3…
11-06 02:38:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xbf6906…
11-06 02:37:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	25	63¢	$16	0x0e565a…
11-06 02:37:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xa51351…
11-06 02:37:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x2be645…
11-06 02:37:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x1f910a…
11-06 02:37:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xe80d11…
11-06 02:37:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0x020089…
11-06 02:37:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xb1910d…
11-05 23:19:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	684	43¢	$294	0x2b29e0…
11-05 23:19:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x1ec45b…
11-05 23:19:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xe52403…
11-05 23:18:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	263	42¢	$110	0x247278…
11-05 23:18:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xc04c1b…
11-05 23:17:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xff79ab…
11-05 23:16:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	31	44¢	$14	0x477fb2…
11-05 23:16:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	111	44¢	$49	0x558606…
11-05 23:14:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x1bcde6…
11-05 23:13:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x28fcfa…
11-05 23:13:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x08041b…
11-05 23:13:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	82	44¢	$36	0x890b77…
11-05 23:13:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x658b87…
11-05 23:13:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x547f43…
11-05 23:13:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x3bcd6e…
10-14 15:27:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14,000	37¢	$5,171	0x03787d…
10-14 15:26:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,416	37¢	$524	0xdc2f73…
10-14 15:26:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,600	37¢	$592	0x5faa4c…
10-13 13:53:32	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	5,501	55¢	$3,026	0xde472d…
10-13 13:50:22	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xba29a1…
10-13 05:24:20	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x10ada4…
10-13 05:24:17	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xd46909…
10-13 05:24:14	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xfdbd6f…
10-13 05:24:11	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x92579d…
10-13 05:24:09	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xed1c17…
10-13 05:24:06	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xfe34c5…
10-13 05:23:39	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x904e61…
10-13 05:23:36	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x5fca52…
10-13 05:23:35	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x8f67cc…
10-13 05:23:32	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xde129e…
10-13 05:23:30	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x3235bc…
10-13 05:22:51	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	28	43¢	$12	0x118da4…
10-13 05:22:50	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x997030…
10-13 05:22:47	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xc5d09f…
10-13 05:22:47	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xadebeb…
10-13 05:22:42	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	52	43¢	$23	0xc6b544…
10-13 05:22:42	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x35b0de…
10-13 05:22:41	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	149	43¢	$64	0xcd5b89…
10-13 05:22:41	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	149	43¢	$64	0x4e2d16…
10-13 05:22:41	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	149	43¢	$64	0x3e87e0…
10-13 05:22:36	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	51	43¢	$22	0xd1669a…
10-13 05:22:36	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xa39239…
10-13 05:22:35	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	150	43¢	$64	0xa7878a…
10-13 05:22:35	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	150	43¢	$64	0x65270a…
10-13 05:22:33	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	150	43¢	$64	0x784f0b…
10-13 05:22:33	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x02aafa…
10-13 05:22:32	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	150	43¢	$64	0x89c8eb…
10-13 05:22:32	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	52	43¢	$22	0x289f11…
10-13 05:22:32	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	149	43¢	$64	0x19dd82…
10-13 05:22:30	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	149	43¢	$64	0x91c1e3…
10-13 05:22:17	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	36	43¢	$15	0x15e238…
10-13 05:22:11	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	36	43¢	$15	0xef19d8…
10-13 05:22:09	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0xcaaa32…
10-13 05:22:09	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	150	43¢	$64	0x4b9c47…
10-13 05:22:09	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	150	43¢	$64	0x39ce7f…
10-13 05:22:09	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	150	43¢	$64	0x046901…
10-13 05:21:47	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xb3ccc2…
10-13 05:21:18	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	488	43¢	$210	0x952409…
10-13 05:16:02	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x9270bf…
10-13 05:14:32	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	500	42¢	$210	0xe67d3d…
10-13 05:14:26	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	500	42¢	$210	0xda47b9…
10-13 05:14:15	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	500	42¢	$210	0x0a6740…
10-13 05:14:06	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	500	42¢	$210	0xa8fcc4…
10-13 05:13:57	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	500	42¢	$210	0x7ff90f…
10-13 05:13:50	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	500	42¢	$210	0x42927f…
10-13 05:13:45	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	500	42¢	$210	0xe6a3fa…
10-13 05:13:41	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	234	42¢	$98	0xdb177d…
10-13 05:13:11	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	466	42¢	$196	0x46ba22…
10-13 05:12:27	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	500	43¢	$215	0x1e7423…
10-13 05:12:09	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	500	43¢	$215	0xd8fa93…
10-13 02:56:02	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x3ca748…
10-13 02:55:42	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x7855e6…
10-13 02:55:27	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	6,769	33¢	$2,234	0x0dff6f…
10-13 02:55:23	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	675	33¢	$223	0xbc779e…
10-13 02:54:50	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	5,059	33¢	$1,669	0x6db73e…
10-13 02:54:35	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	6,500	33¢	$2,145	0x72a7e5…
09-23 23:36:41	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	2,029	54¢	$1,096	0x4ce015…
09-23 23:27:31	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x927694…
09-23 23:27:13	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0xe61378…
09-23 23:27:11	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	128	54¢	$69	0x0672e5…
09-23 23:22:22	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x3c123e…