Rare-Average — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

616

lifetime

Volume

$75.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 08-06 04:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

75% 67% +$1,370

Sports

14% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

1% 0% $-85

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$9.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-15 01:46
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	6	$9.3K	11,000	3,000	+8,000	open	—	05-27 03:43
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	9	$5.3K	4,000	3,000	+1,000	open	—	04-09 14:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	10	$4.1K	0	5,000	-5,000	open	—	06-25 18:50
qqq up or down on april 20 2026	14	$3.1K	5,114	0	+5,114	open	—	04-20 13:31
qqq up or down on april 15 2026	21	$2.5K	5,000	1,131	+3,869	open	—	04-16 01:57
spx up or down on june 16 2026	37	$2.3K	5,018	0	+5,018	open	—	06-16 10:58
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	13	$2.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-01 00:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	14	$2.1K	4,801	0	+4,801	open	—	05-28 00:58
qqq up or down on april 16 2026	11	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	04-16 00:47
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	46	$1.9K	1,743	1,769	-26	open	—	04-10 08:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	25	$1.8K	4,270	0	+4,270	open	—	06-02 14:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	59	$1.6K	4,200	0	+4,200	open	—	05-29 09:19
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	5	$1.5K	3,002	0	+3,002	open	—	05-14 22:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	20	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	Down	+$1,500	05-07 01:40
spx up or down on june 29 2026	1	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-26 20:37
spx up or down on august 5 2026	11	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	08-04 22:13
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	30	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-23 18:20
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	77	$1.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-27 00:15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	2	$1.4K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	05-24 04:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	2	$1.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-02 20:23
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	2	$1.3K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-02 20:35
qqq up or down on april 14 2026	2	$1.3K	2,000	459	+1,541	open	—	04-13 21:10
spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	1	$1.2K	1,250	0	+1,250	open	—	06-12 20:04
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	23	$1.2K	1,323	0	+1,323	open	—	06-12 19:38
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	1	$1.1K	4,969	0	+4,969	Yes	$-1,130	03-21 08:16
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	54	$1.1K	2,211	0	+2,211	open	—	05-20 01:35
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	17	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-19 01:22
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	41	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$1,000	05-11 22:38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$966	1,006	0	+1,006	open	—	05-20 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 23:06:45	xauusd up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x120068…
08-10 22:55:22	xauusd up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x524043…
08-10 22:48:33	xauusd up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xa9fc7d…
08-06 04:50:45	djia up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	1,500	40¢	$600	0x4043d5…
08-06 00:15:42	spcx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	998	50¢	$499	0x2f412a…
08-06 00:09:17	spcx up or down on august 6 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xade853…
08-04 22:13:06	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	117	50¢	$58	0x740fee…
08-04 22:08:41	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x4eab02…
08-04 22:08:36	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x4e657c…
08-04 22:08:32	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x7b3c0c…
08-04 22:08:23	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x46f643…
08-04 22:07:50	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa135cc…
08-04 22:07:41	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	954	50¢	$477	0x0071aa…
08-04 22:03:26	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x316089…
08-04 20:06:18	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x1abbc1…
08-04 20:06:12	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	1,660	50¢	$830	0x512729…
08-04 20:06:09	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xfc959c…
06-26 20:37:05	spx up or down on june 29 2026	Up	BUY	3,000	50¢	$1,500	0xada6f2…
06-25 18:50:14	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	3,888	80¢	$3,111	0xa57c93…
06-23 03:00:55	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x857191…
06-23 02:40:01	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x56ecc6…
06-16 10:58:48	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xc6c0c0…
06-16 10:58:48	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0xc11656…
06-16 10:58:48	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x411b3a…
06-16 10:58:46	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0xc6c242…
06-16 10:58:42	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0xdeb6c7…
06-16 10:58:42	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x1475b5…
06-16 10:56:01	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	62	43¢	$27	0x5bd7d4…
06-16 10:55:55	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	124	43¢	$53	0x816876…
06-16 10:55:54	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x55f997…
06-16 10:54:33	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x9d5161…
06-16 10:54:24	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0xfe4a63…
06-16 10:54:24	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x494b31…
06-16 10:54:24	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x0328bc…
06-16 10:54:18	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x5733f1…
06-16 10:54:16	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x155c10…
06-16 10:54:06	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc4ed5a…
06-16 10:53:48	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x39d971…
06-16 10:50:57	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x22160d…
06-16 10:50:55	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x488242…
06-16 10:50:54	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	200	43¢	$86	0x9d0c47…
06-16 10:50:31	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xd74b3c…
06-16 10:39:19	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0xfd5393…
06-16 10:39:19	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x86f1ae…
06-16 10:39:19	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	38	43¢	$16	0x67fa5e…
06-16 10:39:19	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0x47a114…
06-16 10:39:19	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x0c3b8e…
06-16 10:39:04	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x53f86d…
06-16 10:39:04	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	27	43¢	$11	0x52c3f5…
06-16 10:39:04	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x2512cd…
06-16 10:39:04	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x08c10e…
06-16 10:38:40	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x11e912…
06-16 10:36:24	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0x31c714…
06-16 10:36:22	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xaef411…
06-16 10:36:22	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x9a6fe8…
06-15 21:01:46	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa5be20…
06-15 20:27:45	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x374757…
06-15 20:09:28	spx up or down on june 16 2026	Down	BUY	2,000	48¢	$960	0x0fc7e1…
06-12 20:04:31	spacex ipo closing share price updown on first day 20260607181533420	Up	BUY	1,250	100¢	$1,249	0x1b229d…
06-12 19:38:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x5d2536…
06-12 19:37:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	524	90¢	$472	0x8b4d3f…
06-12 19:37:49	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x036db8…
06-12 19:37:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	220	90¢	$198	0x9ff6a2…
06-12 19:37:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xce8b1f…
06-12 19:36:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe57dae…
06-12 19:36:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb765ea…
06-12 19:36:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe13b1e…
06-12 19:36:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xf723c3…
06-12 19:36:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x5b7992…
06-12 19:36:12	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	105	90¢	$95	0x0fbcd2…
06-12 19:36:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	105	90¢	$95	0x1bf28b…
06-12 19:35:46	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7a3c27…
06-12 19:34:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	92	90¢	$82	0x5fd621…
06-12 19:32:45	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x8fd627…
06-12 19:32:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1e79d4…
06-12 19:31:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x3366ae…
06-12 19:29:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x2684d9…
06-12 19:29:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xebf342…
06-12 19:29:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc40bb3…
06-12 19:29:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x5c04ea…
06-12 19:29:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x19acb3…
06-12 19:29:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x0cd9e3…
06-06 02:46:30	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x28e411…
06-05 01:15:52	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4bbbf5…
06-05 00:56:19	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xef054f…
06-05 00:05:31	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	785	93¢	$730	0x768d1f…
06-05 00:01:37	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	132	93¢	$123	0x6c787d…
06-04 03:20:21	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x43c7dd…
06-04 00:35:48	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	83	93¢	$77	0x2a49d1…
06-02 20:35:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	2,919	42¢	$1,226	0xfe67b0…
06-02 20:34:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	81	42¢	$34	0x049c54…
06-02 20:23:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	2,998	45¢	$1,349	0xa6db90…
06-02 20:18:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x38ef24…
06-02 14:50:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	105	35¢	$37	0xf6a03c…
06-02 14:50:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x459f02…
06-02 14:50:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2f0d53…
06-02 14:50:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x0e2c94…
06-02 14:50:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xaa7f99…
06-02 14:50:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x505190…
06-02 14:50:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x83ebcb…