Rare-Average — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.29K

Unrealized P&L

+$50

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

537

lifetime

Volume

$63.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

$976

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-06 02:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

74% 67% +$1,370

Sports

16% — —

Politics

8% — —

Crypto

2% 0% $-85

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes		-1,103	$-1,026	88¢	$-976	+$50	06-06 02:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$9.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	01-15 01:46
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights	6	$9.3K	11,000	3,000	+8,000	open	—	05-27 03:43
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	9	$5.3K	4,000	3,000	+1,000	open	—	04-09 14:49
qqq up or down on april 20 2026	14	$3.1K	5,114	0	+5,114	open	—	04-20 13:31
qqq up or down on april 15 2026	21	$2.5K	5,000	1,131	+3,869	open	—	04-16 01:57
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	13	$2.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-01 00:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?	14	$2.1K	4,801	0	+4,801	open	—	05-28 00:58
qqq up or down on april 16 2026	11	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	04-16 00:47
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	46	$1.9K	1,743	1,769	-26	open	—	04-10 08:38
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	25	$1.8K	4,270	0	+4,270	open	—	06-02 14:50
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	59	$1.6K	4,200	0	+4,200	open	—	05-29 09:19
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	5	$1.5K	3,002	0	+3,002	open	—	05-14 22:01
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	20	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	Down	+$1,500	05-07 01:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26?	30	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-23 18:20
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27?	77	$1.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	05-27 00:15
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?	2	$1.4K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	05-24 04:40
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	2	$1.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-02 20:23
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	2	$1.3K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	06-02 20:35
qqq up or down on april 14 2026	2	$1.3K	2,000	459	+1,541	open	—	04-13 21:10
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	1	$1.1K	4,969	0	+4,969	Yes	$-1,130	03-21 08:16
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?	54	$1.1K	2,211	0	+2,211	open	—	05-20 01:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	7	$1.0K	0	1,103	-1,103	open	—	06-06 02:46
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 19?	17	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	05-19 01:22
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	41	$1.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$1,000	05-11 22:38
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$966	1,006	0	+1,006	open	—	05-20 20:09
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	6	$887	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-27 20:14
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	3	$832	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-15 22:14
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	13	$680	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-22 02:34
qqq up or down on april 17 2026	3	$552	1,105	0	+1,105	open	—	04-17 04:09
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	11	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-02 14:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 02:46:30	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x28e411…
06-05 01:15:52	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x4bbbf5…
06-05 00:56:19	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xef054f…
06-05 00:05:31	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	785	93¢	$730	0x768d1f…
06-05 00:01:37	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	132	93¢	$123	0x6c787d…
06-04 03:20:21	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x43c7dd…
06-04 00:35:48	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	83	93¢	$77	0x2a49d1…
06-02 20:35:42	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	2,919	42¢	$1,226	0xfe67b0…
06-02 20:34:50	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	81	42¢	$34	0x049c54…
06-02 20:23:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	2,998	45¢	$1,349	0xa6db90…
06-02 20:18:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x38ef24…
06-02 14:50:06	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	105	35¢	$37	0xf6a03c…
06-02 14:50:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x459f02…
06-02 14:50:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2f0d53…
06-02 14:50:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x0e2c94…
06-02 14:50:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xaa7f99…
06-02 14:50:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x505190…
06-02 14:50:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x83ebcb…
06-02 14:49:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	400	35¢	$140	0xbddceb…
06-02 14:49:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x9d7c07…
06-02 14:49:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x81decb…
06-02 14:49:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	110	35¢	$38	0x504ccc…
06-02 14:49:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	400	35¢	$140	0x339bf8…
06-02 14:49:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x6d23b7…
06-02 14:49:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x84f812…
06-02 14:49:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	154	35¢	$54	0x753011…
06-02 14:48:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7bd5e5…
06-02 14:48:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x10787d…
06-02 14:48:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xe2fe34…
06-02 14:48:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	140	35¢	$49	0x0f5afa…
06-02 14:48:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xc8d660…
06-02 14:44:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xffcc8e…
06-02 14:44:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	179	40¢	$72	0xde2e80…
06-02 14:44:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	400	40¢	$160	0x3b9579…
06-02 14:44:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	1	40¢	$0	0xdd2a76…
06-02 14:20:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	572	50¢	$286	0xe63653…
06-02 14:19:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xea016c…
06-02 14:16:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9fdfcf…
06-02 14:16:32	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	150	50¢	$75	0x4944b4…
06-02 14:15:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xfb21d4…
06-02 14:15:29	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x546cda…
06-02 14:13:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x32233e…
06-02 14:13:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0xe3c2d6…
06-02 14:13:46	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x1ac5aa…
06-02 14:13:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x01010b…
06-02 14:13:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xbc2be7…
06-02 08:01:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xb867f9…
06-01 00:15:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xf7a320…
06-01 00:15:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	70	35¢	$24	0x5f7823…
06-01 00:15:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x3b6ca7…
06-01 00:15:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xc12556…
06-01 00:15:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x787c87…
06-01 00:15:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	38	35¢	$13	0xed5607…
06-01 00:15:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xb4b935…
06-01 00:15:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	38	35¢	$13	0x299187…
06-01 00:15:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	103	35¢	$36	0x91c13a…
06-01 00:14:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	1,000	40¢	$400	0x7838cf…
05-31 21:46:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	983	45¢	$443	0x511960…
05-31 21:45:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	17	45¢	$7	0xc4c6f1…
05-29 22:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	600	28¢	$165	0xeb56e0…
05-29 22:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	460	44¢	$200	0x3f77cc…
05-29 22:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	277	36¢	$100	0xb6928f…
05-29 22:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	306	33¢	$100	0xd942e2…
05-29 22:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	288	35¢	$100	0x38123e…
05-29 22:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	170	59¢	$100	0x67c798…
05-29 22:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x7a9bf6…
05-29 20:51:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	2,000	48¢	$960	0x3dea95…
05-29 09:19:16	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x942510…
05-29 09:19:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x5c633d…
05-29 09:19:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xe8df59…
05-29 09:19:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x9998cb…
05-29 09:19:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xd8fb31…
05-29 09:19:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x211cc1…
05-29 09:19:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xeb5a11…
05-29 09:19:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0xdec3b4…
05-29 09:19:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x970347…
05-29 09:19:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x264580…
05-29 09:19:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x2479d0…
05-29 09:19:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	12	35¢	$4	0x8da4b0…
05-29 09:16:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x56ee2d…
05-29 09:15:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x5b222f…
05-29 09:13:31	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xff8e6a…
05-29 09:13:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x3de2af…
05-29 09:13:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xe29393…
05-29 09:13:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x5c536d…
05-29 09:12:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa2e602…
05-29 09:12:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xe14a3e…
05-29 09:11:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x98c630…
05-29 09:11:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x89c4c3…
05-29 07:12:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xd9b56a…
05-29 07:12:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x54d75f…
05-29 07:09:53	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	46	35¢	$16	0xf63c8f…
05-29 06:23:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	35¢	$52	0x85a85d…
05-29 00:15:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	385	44¢	$169	0xbe5c49…
05-29 00:15:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0xde4618…
05-29 00:15:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0xd481b4…
05-29 00:15:32	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0x4ba70c…
05-29 00:15:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0xbcca09…
05-29 00:15:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0x9477a6…
05-29 00:15:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?	Down	BUY	150	44¢	$66	0x56868f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	30	$2.16M	3,244	06-03 18:51
Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851	20	$19.3K	687	06-03 14:22
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	18	$5.02K	1,532	06-03 16:32
Close-Breastplate 0x2651…3471	17	$21.7K	388	06-03 21:56
Frail-Item 0x06ce…0b8b	17	$9.50K	615	06-03 17:39
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	17	$7.21K	150	06-02 19:45
(anonymous) 0x22f1…6415	17	$4.48K	946	06-03 15:47
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	16	$6.41K	167	06-02 19:24