Robust-Conspirator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$677

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

180

lifetime

Volume

$1.26M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$7.00K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-13 04:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

83% 92% $-702

Politics

12% — —

Other

5% 100% +$25

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$351.5K	351,977	0	+351,977	open	—	04-16 04:43
Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	8	$179.5K	180,156	0	+180,156	open	—	04-16 09:33
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$150.0K	150,178	0	+150,178	Spurs	+$194	05-13 02:29
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	27	$108.7K	108,776	0	+108,776	open	—	04-15 05:15
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$96.6K	96,753	0	+96,753	open	—	04-15 20:46
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	5	$78.5K	78,583	0	+78,583	open	—	04-16 06:29
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	3	$63.0K	63,065	0	+63,065	open	—	04-15 05:42
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	12	$55.9K	55,909	0	+55,909	open	—	04-16 15:44
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	17	$38.3K	38,335	0	+38,335	open	—	04-16 18:54
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	16	$36.8K	36,981	0	+36,981	open	—	05-12 11:42
Will de Goes Rodrygo be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	1	$32.0K	32,055	0	+32,055	open	—	04-15 20:51
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$14.9K	14,982	0	+14,982	open	—	05-12 08:29
Will Jose Vinicius Junior be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	1	$12.8K	12,801	0	+12,801	open	—	04-15 20:52
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	5	$11.0K	11,000	0	+11,000	Down	+$19	05-12 20:06
Will Jude Bellingham be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	1	$6.5K	6,514	0	+6,514	open	—	04-15 20:51
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	1	$3.6K	3,626	0	+3,626	Under	+$68	05-13 02:38
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	6	$2.2K	70,000	70,000	+0	open	—	05-09 20:58
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	15	$1.7K	1,776	0	+1,776	Golden Knights	+$60	05-13 04:47
will philadelphia 76ers advance in the 2026 nba play in tournament	4	$1.6K	1,709	0	+1,709	open	—	04-16 03:38
Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.3K	1,272	0	+1,272	No	+$2	05-12 05:04
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	1	$1.3K	1,260	0	+1,260	Ducks	+$2	05-13 04:21
Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5	5	$1.2K	1,329	0	+1,329	Over	$-1,031	05-12 02:53
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	1	$1.1K	1,136	0	+1,136	open	—	04-15 20:52
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$1.0K	1,033	0	+1,033	open	—	01-27 00:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$1.0K	1,021	0	+1,021	open	—	03-01 08:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$1.0K	1,017	0	+1,017	open	—	02-01 12:29
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$906	922	0	+922	open	—	04-15 20:50
bitcoin etf flows on april 15	1	$859	860	0	+860	open	—	04-16 05:14
ethereum etf flows on april 15	2	$833	834	0	+834	open	—	04-16 05:15
Spread: Wild (-1.5)	3	$824	825	0	+825	Avalanche	+$1	05-12 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 04:47:46	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb2396b…
05-13 04:47:42	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	344	99¢	$340	0x85bf8b…
05-13 04:46:36	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x6e07f7…
05-13 04:46:32	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4939a7…
05-13 04:46:18	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0xa93a80…
05-13 04:46:15	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0xf6b61c…
05-13 04:46:11	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x301896…
05-13 04:46:08	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	286	99¢	$283	0x500643…
05-13 04:46:08	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x153b03…
05-13 04:45:57	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xa99cbb…
05-13 04:45:50	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x641716…
05-13 04:44:24	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	340	99¢	$336	0xfb737e…
05-13 04:21:52	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Ducks	BUY	1,260	100¢	$1,258	0x89fbc8…
05-13 03:53:36	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf38e01…
05-13 03:53:36	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	196	78¢	$153	0xc6c5de…
05-13 03:53:36	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x61c0ba…
05-13 02:38:23	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5	Under	BUY	3,626	98¢	$3,558	0xf1442f…
05-13 02:29:59	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	128,492	100¢	$128,364	0xd2f5e3…
05-13 02:25:26	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	21,686	100¢	$21,621	0x2c7206…
05-13 02:03:42	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Sabres	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x6d3ceb…
05-13 02:00:50	Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2dcb46…
05-13 02:00:47	Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0x86b2c6…
05-12 20:59:56	NYA (NYA) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x86129a…
05-12 20:06:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x7e0aae…
05-12 20:01:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	527	100¢	$526	0xab1fce…
05-12 20:00:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4b4fa3…
05-12 19:59:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	360	100¢	$360	0x94ad66…
05-12 19:59:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	9,998	100¢	$9,980	0xe04bba…
05-12 19:58:30	Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x94f6a2…
05-12 19:58:21	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x930fe3…
05-12 19:57:57	NYA (NYA) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	222	98¢	$217	0x9c93e6…
05-12 11:42:33	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,800	100¢	$5,771	0x480860…
05-12 11:30:34	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,990	0x3408bd…
05-12 11:27:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x3c7a6e…
05-12 11:19:03	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13,152	100¢	$13,086	0x57b8d8…
05-12 10:57:52	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6,474	100¢	$6,442	0xb5104b…
05-12 08:56:15	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x27d615…
05-12 08:52:22	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2b01fa…
05-12 08:44:05	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1390ac…
05-12 08:41:34	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb6134f…
05-12 08:36:30	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe27ff8…
05-12 08:29:37	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14,982	100¢	$14,907	0xd566c0…
05-12 08:29:26	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbd0001…
05-12 08:29:23	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,625	100¢	$4,602	0x58cc64…
05-12 08:25:30	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xa605bf…
05-12 08:25:25	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,200	100¢	$4,179	0x1f55b7…
05-12 08:12:49	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x70d19e…
05-12 08:12:00	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x0fe18f…
05-12 05:04:50	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,111	100¢	$1,109	0x34deb1…
05-12 04:16:37	Will Los Angeles Lakers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x458fd3…
05-12 02:58:31	Spread: Wild (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfcdb4f…
05-12 02:54:12	Spread: Wild (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x925314…
05-12 02:53:39	Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	27	99¢	$26	0x61aafc…
05-12 02:53:09	Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe6d2c3…
05-12 02:49:49	Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	1,180	86¢	$1,014	0x0b3edc…
05-12 02:49:44	Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbf03c4…
05-12 02:49:20	Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x858448…
05-12 02:47:03	Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x559031…
05-12 02:44:34	Spread: Wild (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	804	100¢	$803	0xbdb020…
05-12 02:34:43	Avalanche vs. Wild: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x1dd1f7…
05-12 02:31:36	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 206.5	Over	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8cd106…
05-09 20:58:15	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	2,782	2¢	$64	0x18a107…
05-09 20:48:37	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	285	2¢	$7	0x459f00…
05-09 19:44:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	133	2¢	$3	0xdb5ac9…
05-09 19:42:51	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	90	3¢	$2	0x9f5e50…
05-09 19:42:25	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	66,711	3¢	$1,668	0x9b1f29…
05-09 10:06:54	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	70,000	1¢	$491	0x4b3905…
04-16 18:54:08	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,922	100¢	$1,920	0x5a6874…
04-16 18:52:38	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xf51c4e…
04-16 18:18:18	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xd94a56…
04-16 17:22:52	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xfe744f…
04-16 16:10:54	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,085	100¢	$1,084	0x005b99…
04-16 16:07:04	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xd64529…
04-16 15:57:38	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,100	100¢	$4,096	0x7da4c2…
04-16 15:53:20	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0x0fec29…
04-16 15:44:36	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,870	100¢	$4,866	0x0061df…
04-16 15:44:34	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,156	100¢	$5,150	0x41bdd7…
04-16 15:41:28	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x053608…
04-16 15:40:48	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x0b1ace…
04-16 15:39:38	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,177	100¢	$4,173	0x771709…
04-16 15:39:32	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0xa9100b…
04-16 15:39:30	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x20a131…
04-16 15:39:24	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,685	100¢	$2,683	0x5988b6…
04-16 15:38:40	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,715	100¢	$8,706	0xde2e43…
04-16 15:30:08	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x399265…
04-16 15:24:12	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x821bb4…
04-16 15:16:02	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0x92cc83…
04-16 15:14:12	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xa73db7…
04-16 15:12:46	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,319	100¢	$6,313	0xa5bc97…
04-16 09:33:32	Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x268a1c…
04-16 09:32:42	Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x876338…
04-16 09:18:38	Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6cc84c…
04-16 09:18:18	Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x053368…
04-16 09:17:36	Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2feff9…
04-16 09:12:10	Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	417	100¢	$416	0xb80835…
04-16 08:02:00	Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	173,779	100¢	$173,152	0x0a0167…
04-16 07:54:04	Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	No	BUY	5,891	99¢	$5,843	0x91fbfa…
04-16 06:29:46	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8616c0…
04-16 06:25:42	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa7d418…
04-16 06:21:26	will the los angeles clippers make the nba playoffs	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2d2c71…