Altruistic-Gambling 0x264cbb…6bbaca
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$35.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.56K
Hit rate
71.7%
Resolved
1,009
Trades
17,593
lifetime
Volume
$5.28M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$300
Open exposure
$65.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 01:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 225 days
Categories
Other
66% 63% +$63,781
Politics
30% 61% -$14,174
Sports
3% 61% -$13,664
Crypto
1% 45% +$19
Tech
1% 0% -$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 440 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12,000 -$10,172 96¢ $-11526 -$1,354 09-02 18:24
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +12,000 $14,295 94¢ $11.2K -$3,075 10-26 19:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +7,000 $6,128 99¢ $7.0K +$833 10-12 15:15
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +7,000 $5,267 82¢ $5.7K +$438 10-22 19:13
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +6,000 $4,686 86¢ $5.2K +$504 10-18 14:53
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,835 $4,426 92¢ $3.5K -$918 10-26 00:15
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +3,305 $2,975 99¢ $3.3K +$282 10-26 18:40
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,000 $2,391 62¢ $3.1K +$729 10-08 11:16
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +3,000 $2,684 88¢ $2.7K -$29 10-26 23:08
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,000 $1,990 66¢ $2.0K -$25 10-26 00:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +2,053 $1,769 94¢ $1.9K +$160 09-27 21:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,000 $1,692 26¢ $1.3K -$367 10-08 11:16
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +1,000 $838 94¢ $944 +$106 10-13 17:14
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -1,000 -$1,071 94¢ $-940 +$131 07-07 09:50
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1,000 $920 90¢ $900 -$20 10-23 17:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $620 66¢ $665 +$45 10-20 10:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $620 66¢ $665 +$45 10-20 14:28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,000 $760 64¢ $645 -$115 08-16 22:39
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +600 -$832 80¢ $477 +$1,310 10-13 17:30
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +500 $341 95¢ $475 +$134 09-19 07:15
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5,000 $450 8¢ $375 -$75 10-08 11:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +401 $27 76¢ $303 +$276 09-16 19:49
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -288 -$179 100¢ $-287 -$108 05-02 20:27
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +600 -$22 20¢ $123 +$146 10-11 20:51
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes +1,000 $125 12¢ $115 -$10 10-26 18:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +401 $1,707 24¢ $98 -$1,609 09-11 12:30
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? No +15 $11 95¢ $14 +$3 07-01 15:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 83¢ $8 $0 09-16 03:34
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -25 -$6 26¢ $-7 $0 10-05 13:37
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640 No +5 $4 92¢ $5 +$1 06-28 10:57