Loving-Conclusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

+$259

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

Trades

9,069

lifetime

Volume

$2.20M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$243

Open exposure

$8.41K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

64% 73% $-1,825

Politics

31% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 0% $-5

Sports

2% 100% +$480

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 446 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		+10,193	$8,150	82¢	$8.4K	+$259	06-06 01:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	261	$117.5K	76,614	71,922	+4,692	open	—	03-31 19:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	98	$103.9K	49,409	58,492	-9,083	open	—	03-04 18:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	331	$85.3K	84,370	83,007	+1,362	open	—	01-31 00:38
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	103	$77.5K	42,261	50,078	-7,817	open	—	02-27 02:29
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	66	$61.7K	38,442	38,442	+0	open	—	03-02 14:25
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	43	$53.7K	28,889	25,889	+3,000	open	—	02-20 23:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	121	$45.4K	28,198	28,189	+9	open	—	04-12 02:58
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	126	$43.4K	53,516	44,486	+9,030	open	—	03-13 21:50
spx up or down on march 2 2026	137	$42.3K	40,306	40,898	-592	open	—	03-02 20:15
cbb stlou ga 2026 03 19	51	$40.7K	25,086	18,660	+6,426	open	—	03-20 03:47
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	39	$40.2K	21,773	24,773	-2,999	open	—	03-31 18:48
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	2	$38.4K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	03-27 00:42
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	63	$37.9K	29,194	29,194	+0	open	—	04-03 15:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	68	$37.5K	23,324	21,042	+2,282	open	—	04-17 13:06
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	65	$37.3K	23,644	20,087	+3,557	open	—	02-03 19:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	36	$33.0K	25,558	15,366	+10,193	open	—	06-06 01:55
spx up or down on march 9 2026	86	$30.2K	42,929	8,466	+34,463	open	—	03-09 19:27
spx up or down on february 17 2026	71	$27.0K	26,630	24,426	+2,205	open	—	02-17 23:17
spx up or down on january 21 2026	49	$26.7K	13,994	13,980	+14	open	—	01-21 20:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	20	$26.5K	16,912	29,964	-13,052	open	—	06-01 13:08
spx up or down on february 19 2026	44	$22.8K	15,704	9,641	+6,063	open	—	02-19 20:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	37	$22.5K	16,847	17,467	-620	open	—	04-17 13:04
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	62	$20.9K	32,000	32,000	+0	open	—	03-04 19:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	19	$20.3K	11,111	11,111	+0	open	—	05-01 09:24
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	82	$19.5K	11,138	11,138	+0	open	—	04-10 18:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	37	$19.2K	23,913	1,607	+22,307	open	—	04-27 20:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$18.7K	11,131	11,131	+0	open	—	03-03 17:58
spx up or down on march 10 2026	237	$17.9K	28,710	24,450	+4,260	open	—	03-10 18:41
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	25	$16.8K	14,000	8,500	+5,500	open	—	02-28 23:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	43	$16.7K	18,170	10,977	+7,193	open	—	05-25 23:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:45:13	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	66	63¢	$42	0x48c4f0…
06-09 23:27:22	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	49	63¢	$31	0x3d0b2f…
06-09 23:18:27	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xe8d87b…
06-09 23:17:43	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	40	67¢	$27	0x84a0a5…
06-09 23:16:40	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	144	76¢	$109	0xef0474…
06-09 23:16:21	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	120	73¢	$88	0xad8f71…
06-09 23:14:43	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	BUY	2,337	60¢	$1,400	0xa92932…
06-09 20:14:25	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	1,925	15¢	$289	0x889c8c…
06-09 20:07:42	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x3d4e03…
06-08 23:18:04	la mayoral election spencer pratt receives overunder 25 20260607185950806	Under	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf4e8da…
06-08 23:17:46	la mayoral election spencer pratt receives overunder 25 20260607185950806	Under	BUY	81	77¢	$63	0xa2dfff…
06-06 01:57:39	mlb laa lad 2026 06 05	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xa2a129…
06-06 01:57:19	mlb laa lad 2026 06 05	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	3,108	37¢	$1,150	0x30f11f…
06-06 01:55:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,300	83¢	$1,079	0x38f2cb…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xf4214b…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xbf6b13…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	477	48¢	$229	0xa081f9…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x9bf4a7…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x93c424…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x8bf4b0…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8ab69d…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x88c793…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	49	48¢	$24	0x7a9c7f…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x74758b…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	494	48¢	$237	0x5559bc…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2d43c8…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0x25ec16…
06-05 20:47:09	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x1bdc5b…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xe6706f…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xdcd1a0…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0xd7b79d…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xba76af…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb4e56d…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xb0eda8…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	502	48¢	$241	0xae493b…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x92a861…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x70ef32…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x682b7b…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	128	48¢	$61	0x6395e8…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x60d5e1…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x579f6e…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x4b7594…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x41a7cd…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x289489…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	24	48¢	$12	0x164fc0…
06-05 20:47:07	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x004c05…
06-05 20:47:06	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x674459…
06-05 20:45:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,300	83¢	$1,079	0x0326f5…
06-05 20:42:40	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	BUY	495	53¢	$262	0x092f8c…
06-05 20:41:09	btc updown 5m 1780692000	Down	BUY	1,046	57¢	$600	0x41ecf5…
06-05 20:37:49	btc updown 15m 1780691400	Down	BUY	614	16¢	$100	0x388d42…
06-05 20:36:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,200	83¢	$996	0xc07dc0…
06-04 14:23:03	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	813	45¢	$366	0xf72d25…
06-04 14:16:22	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	413	41¢	$169	0xafb98b…
06-04 14:13:07	spx up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	400	44¢	$176	0x4397dd…
06-03 19:31:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	82¢	$2,460	0xe67910…
06-02 00:49:59	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	120	41¢	$49	0x9a3608…
06-01 18:13:53	Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	68	50¢	$34	0xcd76d1…
06-01 16:23:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	723	47¢	$340	0x7ca6a2…
06-01 16:23:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	1,588	47¢	$746	0x409cf1…
06-01 16:23:46	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xc35fc7…
06-01 16:23:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x81dfbe…
06-01 16:23:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xaa8c85…
06-01 16:23:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xbfd193…
06-01 16:23:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	69	47¢	$32	0xbbd338…
06-01 16:23:29	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x50c93d…
06-01 16:23:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	45	47¢	$21	0x04706b…
06-01 16:23:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xe1b0b0…
06-01 16:23:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x0b9e45…
06-01 16:23:17	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x954bc5…
06-01 16:23:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0xee3799…
06-01 16:23:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x0b67c3…
06-01 16:22:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x107f64…
06-01 16:11:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,300	82¢	$1,066	0xc115c5…
06-01 13:08:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,933	72¢	$2,836	0x14ef64…
06-01 13:07:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	72¢	$48	0x987e5b…
06-01 13:07:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,726	73¢	$1,990	0x8975a1…
06-01 13:07:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,233	73¢	$900	0xa78e8b…
06-01 13:07:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	73¢	$30	0xa3add2…
06-01 13:06:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,857	70¢	$2,712	0x40722a…
06-01 13:06:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x5f6b7d…
06-01 13:06:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	70¢	$98	0x831e31…
06-01 13:00:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,707	62¢	$2,299	0xc9c05d…
06-01 13:00:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xcece1c…
06-01 13:00:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xc6b36c…
06-01 13:00:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xbd5f9a…
06-01 13:00:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0xb32305…
06-01 12:59:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,178	67¢	$784	0x00b7ff…
06-01 12:52:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	812	78¢	$629	0x907f4a…
06-01 12:50:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,100	79¢	$3,223	0xdd5145…
06-01 12:49:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,000	82¢	$3,276	0xd3ca16…
06-01 12:49:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,973	82¢	$3,238	0x28236f…
06-01 12:49:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	82¢	$22	0xeb0d6e…
06-01 00:13:57	Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	1,000	57¢	$570	0x1c5c81…
05-31 18:04:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x1aad7e…
05-30 14:45:09	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6,301	52¢	$3,277	0xa0e3c8…
05-30 03:21:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	7,777	82¢	$6,377	0xeb4194…
05-29 22:39:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17,052	26¢	$4,445	0xba245e…
05-29 22:38:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	82¢	$1,640	0xb0092b…
05-28 21:39:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	167	82¢	$137	0xd4546a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	341	$38.0M	62,687	06-10 01:55
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	213	$32.4K	6,976	06-10 00:24
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	195	$1.32M	25,249	06-10 01:07
Mountainous-Elongation 0x5fe5…8b99	190	$32.8K	8,288	04-12 07:07
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	159	$479.0K	40,984	06-01 04:00
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	151	$397.3K	2,422	06-08 18:47
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	136	$158.6K	2,534	06-10 01:55
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	129	$947.7K	13,253	06-01 23:07