Gregarious-Return 0x7c30ee…3b7673
whale cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.09K
Hit rate
79.9%
Resolved
547
Trades
2,490
lifetime
Volume
$479.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$193
Open exposure
$30.1K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 14:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 151 days
Categories
Other
64% 75% -$9,661
Politics
29% 71% +$3,324
Sports
4% 74% -$688
Tech
3% 69% +$304
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US recession by end of 2026? No +8,209 $6,699 92¢ $7.6K +$895 09-24 05:38
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +6,982 $5,582 92¢ $6.4K +$848 10-18 15:54
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +4,792 $4,019 96¢ $4.6K +$594 10-11 11:50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +1,950 $1,617 82¢ $1.6K -$27 10-25 23:32
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +1,600 $1,318 96¢ $1.5K +$224 07-31 04:53
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +1,800 $1,696 68¢ $1.2K -$472 10-17 10:00
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,300 $1,174 92¢ $1.2K +$16 10-11 13:19
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +1,361 $166 84¢ $1.1K +$970 08-20 15:55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -1,100 -$1,035 98¢ $-1079 -$44 06-26 00:31
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? No +1,000 $933 97¢ $974 +$41 10-09 16:11
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 Yes +1,182 $342 70¢ $833 +$491 10-16 14:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +600 $498 95¢ $570 +$72 10-12 13:15
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +465 $308 94¢ $439 +$130 08-06 16:46
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +398 $312 98¢ $390 +$78 06-13 19:24
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +300 $267 96¢ $289 +$22 06-15 09:31
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +200 $160 78¢ $157 -$3 10-16 14:21
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +50 $32 86¢ $43 +$11 06-13 15:36
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -500 -$45 4¢ $-19 +$26 06-02 17:35
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -253 -$81 6¢ $-14 +$67 05-02 14:13
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +600 $135 1¢ $7 -$128 06-04 16:52
will anthropic ipo by november 15 2026 Yes +200 $130 3¢ $6 -$124 09-15 22:50
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +67 $52 3¢ $2 -$50 06-01 16:14
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Yes +885 $545 0¢ $1 -$544 09-08 13:42
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-02 05:19