Realized P&L
-$174
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
56.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,643
lifetime
Volume
$355.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$216
Open exposure
$4.35K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 14:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
58% 0% $-44
Politics
36% 50% $-130
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +2,867 $2,268 84¢ $2.4K +$138 07-17 00:40
US recession by end of 2026? No +900 $792 88¢ $792 +$0 07-18 05:47
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1,200 $500 42¢ $498 $-2 06-17 20:06
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +300 $267 93¢ $279 +$12 06-15 09:31
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +207 $163 92¢ $189 +$26 06-13 09:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -100 $-94 96¢ $-96 $-1 06-26 00:31
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +50 $32 76¢ $38 +$6 06-13 15:36
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -482 $-43 $-31 +$12 06-02 17:35
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +67 $52 18¢ $12 $-40 06-01 16:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +500 $230 $7 $-223 06-20 13:25
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +10 $8 66¢ $7 $-2 06-01 16:15