Realized P&L
-$174
Unrealized P&L
+$197
Hit rate
56.3%
Resolved
3
Trades
1,578
lifetime
Volume
$348.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$221
Open exposure
$8.34K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 17:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
58% 0% $-44
Politics
37% 50% $-130
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +4,950 $4,789 100¢ $4.9K +$136 06-26 12:26
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +2,267 $1,777 81¢ $1.8K +$50 06-28 21:04
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +1,200 $500 48¢ $570 +$70 06-17 20:06
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +300 $267 92¢ $276 +$9 06-15 09:31
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -200 $-199 100¢ $-200 $-0 06-20 17:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +500 $230 36¢ $182 $-48 06-20 13:25
Databricks IPO before 2027? No +207 $163 82¢ $171 +$7 06-13 09:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -100 $-94 95¢ $-95 $-0 06-26 00:31
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -482 $-43 $-36 +$7 06-02 17:35
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +50 $32 66¢ $33 +$1 06-13 15:36
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +67 $52 26¢ $17 $-35 06-01 16:14
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +10 $8 76¢ $8 $-1 06-01 16:15