Realized P&L
-$27
Unrealized P&L
-$41
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved
13
Trades
4,109
lifetime
Volume
$28.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$8
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-28
last 06-27 00:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
63% 25% $-5
Other
33% 25% $-20
Crypto
3% 0% $-3
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $2 $2 +$1 05-28 20:35
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30? Yes +154 $4 $1 $-3 06-12 09:35
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? Yes +200 $3 $1 $-2 06-19 21:13
Over $1B crypto hack value in 2026? No -13 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-13 22:47
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30? Yes +500 $5 $0 $-5 06-07 14:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +50 $6 $0 $-6 06-18 15:06
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026? Yes +59 $0 $0 $-0 06-18 16:03
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by June 30? Yes +150 $2 $0 $-1 06-07 09:48
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? Yes +100 $6 $0 $-6 06-12 00:55
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? Yes +269 $1 $0 $-1 05-17 02:39
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? Yes -50 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-04 21:00
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30? Yes +117 $1 $0 $-1 06-18 19:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +150 $1 $0 $-1 06-27 00:49
Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? Yes +200 $4 $0 $-4 05-29 00:30
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $3 $0 $-3 06-18 05:13
Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30? Yes +200 $2 $0 $-1 06-02 11:31
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? Yes +50 $2 $0 $-1 06-01 18:02
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $5 $0 $-5 06-12 14:17
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $0 $0 $-0 05-28 20:26
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? Yes +100 $3 $0 $-3 05-28 11:06