Multicolored-Dead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$296

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-06 03:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 0% $-0

Politics

28% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	06-02 07:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	34	$34	28	30	-2	open	—	02-20 01:20
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	02-13 00:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-02 03:06
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	03-18 07:45
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-18 07:45
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-30 02:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	6	$6	7	7	+0	Yes	$-0	01-20 09:20
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by march 31	6	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-11 02:12
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-22 07:56
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 07:01
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 04:25
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-29 08:46
Trump out as President by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-11 09:03
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-05 07:51
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-03 02:47
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 08:09
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-06 02:40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-25 08:09
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-25 08:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-31 02:09
will north korea recognize israel by december 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 10:10
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-30 02:43
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-05 08:40
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	3	$3	3	1	+1	open	—	01-15 09:41
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-31 04:47
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 01:50
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 03:04
highest temperature in taipei on march 22 2026 20c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-21 07:00
highest temperature in hong kong on march 28 2026 18corbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-26 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 01:58:17	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x2a6e18…
07-07 01:41:17	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc6586d…
07-06 03:04:50	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xed70b6…
07-06 03:03:56	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x973653…
07-06 02:46:56	Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd4e29a…
07-06 02:45:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe87e78…
07-04 02:02:55	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf058ca…
07-04 01:49:28	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd25c51…
07-03 02:47:28	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x96e7e4…
07-03 02:28:53	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x12b3b6…
07-02 03:06:35	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x51a5a2…
07-02 02:40:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x05003d…
07-01 01:30:17	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x7608a8…
07-01 01:17:32	Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x36194e…
06-30 02:43:56	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x25322f…
06-30 02:43:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8642c5…
06-30 02:27:23	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f4f4a…
06-30 02:24:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa3ca09…
06-27 02:09:22	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe189de…
06-27 02:02:47	Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5e4364…
06-26 10:12:50	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbb4adb…
06-26 10:05:25	Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x96744a…
06-25 08:09:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5c6e68…
06-25 06:47:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe5d06…
06-23 09:33:07	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x376679…
06-23 09:32:41	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6efd20…
06-23 09:28:20	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64db0a…
06-23 09:26:50	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xccf7b7…
06-22 07:39:50	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6b240a…
06-22 07:39:20	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xfc7add…
06-22 07:29:37	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1dd62c…
06-22 07:27:01	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by june 30	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x85563e…
06-21 10:10:04	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x573d1a…
06-21 10:09:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0bd849…
06-21 10:02:16	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe96d2c…
06-21 10:00:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x19de5d…
06-18 09:41:56	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x58e7bb…
06-18 09:31:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5d3f4b…
06-17 08:27:28	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x9b88ea…
06-17 08:26:52	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa694b0…
06-17 08:17:55	will north korea recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4a7117…
06-17 08:17:05	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x42cef3…
06-17 08:09:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6f8e04…
06-17 08:09:13	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0e9621…
06-16 09:08:07	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x33a415…
06-16 09:07:51	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e1ea3…
06-16 09:01:51	fda approves ionis olezarsen 06 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x513b79…
06-16 08:57:49	Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe09ac3…
06-15 09:15:01	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xab2c7a…
06-15 09:14:28	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5b338b…
06-15 09:03:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7b5524…
06-15 09:02:19	Iran coup attempt by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4ebdfa…
06-13 08:09:42	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9386b0…
06-13 07:52:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7c4a28…
06-12 09:05:45	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x0ae7f5…
06-12 08:54:04	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x56c3ad…
06-11 09:03:40	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc7caa7…
06-11 08:51:28	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0c0b3c…
06-10 09:10:01	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfaa338…
06-10 09:09:30	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3289a0…
06-10 09:02:03	gmgn fdv above 4b one day after launch	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb0cb3b…
06-10 09:01:01	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa67ab2…
06-09 08:22:43	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xfd1634…
06-09 08:11:37	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8ff068…
06-08 07:40:16	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xafa7da…
06-08 07:36:13	Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x44f27d…
06-06 07:57:27	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xcfbdaa…
06-06 07:44:34	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc330f2…
06-05 07:53:36	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x16440d…
06-05 07:51:57	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9887a1…
06-05 07:50:49	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x59649f…
06-05 07:49:22	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0dff8c…
06-04 09:32:12	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe6b28a…
06-04 09:28:55	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0c2727…
06-03 08:35:41	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd8bed8…
06-03 08:33:42	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa8f2b6…
06-02 07:29:22	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xda2ca2…
06-01 09:34:06	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0166bf…
06-01 09:33:41	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3841d2…
06-01 09:17:25	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xef1729…
06-01 09:16:27	Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xefafad…
05-30 03:13:49	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x632bc6…
05-30 03:07:56	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8a3fff…
05-29 08:46:41	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x898369…
05-29 08:27:52	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe0094a…
05-28 09:18:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb67227…
05-28 08:58:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8c4c6a…
05-27 10:00:26	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8cc820…
05-27 09:53:18	Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x724475…
05-22 07:56:09	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1ebe60…
05-22 07:36:16	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x861450…
05-21 04:51:10	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x89bdf0…
05-20 03:17:08	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x24d790…
05-19 02:56:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x844bf6…
05-19 02:13:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7b2c2b…
05-15 01:45:32	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7f1b86…
05-15 01:31:00	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa15cec…
05-13 03:22:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7efdaf…
05-13 02:41:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb2315f…
05-12 04:16:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x723079…