Realized P&L
+$43
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
16
Trades
2,148
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$79
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 06-23 04:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
81% 44% +$34
Other
18% 0% $-1
Crypto
1% 100% +$18
Sports
1% 0% $-8
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 441 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -52 $-49 95¢ $-49 $-1 05-30 01:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -14 $-13 96¢ $-13 $-0 06-19 02:51
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -34 $-2 14¢ $-5 $-2 06-23 04:48
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +5 $4 93¢ $5 +$0 06-16 10:22
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Yes +486 $3 $2 $-1 06-01 09:21
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? Yes +173 $3 $1 $-3 06-01 16:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +100 $1 $1 $-1 06-03 07:40
Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +15 $0 $0 +$0 06-03 07:40
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +253 $3 $0 $-3 06-09 11:34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes +77 $1 $0 $-1 06-01 17:21
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? Yes +142 $2 $0 $-1 06-08 08:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? Yes +142 $2 $0 $-1 06-04 20:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June? Yes +250 $2 $0 $-2 06-03 07:40
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +120 $2 $0 $-1 06-06 16:11
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? Yes +90 $2 $0 $-1 06-08 01:24
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +201 $2 $0 $-2 06-01 09:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June? Yes +176 $2 $0 $-1 06-03 19:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $-1 18¢ $0 +$1 06-22 12:10
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes +87 $-2 $0 +$2 06-12 09:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June? Yes +150 $2 $0 $-2 06-03 01:19
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes +130 $2 $0 $-1 06-02 07:04
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June? Yes +120 $2 $0 $-1 06-03 07:40
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes +115 $2 $0 $-1 06-02 07:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +90 $2 $0 $-1 06-04 05:35
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +67 $1 $0 $-1 06-02 07:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -1 $1 $-0 $-1 05-28 19:15
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 05-29 19:56
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 05-29 19:56