Realized P&L
+$43
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
16
Trades
2,152
lifetime
Volume
$14.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$71
5 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 07-06 12:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
81% 44% +$34
Other
18% 0% $-1
Crypto
1% 100% +$18
Sports
1% 0% $-8
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 441 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -52 $-49 96¢ $-50 $-1 05-30 01:45
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -14 $-13 95¢ $-13 $-0 06-19 02:51
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +54 $4 $4 $-0 07-05 02:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -35 $-2 10¢ $-4 $-1 07-04 23:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $-1 46¢ $0 +$1 06-22 12:10