Sunny-Course — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.93K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

22.6%

Resolved

1,223

Trades

5,125

lifetime

Volume

$32.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 11-05 15:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

49% 21% +$4,021

Politics

47% 24% +$1,142

Sports

4% 1% -$142

Crypto

0% 23% -$57

Tech

0% 6% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	$0	11-05 15:40
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes		+1	$0	0¢	$0	+$0	09-25 16:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?	12	$2.3K	1,338	1,338	+0	No	-$106	05-18 15:33
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?	9	$2.1K	1,188	1,188	+0	No	-$31	05-18 15:33
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	66	$1.7K	2,643	2,599	+45	No	-$17	05-27 00:44
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?	8	$1.7K	880	880	+0	No	-$13	05-18 15:33
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	103	$1.4K	9,106	9,105	+1	Yes	-$56	05-29 11:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	306	$1.4K	5,189	5,178	+11	No	+$11	05-30 14:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	66	$1.3K	859	859	+0	Yes	-$13	05-28 07:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	101	$865	1,358	1,354	+4	No	+$470	05-30 14:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	100	$832	11,696	12,014	-318	No	-$37	05-30 01:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	70	$775	577	577	+1	No	-$2	05-30 01:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	40	$765	681	680	+1	open	—	11-05 15:40
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	56	$757	1,046	1,046	+0	No	-$9	05-25 22:56
Will London have between 5-10mm of precipitation in May?	5	$736	451	451	+0	No	-$164	05-18 15:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	49	$715	3,742	3,025	+717	No	+$609	05-26 04:13
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	25	$660	388	388	+0	No	-$4	05-27 16:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	157	$658	720	720	+0	Yes	+$6	05-30 14:58
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$643	400	400	+0	No	-$2	06-21 12:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	79	$545	719	718	+0	Yes	-$11	05-30 01:45
Will Hong Kong have between 200-210mm of precipitation in May?	3	$407	252	252	+0	No	-$93	05-18 15:33
Will a hurricane form by May 31?	2	$398	204	204	+0	No	-$2	05-18 15:31
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	111	$390	495	495	+0	No	-$7	05-30 14:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	111	$358	479	478	+0	No	-$6	05-28 18:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	85	$351	401	401	+1	Yes	-$5	05-30 14:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	61	$293	8,861	9,017	-156	No	-$24	05-14 19:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	26	$288	999	689	+310	No	+$257	05-28 10:32
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	29	$284	237	180	+57	Yes	-$1	05-28 20:06
Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in May?	5	$268	203	201	+2	No	-$130	05-18 15:33
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	88	$217	381	380	+0	No	-$8	05-30 14:58
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	21	$206	868	868	+0	No	-$5	05-26 00:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	36	$203	256	256	+0	No	+$5	05-28 19:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:40:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xe61c00…
11-02 23:55:31	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	61	7¢	$4	0x430480…
11-02 14:29:24	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	102	7¢	$7	0x44866c…
11-02 14:29:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	238	2¢	$5	0x2218ac…
10-22 12:09:26	Will it snow in New York City, NY by November 30?	No	SELL	69	24¢	$17	0xf81837…
10-19 07:42:53	Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 15?	Yes	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xf02ea2…
10-19 07:41:17	Will it snow in Denver, CO by October 31?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xb046ae…
10-17 00:06:15	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x8cd4a9…
10-17 00:06:15	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	63	17¢	$11	0x3187f1…
10-15 16:03:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0x175e6c…
10-15 16:01:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x863660…
10-15 12:50:55	Will it snow in New York City, NY by November 30?	No	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xe04b1b…
10-12 20:00:24	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 12?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xc47b3d…
10-09 16:01:54	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xa3c3ba…
10-05 16:04:29	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x4db82a…
10-05 00:08:32	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0xb641e2…
10-03 15:23:39	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 3?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xbb0282…
10-02 02:30:48	Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?	Yes	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x4499ae…
10-01 13:27:11	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 1?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xe6474d…
10-01 13:27:00	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 1?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xa48115…
09-30 18:44:36	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on September 30?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x16e6dd…
09-25 16:46:51	Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x07bcd4…
09-22 17:10:30	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 22?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x18de10…
09-21 11:25:24	Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x001392…
09-18 13:42:17	Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xc6f8e2…
09-18 13:42:17	Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 15?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xaee81a…
09-18 13:42:15	Will it snow in New York City, NY by November 30?	No	BUY	55	33¢	$18	0xa177ed…
09-18 12:04:03	Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x202e6c…
09-18 12:04:01	Will it snow in Denver, CO by October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xf1826d…
09-16 12:59:58	Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc9261e…
09-16 12:59:57	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	80	24¢	$19	0x14e005…
09-14 13:24:40	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	152	25¢	$37	0xf39870…
09-14 13:24:40	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x06a349…
09-11 17:46:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xc512e7…
09-05 15:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x47943a…
09-05 14:42:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3dd8dc…
09-05 14:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x384c3a…
09-05 14:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfaee7a…
09-05 12:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x47fe24…
09-05 12:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf3d649…
09-05 12:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdc334a…
09-05 12:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8f51d2…
09-05 12:04:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x558079…
09-05 09:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x65ba22…
09-05 09:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 5?	Yes	BUY	37	2¢	$1	0xa8cc10…
09-05 09:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 5?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x9e0302…
09-05 09:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 5?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x22e332…
09-05 09:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 5?	Yes	BUY	196	1¢	$2	0x8533df…
09-05 09:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 5?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x1aa339…
09-05 08:05:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1be666…
09-05 06:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1de49c…
09-05 03:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8628dd…
09-05 01:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x059a16…
09-05 01:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7376b1…
09-05 01:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa33b25…
09-05 00:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xfe98d8…
09-05 00:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb9330c…
09-04 17:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x245a55…
09-04 14:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8,342	0¢	$17	0xe4f209…
09-04 12:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0033db…
09-04 12:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7ef8ff…
09-04 12:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x641012…
09-04 08:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x70379d…
09-04 06:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3bb9cd…
09-04 04:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf9fc53…
09-04 04:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x46fbdc…
09-04 03:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf8aadb…
09-04 00:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7fbfe5…
09-04 00:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd73718…
09-04 00:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 4?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x11b2f4…
09-03 21:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbac94c…
09-03 16:57:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x4aace7…
09-03 16:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1214ee…
08-31 12:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xd08090…
08-30 23:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x2b1114…
08-30 12:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 31?	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x7f76cc…
08-28 04:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 29?	No	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb41fcb…
08-28 04:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x9a8a2a…
08-28 03:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xae7642…
08-28 01:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x0f6905…
08-28 00:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9573c0…
08-28 00:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	23	42¢	$10	0x6fc7b6…
08-28 00:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 28?	No	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x264625…
08-27 12:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x86809f…
08-27 12:02:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfb1192…
08-27 12:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 28?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xda37ea…
08-26 01:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa4a93e…
08-26 00:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 26?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4f37b9…
08-26 00:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x7ee229…
08-25 19:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x71e8e4…
08-25 19:36:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x91deda…
08-25 18:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0957fc…
08-25 12:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 25?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd3e20b…
08-25 12:02:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x98ffbd…
08-25 12:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x79b3ae…
08-25 04:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8f0411…
08-25 01:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 25?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4e5b42…
08-25 01:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 26?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfb43d6…
08-24 23:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 25?	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xa58aec…
08-24 23:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 25?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x0f2c1e…