Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$674
$2,235 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$3,366
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-06-10
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-16 23:43
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -73.9¢ (top1%: 0% YES on $105 vs crowd: 74% YES on $648)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐋 Whale 1 — $0 $0
🐬 Dolphin 4 — $157 $157
🐟 Fish 2 — $11 $11
🦐 Shrimp 6 $479 $1 +$478
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 1 — $105 $105
🏆 Top 5% 3 — $52 $52
Median 1 — $7 $7
Below median 1 $79 — +$79
⚠️ Bottom 10% 2 $5 — +$5
🔻 Bottom 5% 3 $345 $4 +$341
unranked 2 $50 $1 +$49
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Cavernous-Netball 0xa113…93f4 Yes +948 $345 $345 6 05-14 14:54
Direct-Mat 0x4041…6f52 Yes +434 $79 $79 6 05-16 23:43
Well-Informed-Belt 0x3e5a…8642 Yes +245 $50 $50 1 05-15 13:54
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f No +125 $105 $105 2 05-16 14:16
Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 No +30 $22 $22 1 05-14 14:56
Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 No +30 $26 $26 1 05-16 16:26
Formal-Sight 0xf88b…0ed2 Yes +12 $5 $5 1 05-13 02:42
Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 No +10 $7 $7 1 05-14 14:56
Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 No +5 $4 $4 1 05-14 14:56
Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 No +5 $4 $4 1 05-16 01:03
(anonymous) 0xf94b…0639 No +1 $1 $1 1 05-15 16:49