Realized P&L
+$20
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved
94
Trades
4,905
lifetime
Volume
$93.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$1.13K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 19:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
55% 44% +$14
Sports
28% 54% $-76
Politics
14% 100% +$82
Crypto
3%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes +378 $347 92¢ $348 +$0 07-21 08:48
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -300 $-281 97¢ $-290 $-9 06-04 07:35
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +150 $124 88¢ $131 +$7 06-24 09:10
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +136 $113 96¢ $131 +$18 07-13 17:30
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +100 $87 86¢ $86 $-0 06-23 21:01
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +120 $68 62¢ $74 +$5 06-25 16:55
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Yes +59 $32 56¢ $33 +$1 06-24 18:35
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? Yes +30 $20 84¢ $25 +$5 06-28 16:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $7 72¢ $7 +$0 07-19 09:23
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $4 24¢ $2 $-2 06-24 16:03