Formal-Sight 0xf88b89…530ed2
whale bot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$304
Unrealized P&L
+$422
Hit rate
69.2%
Resolved
3,939
Trades
7,602
lifetime
Volume
$132.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$2.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 13:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 303 days
Categories
Other
58% 48% -$463
Sports
22% 51% +$386
Politics
16% 64% +$247
Crypto
3% 76% +$195
Tech
2% 45% -$57
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +751 $447 89¢ $669 +$222 10-19 00:19
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +200 $184 96¢ $191 +$7 10-10 04:29
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +150 $124 92¢ $137 +$13 06-24 09:10
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +150 $123 84¢ $125 +$2 10-08 18:15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +100 $86 94¢ $94 +$9 10-10 16:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +130 $66 72¢ $94 +$29 10-06 09:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +130 $86 68¢ $88 +$2 10-11 13:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +100 $72 84¢ $84 +$11 10-10 18:27
Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the top song for 2026? Yes +91 $71 88¢ $80 +$9 10-16 07:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $65 70¢ $70 +$6 10-08 18:54
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +70 $43 91¢ $64 +$21 10-08 18:06
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +80 $67 78¢ $63 -$4 10-11 17:38
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +50 $35 96¢ $48 +$13 10-10 18:15
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +50 $40 92¢ $46 +$7 09-14 17:41
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +49 $31 92¢ $45 +$14 09-21 01:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +50 $42 86¢ $43 +$1 09-21 16:00
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +50 $20 86¢ $43 +$24 08-11 19:46
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +70 $45 62¢ $43 -$2 10-08 16:21
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +50 $40 84¢ $42 +$2 10-06 07:32
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +50 $36 73¢ $36 +$0 09-12 10:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +30 $24 99¢ $30 +$5 10-17 16:03
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +50 $26 56¢ $28 +$2 09-15 06:07
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +25 $8 99¢ $25 +$17 10-10 18:22
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +30 $23 72¢ $22 -$1 10-17 17:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +30 $29 70¢ $21 -$8 10-10 18:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? Yes +40 $22 52¢ $21 -$1 09-10 03:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +60 $15 33¢ $20 +$5 10-11 23:15
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +340 $1 5¢ $19 +$18 09-26 17:54
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +20 $17 92¢ $18 +$2 08-21 17:40
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +20 $18 84¢ $17 -$1 10-05 16:58