Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.08K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.27K
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved (90d)
7,868
Trades (90d)
17,275
63,529 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.10M
$9.65M lifetime
Avg / trade
$152
Open exposure
$152.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 15:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 302 days
Categories
Other
93% 95% -$2,411
Politics
3% 78% +$37
Crypto
3% 98% +$252
Sports
2% 76% +$545
Tech
0% 84% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% 98% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 617 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +48,245 $45,794 98¢ $47.4K +$1,607 10-28 16:42
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +21,417 $21,043 100¢ $21.4K +$321 08-22 03:09
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +13,761 $13,517 100¢ $13.7K +$197 08-11 16:46
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12,432 $12,168 99¢ $12.3K +$159 10-09 20:18
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No +11,994 $11,626 98¢ $11.8K +$163 10-09 19:55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11,282 $10,926 98¢ $11.1K +$159 10-09 20:17
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10,959 $10,812 100¢ $10.9K +$120 08-14 16:52
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No +7,273 $7,078 99¢ $7.2K +$119 10-09 20:17
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? No +6,850 $6,743 100¢ $6.8K +$93 08-21 08:11
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,628 $4,355 100¢ $4.6K +$264 10-29 14:51
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,486 99¢ $1.5K +$4 10-09 20:17
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? No +984 $920 98¢ $969 +$49 09-03 23:30
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? No +685 $653 98¢ $673 +$20 09-02 19:25
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 +$0 11-07 03:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 9? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 11-07 15:28
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-08 17:14
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-08 23:28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-09 10:44
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 10-26 00:45
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-07 17:45
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-06 11:41
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-07 22:57
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 10-26 00:45
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-08 05:19
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-08 17:14
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 11-06 05:15
Will another party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 11-06 16:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 9? Yes +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 11-08 07:11
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF + Maori? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 11-06 16:12
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-26 00:45