Realized P&L (90d)
+$995
Unrealized P&L
+$3.65K
Hit rate
99.9%
Resolved (90d)
8,009
Trades (90d)
17,331
63,913 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.06M
$9.66M lifetime
Avg / trade
$151
Open exposure
$152.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-12 00:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 305 days
Categories
Other
93% 95% -$2,402
Crypto
3% 98% +$269
Politics
3% 78% +$31
Sports
2% 76% +$548
Tech
0% 84% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% 98% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 617 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +48,245 $45,794 99¢ $47.5K +$1,751 10-28 16:42
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +21,417 $21,043 100¢ $21.4K +$342 08-22 03:09
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +13,761 $13,517 100¢ $13.7K +$197 08-11 16:46
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No +12,432 $12,168 100¢ $12.4K +$208 10-09 20:18
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? No +11,994 $11,626 99¢ $11.9K +$229 10-09 19:55
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +11,282 $10,926 99¢ $11.1K +$204 10-09 20:17
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10,959 $10,812 100¢ $10.9K +$131 08-14 16:52
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No +7,273 $7,078 100¢ $7.2K +$162 10-09 20:17
Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? No +6,850 $6,743 100¢ $6.8K +$93 08-21 08:11
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,628 $4,355 100¢ $4.6K +$266 10-29 14:51
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,500 $1,486 100¢ $1.5K +$7 10-09 20:17
Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? No +984 $920 98¢ $969 +$49 09-03 23:30
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? No +685 $653 97¢ $666 +$12 09-02 19:25
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 +$0 11-07 03:19
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-06 11:41
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in October? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-09 05:13
Will annual inflation be 4.3% or more in October? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-09 05:13
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in October? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-09 05:13
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in October? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-09 05:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 12? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-10 21:29
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 +$0 11-11 00:08
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-26 00:45
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-26 23:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on November 13? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 11-11 19:04
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-26 00:45
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in October? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 11-09 06:52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 11? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 11-11 17:56
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-26 00:45
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 10-26 00:45
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +100 $100 100¢ $100 $0 11-11 17:22