Frequent-Sleuth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.59K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,918

lifetime

Volume

$433.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$226

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 08-04 05:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

64% 98% $-2,597

Politics

24% 100% +$0

Sports

8% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down on May 1?	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	05-01 16:37
lol nip al 2026 04 22	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-22 15:55
mbwm quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 21 2026 1pt26	3	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-21 16:03
nba phx okc 2026 04 22 rebounds dillon brooks 3pt5	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-23 05:16
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	05-01 06:01
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	3	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-29 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?	4	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-26 05:18
will trump say no no no during healthcare event	3	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-23 23:41
lal bar cel 2026 04 22 cel	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-23 00:19
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-25 05:39
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by May 31?	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	05-01 09:12
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Rawalpindi Pindiz	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-26 15:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	05-01 08:25
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	3	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-29 14:56
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	6	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-27 20:12
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	05-04 06:19
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-27 00:32
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	05-01 12:39
highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 12c	2	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	open	—	04-25 01:18
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $265 on May 6?	1	$2.6K	2,603	+2,603	Yes	$-2,597	05-06 12:06
Glinka vs. Kozlov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	1	$2.6K	2,595	+2,595	open	—	04-20 23:21
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	4	$2.5K	2,550	+2,550	open	—	04-19 22:36
ufc tan goksar 2026 04 18 saricam win by ko tko	1	$2.5K	2,550	+2,550	open	—	04-19 01:42
S&P 500 all time high by April 17, 2026?	2	$2.5K	2,550	+2,550	open	—	04-16 01:36
nba min den 2026 04 18 spread home 6pt5	1	$2.5K	2,550	+2,550	open	—	04-18 23:42
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	1	$2.5K	2,550	+2,550	open	—	04-19 14:22
mlb bal cle 2026 04 19 total 7pt5	1	$2.5K	2,550	+2,550	open	—	04-19 19:29
will trump say biden during fox interview on wednesday	1	$2.5K	2,550	+2,550	open	—	04-15 12:54
will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 18 2026	3	$2.5K	2,550	+2,550	open	—	04-19 08:55
bitcoin above 73800 on april 16 2026 10am et	7	$2.5K	2,550	+2,550	open	—	04-16 16:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-04 05:01:11	col1 cab cdf 2026 08 03 team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xef1b8c…
08-03 16:52:09	atp barrena skatov 2026 08 03 match total 22pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84664c…
08-02 02:05:20	argpn cap qui 2026 08 02 first half team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x92bd85…
07-24 21:08:58	rou1 fua aog 2026 07 25 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb56e94…
07-24 20:17:49	will hood reach 110 by july 20 2026	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x9fa000…
07-23 07:52:54	usl1 por uni 2026 07 22 corners second half total 3pt5	Over	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3aac97…
07-19 16:12:36	bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	Up	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xcd4771…
07-19 01:19:45	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x6e7dd0…
07-19 01:19:45	bra2 acg ath 2026 07 20 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x63c965…
07-19 00:15:46	mlb tb bos 2026 07 18	Boston Red Sox	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x4d0db8…
07-18 04:32:04	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xaa1a20…
07-18 04:32:04	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x768e5b…
07-18 04:32:04	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2534fb…
07-18 04:32:04	bra2 lon bot 2026 07 20 btts	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x15b0d9…
07-15 17:29:37	auc mcr bjf 2026 07 15 second half team total home 1pt5	Under	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeb299d…
07-11 20:04:59	will trevor condon be drafted in the top 5 in the 2026 mlb draft 20260706190258863	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x427b9b…
07-11 20:04:58	will eric becker be drafted in the top 5 in the 2026 mlb draft 20260706190258891	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x512a7c…
07-01 06:06:49	will nocries play an hltv recorded match by june 30	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xda520c…
07-01 06:06:49	No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x4b0ba5…
07-01 06:05:52	Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x75926d…
07-01 06:05:52	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x2a63ca…
07-01 06:05:52	will bahrain send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x11eef4…
07-01 06:04:28	Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xdd2d33…
07-01 06:04:28	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x7b2a7c…
07-01 06:04:28	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x09c5e0…
07-01 06:02:50	Amouranth divorced by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdc029f…
07-01 06:02:50	Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1e13f8…
07-01 06:02:50	Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x178bbb…
07-01 06:01:35	Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x7a5565…
06-30 04:26:05	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0xe035ad…
06-29 23:48:14	SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x91988b…
06-23 19:12:40	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 goals eldor shomurodov gte1	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1e51e3…
06-18 00:32:49	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 goals plus assists marco pasalic gte1	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x26261c…
06-10 05:28:28	Will Lauren Babb Tomlinson advance from the CA-06 primary election?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x03c613…
06-10 05:28:27	will elizabeth fenner advance from the ca 37 primary election	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xda434d…
06-10 05:28:27	will baltazar fedalizo advance from the ca 37 primary election	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xc45e4b…
06-10 05:28:27	will samantha mota advance from the ca 37 primary election	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8f4190…
06-10 05:28:27	will ryan duckett advance from the ca 37 primary election	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x30a09a…
06-10 05:28:27	will sydney kamlager dove advance from the ca 37 primary election	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x18f78d…
06-07 18:43:24	val lev1 ge1 2026 06 07 game1 round handicap ge1 2pt5	Global Esports	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd0462b…
06-07 18:43:24	val lev1 ge1 2026 06 07 game1 round handicap ge1 7pt5	Global Esports	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb1068f…
06-01 21:27:17	First Blood in Game 2?	Enjoy	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71cea4…
06-01 19:56:15	Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb287cf…
06-01 17:47:13	dota2 poorra g 2026 06 01 game2 kill over 90pt5	Over	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xde5bcb…
06-01 17:11:43	Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7cf8d8…
06-01 16:45:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x593bad…
06-01 16:44:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x94b5a0…
06-01 14:52:22	lol al we 2026 06 01 game4 kill over 31pt5	Over	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbbc46f…
06-01 14:52:22	lol al we 2026 06 01 game4 kill over 27pt5	Under	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x81bdf6…
06-01 10:34:23	Dota 2: Rostik999 Club vs VooDooSh Club - Game 2 Winner	Rostik999 Club	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3a1c5f…
06-01 06:08:53	Will Trump say "Favorite Chart" in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x702829…
06-01 06:06:40	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x86922e…
06-01 01:07:37	Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO5) - FRAG TAP Reloaded Playoffs	Chicken Coop Esports	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5395f0…
05-31 21:26:34	Córdoba CF vs. SD Huesca: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x311e43…
05-31 19:51:22	lol red los 2026 05 31 game2 both teams destroy inhibitors	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x898c6c…
05-31 19:36:14	lol red los 2026 05 31 game1 kill over 29pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ac797…
05-31 19:22:19	lol vit gx 2026 05 31 game2 both teams slay dragon	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb64c9…
05-31 17:54:21	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf5101a…
05-31 15:02:35	Roland Garros Juniors, Boys: Michael Antonius vs Kirill Filaretov	Michael Antonius	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3b8208…
05-31 14:59:09	cs2 hotu run2 2026 05 31 game3 odd even total rounds	Odd	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x50b587…
05-31 14:33:16	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner	HOTU	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc373fa…
05-31 14:19:37	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd2ffa8…
05-31 07:42:40	Thespa Gunma vs. FC Gifu: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb98169…
05-31 07:30:25	FC Imabari vs. FC Ryūkyū: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x261c51…
05-30 23:07:26	Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 18.5	Over	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x406ac2…
05-30 19:05:28	lol fxw7 los 2026 05 30 game1 kill over 28pt5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0e8dd…
05-30 19:05:28	lol fxw7 los 2026 05 30 game1 kill over 26pt5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6717a2…
05-30 19:05:28	lol fxw7 los 2026 05 30 game1 kill over 24pt5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x40f321…
05-30 19:05:28	lol fxw7 los 2026 05 30 game1 kill over 37pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x11eba9…
05-30 18:44:18	lol kc navi 2026 05 30 game2 kill over 23pt5	Under	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2f055…
05-30 18:44:18	lol kc navi 2026 05 30 game2 both teams slay dragon	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9e9df2…
05-30 17:27:32	dota2 ts8 ty 2026 05 30 game1 kill over 62pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfa1836…
05-30 17:27:30	dota2 ts8 ty 2026 05 30 game1 ends in daytime	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c7ad5…
05-30 17:26:01	Total Kills Over/Under 54.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x28addc…
05-30 17:25:59	Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc681e9…
05-30 17:25:59	Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x378755…
05-30 15:04:17	Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c8484…
05-30 15:04:17	Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0270ca…
05-30 15:04:16	Total Kills Over/Under 63.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb5bdb…
05-30 15:04:16	Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa2b8b1…
05-30 15:04:16	Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9d2ce3…
05-30 15:04:16	Total Kills Over/Under 66.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e36da…
05-30 14:56:04	Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x477f73…
05-29 20:46:27	lol kcb gal 2026 05 29 game3 any player quadra kill	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbfb88…
05-29 20:46:27	lol kcb gal 2026 05 29 game3 first blood	Galions	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e5495…
05-29 14:51:56	Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs Bouzkova	Andreeva	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb2348b…
05-27 11:09:44	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x69c412…
05-26 08:55:38	Counter-Strike: SE7ENS Esport vs XI Esport (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	XI Esport	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8eda6f…
05-26 01:30:28	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x304f2e…
05-25 03:32:53	De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xaf73c9…
05-24 23:15:08	Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 11.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x453090…
05-24 23:04:02	AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6802a0…
05-24 22:28:02	Will Patrick Rodgers finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa56f6f…
05-24 22:05:22	Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x046eba…
05-24 20:02:19	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x940c3f…
05-24 18:20:02	Marcus Tavernier: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x129acf…
05-24 18:07:17	West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdbf0a6…
05-24 16:19:29	First Blood in Game 3?	Weibo Gaming	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5b773c…
05-24 01:56:42	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5	Under	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe4c4d6…
05-24 01:45:43	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5	Under	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5f86db…