Realized P&L
-$1.59K
Unrealized P&L
+$244
Hit rate
0.1%
Resolved
122
Trades
1,953
lifetime
Volume
$229.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$118
Open exposure
$1.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 10-27 06:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Politics
58% 9% -$700
Other
42% 18% -$890
Crypto
0% 82% -$3
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% 0% $0
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 177 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +175,424 $167 0¢ $263 +$96 10-26 17:31
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +79,625 $159 0¢ $119 -$40 10-12 21:29
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +75,676 $73 0¢ $114 +$40 10-26 00:45
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes — +55,279 $53 0¢ $83 +$30 10-27 05:01
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +38,255 $71 0¢ $57 -$14 10-26 00:46
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +33,116 $33 0¢ $50 +$17 10-23 01:58
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +32,564 $33 0¢ $49 +$16 10-23 01:58
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +31,129 $35 0¢ $47 +$12 10-23 01:58
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +30,218 $30 0¢ $45 +$15 10-23 01:58
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +30,005 $60 0¢ $45 -$15 10-23 01:58
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +26,005 $26 0¢ $39 +$13 10-23 01:58
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +25,493 $25 0¢ $38 +$13 10-23 01:58
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +24,706 $25 0¢ $37 +$12 10-23 01:58
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +19,813 $20 0¢ $30 +$10 10-23 01:58
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +18,573 $19 0¢ $28 +$9 10-23 01:58
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +15,355 $15 0¢ $23 +$8 10-23 01:58
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +14,958 $15 0¢ $22 +$7 10-23 01:58
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,359 -$1 0¢ $7 +$7 10-26 00:46
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +4,145 $3 0¢ $4 +$1 10-23 01:57
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? Yes +1,585 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-23 01:57
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,430 -$13 0¢ $2 +$15 10-27 09:27
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,608 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 10-25 22:02
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 $0 10-01 07:05
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +1,457 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-25 12:22
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? Yes +1,093 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-22 00:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +956 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-22 00:00
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes +145 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-14 13:10
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -129 -$3 0¢ $-0 +$3 10-26 12:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $7 98¢ $0 -$7 09-26 23:46
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? No +0 $6 100¢ $0 -$6 09-27 23:52