Realized P&L (30d)
-$3.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$672
Hit rate
0.8%
Resolved (30d)
151
Trades (30d)
2,366
3,302 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.44K
$233.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$71
Open exposure
$1.64K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-10 14:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Politics
58% 14% -$1,995
Other
42% 17% -$1,502
Crypto
0% 82% -$2
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% 0% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31? Yes +309,450 $309 0¢ $309 +$0 11-10 00:00
Will Daniel Hagari be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +155,618 $155 0¢ $233 +$78 11-09 00:00
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes — +133,556 $75 0¢ $200 +$125 11-10 11:08
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +118,652 $115 0¢ $178 +$63 11-09 12:09
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +83,657 $63 0¢ $125 +$63 11-09 00:00
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +72,331 $62 0¢ $108 +$47 11-09 15:55
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +37,448 $37 0¢ $56 +$19 11-09 00:00
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +37,141 $67 0¢ $56 -$11 11-09 00:00
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +36,948 $37 0¢ $55 +$18 11-09 00:00
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +34,466 $32 0¢ $52 +$20 11-10 00:00
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +27,676 $28 0¢ $42 +$14 11-09 00:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? Yes — +24,539 $25 0¢ $37 +$12 11-10 00:00
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +21,205 -$91 0¢ $32 +$123 11-10 06:32
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +19,438 $19 0¢ $29 +$10 11-09 00:00
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +23,509 $24 0¢ $24 $0 11-09 00:00
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15,573 -$13 0¢ $23 +$36 11-09 00:00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027? Yes +9,418 $9 0¢ $14 +$5 11-10 00:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +8,032 $8 0¢ $12 +$4 11-10 00:00
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,616 -$3 0¢ $11 +$15 11-09 00:00
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,540 -$8 0¢ $11 +$19 11-09 00:00
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,150 -$19 0¢ $11 +$30 11-08 00:00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027? Yes +3,400 -$2 0¢ $5 +$7 11-10 00:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +3,743 $4 0¢ $4 +$0 11-10 00:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +2,440 $2 0¢ $2 +$0 11-10 00:00
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +1,100 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 11-09 00:00
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in October? Yes +1,026 $1 0¢ $2 +$1 11-10 00:00
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 $0 10-01 07:05
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes +145 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-14 13:10
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $7 98¢ $0 -$7 09-26 23:46
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $17 100¢ $0 -$17 09-27 23:48