Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.31K
Unrealized P&L
+$720
Hit rate
0.1%
Resolved (7d)
44
Trades (7d)
380
3,073 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.67K
$232.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$1.80K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-07 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Politics
58% 21% -$1,888
Other
42% 16% -$1,156
Crypto
0% 82% -$2
Sports
0% — —
Tech
0% 0% $0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 384 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes — +211,543 $192 0¢ $317 +$125 11-04 14:07
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +153,595 $116 0¢ $230 +$114 11-03 00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +177,690 $178 0¢ $178 +$0 11-04 00:00
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +109,419 $106 0¢ $164 +$59 11-04 07:20
Will Daniel Hagari be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +96,248 $96 0¢ $144 +$48 11-06 07:47
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +63,805 $53 0¢ $96 +$43 11-03 16:44
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +63,049 $42 0¢ $95 +$53 11-03 16:19
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +35,746 $36 0¢ $54 +$18 11-05 00:00
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +35,234 $35 0¢ $53 +$18 11-05 00:00
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +31,129 $35 0¢ $47 +$12 10-23 01:58
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +30,218 $30 0¢ $45 +$15 10-23 01:58
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +30,005 $60 0¢ $45 -$15 10-23 01:58
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +26,005 $26 0¢ $39 +$13 10-23 01:58
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +25,493 $25 0¢ $38 +$13 10-23 01:58
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +24,706 $25 0¢ $37 +$12 10-23 01:58
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +17,775 $18 0¢ $27 +$9 11-05 00:00
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +25,815 $23 0¢ $26 +$3 10-31 00:01
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +14,958 $15 0¢ $22 +$7 10-23 01:58
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +21,964 $22 0¢ $22 $0 11-05 00:00
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +21,340 $21 0¢ $21 +$0 11-06 00:00
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +13,554 -$98 0¢ $20 +$118 11-05 12:29
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? Yes — +13,157 $13 0¢ $20 +$7 11-03 16:19
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9,673 -$19 0¢ $15 +$33 11-03 10:39
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +6,600 $7 0¢ $10 +$3 11-05 00:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland? Yes +6,487 $6 0¢ $10 +$3 11-05 00:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +5,451 $5 0¢ $8 +$3 11-03 16:19
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,150 $4 0¢ $6 +$2 10-29 00:00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? Yes +2,305 $0 0¢ $3 +$3 11-04 17:08
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +3,000 $3 0¢ $3 $0 11-05 00:00
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,608 $1 0¢ $2 +$2 10-25 22:02