Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Serbia by December 31, 2027?
open
Total volume
$174
Trades
45
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$8,331
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-09-29
last 11-03 16:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $123
vs crowd: 2% YES on $172)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $1 | $123 | $121 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $0 | $40 | $40 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $0 | $123 | $122 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $0 | $40 | $40 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | Yes | +2,110 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-03 16:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x2200…474f | Yes | +91 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 11-01 12:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +63 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 09-29 03:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 11-01 12:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | +39 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 10-01 06:40 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 11-01 12:57 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +21 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-29 07:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 09-29 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xef39…56f8 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-29 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x51ca…364a | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 09-29 03:39 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-01 06:40 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 09-29 03:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-30 22:15 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 09-30 22:15 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 09-29 03:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x04ec…45e8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-29 03:43 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-01 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe84f…af9c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-29 03:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-03 16:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 1,312 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa73991… |
| 11-03 16:19:09 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | Yes | SELL | 332 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa73991… |
| 11-03 16:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | Yes | SELL | 88 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa73991… |
| 11-03 16:19:09 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | SELL | 278 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa73991… |
| 11-03 16:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa73991… |
| 11-03 16:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x17dd…944c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa73991… |
| 11-03 16:19:09 | (anonymous) 0x50ea…010f | Yes | BUY | 2,110 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xa73991… |
| 11-03 16:19:09 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa73991… |
| 11-01 12:57:10 | (anonymous) 0x2200…474f | Yes | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x32a569… |
| 11-01 12:57:10 | (anonymous) 0x2200…474f | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x05405a… |
| 11-01 12:57:10 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x32a569… |
| 11-01 12:57:10 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x05405a… |
| 11-01 12:57:10 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x8af0cb… |
| 11-01 12:57:10 | (anonymous) 0x2200…474f | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8af0cb… |
| 10-30 11:23:18 | (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79c8e7… |
| 10-30 11:23:18 | (anonymous) 0x2200…474f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79c8e7… |
| 10-01 06:40:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x998e54… |
| 10-01 06:40:03 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x998e54… |
| 10-01 06:40:03 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x998e54… |
| 10-01 06:40:03 | (anonymous) 0xc29e…3068 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x998e54… |
| 09-30 22:15:29 | (anonymous) 0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa676af… |
| 09-30 22:15:29 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0xa676af… |
| 09-30 13:44:21 | (anonymous) 0x550f…7dad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19b900… |
| 09-30 13:44:21 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19b900… |
| 09-30 13:03:29 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38df64… |
| 09-30 13:03:29 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38df64… |
| 09-29 07:35:02 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x642033… |
| 09-29 07:35:02 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x642033… |
| 09-29 03:43:08 | (anonymous) 0x04ec…45e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x3d964d… |
| 09-29 03:43:08 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d964d… |
| 09-29 03:43:08 | (anonymous) 0xeace…38b9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3d964d… |
| 09-29 03:43:08 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3c5618… |
| 09-29 03:43:08 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x3c5618… |
| 09-29 03:39:29 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d473e… |
| 09-29 03:39:29 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d473e… |
| 09-29 03:39:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd5f95b… |
| 09-29 03:39:21 | (anonymous) 0x51ca…364a | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xd5f95b… |
| 09-29 03:32:33 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x84ff8d… |
| 09-29 03:32:33 | (anonymous) 0xef39…56f8 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0xd36d4e… |
| 09-29 03:32:33 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x728a71… |
| 09-29 03:32:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x84ff8d… |
| 09-29 03:32:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd36d4e… |
| 09-29 03:32:33 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x728a71… |
| 09-29 03:30:36 | (anonymous) 0xe84f…af9c | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xddfa5b… |
| 09-29 03:30:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xddfa5b… |