Realized P&L
+$140
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
95.7%
Resolved
271
Trades
1,008
lifetime
Volume
$16.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.10K
25 positions
First seen
2026-09-21
last 10-26 05:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 33 days
Categories
Other
50% 81% +$67
Sports
25% 87% +$83
Politics
19% 87% +$1
Tech
5% 97% -$10
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +173 $163 100¢ $172 +$9 10-03 19:49
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +162 $161 99¢ $160 -$1 09-27 00:09
Will Florida Gators win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +92 $86 99¢ $91 +$5 09-30 00:35
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +103 $85 84¢ $87 +$3 09-24 15:38
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +78 $74 99¢ $77 +$3 09-29 16:35
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +77 $68 96¢ $74 +$6 09-25 07:30
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +63 $60 100¢ $63 +$3 09-27 00:14
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +62 $59 87¢ $53 -$6 10-03 14:00
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027? No +48 $47 98¢ $47 -$1 10-02 09:41
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +45 $44 100¢ $44 +$0 10-03 23:49
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +49 $36 82¢ $40 +$4 09-23 15:15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 $0 09-25 13:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +231 $9 8¢ $19 +$10 10-03 23:59
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +18 $18 98¢ $18 $0 09-30 16:55
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +19 $19 92¢ $18 -$1 10-03 23:53
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026? No +18 $16 92¢ $17 +$1 09-24 10:09
Will there be no de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 $0 09-28 14:13
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +73 $25 20¢ $15 -$11 09-24 16:03
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +14 $13 99¢ $13 +$1 09-29 02:20
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 09-30 20:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +250 $50 5¢ $13 -$38 10-02 12:30
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 09-25 05:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +8 $1 97¢ $8 +$7 09-26 00:18
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 09-27 00:11
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? No +44 $36 4¢ $2 -$34 09-29 02:21