Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$983

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

454

Trades

1,007

lifetime

Volume

$9.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$77

9 positions

First seen

2026-07-07

last 10-31 22:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Other

73% 72% +$704

Politics

15% 66% +$249

Tech

5% 95% +$91

Crypto

3% 20% -$23

Sports

2% 17% -$7

Pop-Culture

2% 62% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$32	46¢	$23	-$9	09-17 17:30
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	+20	$19	97¢	$19	+$0	10-28 12:21
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	+20	$13	74¢	$15	+$2	10-23 16:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+10	$8	66¢	$7	-$1	10-27 13:43
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?	No	+5	$4	99¢	$5	+$1	09-17 16:49
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-27 13:25
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+5	$4	63¢	$3	-$1	10-23 12:16
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	+20	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-12 16:54
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	+7	$0	0¢	$0	$0	10-12 16:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	2	$160	400	400	+0	No	-$40	10-26 19:10
Will NightBirds Win Hitpoint Masters 2026 Summer	1	$151	260	0	+260	No	-$151	09-15 16:00
Will Sketch & Jshock Win Jynxzi's R6 2v2 Tournament?	3	$115	117	0	+117	No	+$2	08-12 00:02
Will Seoul have between 70-80mm of precipitation in July?	4	$110	70	70	-0	No	+$26	07-11 01:58
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	3	$107	55	55	+0	No	+$3	07-20 05:38
will jannik sinner make the top 10 in the 2026 atp end of year rankings 20260728185850894	2	$96	64	64	+0	open	—	07-29 18:45
Will Lawrence Kellogg earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?	7	$94	55	55	+0	No	+$15	07-16 01:14
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	4	$88	45	45	+0	No	+$2	07-21 07:07
Will Tony Mack get second place in the Clacton by-election?	3	$87	55	55	+0	No	+$21	07-08 21:19
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	3	$87	45	45	+0	No	+$3	07-20 23:54
Will Matthew Bensilum get second place in the Clacton by-election?	3	$79	49	49	+0	No	+$19	07-08 21:19
Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$73	55	55	+0	No	+$6	07-17 12:23
beezie fdv above 400m one day after launch 20260804180933890	4	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	08-04 20:30
Will Mistral be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	2	$64	33	33	+0	No	+$2	07-29 20:28
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	4	$60	48	15	+33	No	+$3	08-04 01:07
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	4	$60	48	15	+33	No	+$3	08-04 01:07
will revoluts valuation hit high 125b by august 31 20260731174621599	3	$60	60	60	+0	No	+$48	08-02 22:57
Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	2	$58	40	40	+0	Yes	+$15	10-18 03:28
Will Nvidia be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	2	$58	62	0	+62	open	—	09-19 01:44
Will Microsoft be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	1	$56	60	0	+60	open	—	09-19 00:34
Will Tencent have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?	2	$50	26	26	+0	No	+$2	07-29 20:30
Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	4	$49	54	0	+54	No	+$3	10-05 14:03
Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	3	$48	200	200	+0	Yes	+$8	10-26 19:10
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 18, 2026?	11	$47	38	38	+0	Yes	+$28	07-14 06:41
Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	3	$45	32	15	+17	No	+$2	08-04 01:08
Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?	2	$44	30	30	+0	Yes	+$14	10-05 22:18
will ishowspeed win streamer of the year at the 2026 streamer awards	2	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	10-20 01:08
will bytedances valuation hit high 575b by august 31 20260731174241518	4	$44	100	100	+0	Yes	+$34	08-02 02:01
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?	2	$43	30	15	+15	No	+$2	08-04 01:08
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$1	07-17 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:26:40	Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Christian Mbilli	Mbilli	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x637a53…
10-29 20:22:31	WTT Champions: Alexis Lebrun vs Patrick Franziska	Patrick Franziska	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x64f906…
10-29 19:15:33	Will PSOE win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0x7061a4…
10-29 19:05:28	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x1739b1…
10-28 22:02:19	will the next fable model 5pt2 debut in the top 10 of the text arena leaderboard by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb28823…
10-28 21:58:13	will gemini carbon debut in the top 10 of the text arena leaderboard by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa241de…
10-28 13:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3b92a9…
10-28 12:25:04	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x5efc91…
10-28 12:24:55	Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x3d9d40…
10-28 12:24:46	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x79fce7…
10-28 12:24:31	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x8a6581…
10-28 12:21:35	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x353db2…
10-28 02:58:20	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xb33bf7…
10-28 02:51:20	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x045142…
10-28 02:50:59	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0x8fd811…
10-28 02:37:08	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x2f1548…
10-28 02:35:47	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xa46da3…
10-28 02:35:44	Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x1b3a7c…
10-28 02:27:29	Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xf9f7ef…
10-28 02:27:29	Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0xd1dfd0…
10-27 14:34:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x08931a…
10-27 13:43:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x594618…
10-27 13:32:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8a06c0…
10-27 13:26:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2c14fd…
10-27 13:25:56	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x486083…
10-26 19:10:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	400	15¢	$60	0xac2f45…
10-26 19:10:24	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	178	14¢	$25	0x0f4db9…
10-26 18:50:53	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	No	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0x540020…
10-26 17:44:53	Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x1aed22…
10-26 17:36:45	will iliana iotova win the most votes in the second round of the bulgaria presidential election from abroad 20261026154956939	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x4a2f79…
10-26 16:23:26	elon musk of tweets october 29 october 31 2026 215 239	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xae5f97…
10-26 16:23:17	elon musk of tweets october 29 october 31 2026 240plus	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfe76fe…
10-26 15:12:29	Will PSOE win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	82	10¢	$8	0x619d78…
10-24 15:21:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5e45f2…
10-23 21:31:20	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on october 30	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x143485…
10-23 17:20:38	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x0640e3…
10-23 16:54:11	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xf94469…
10-23 15:54:03	will the republicans hold 48 or more senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections copy	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x35ad48…
10-23 15:54:03	will the republicans hold 48 or more senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections copy	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x00ce29…
10-23 15:54:02	will the republicans hold 48 or more senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections copy	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xecd6f2…
10-23 13:29:41	Will PSOE win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	56	3¢	$2	0x3f3d75…
10-23 12:16:36	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x65d19b…
10-23 12:15:26	Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x92afcd…
10-23 12:15:23	Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x840b0c…
10-22 21:05:02	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2430b1…
10-22 21:00:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x15c343…
10-22 20:54:42	will gpt astra 6pt1 debut with an hle diamond score of 70 or higher	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x8a31ba…
10-22 19:52:14	trump approval rating at least 37pt0 on october 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x95ad2e…
10-22 19:52:05	trump approval rating at least 36pt0 on october 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x32b6bd…
10-22 17:47:56	will the next gpt terra model 5pt7 debut at a score of at least 1440 by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8add0e…
10-22 17:34:20	Will PSOE win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc017cb…
10-22 17:33:36	Will PSOE win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xa794b6…
10-22 17:33:35	Will PSOE win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xd23e6f…
10-22 11:18:51	Will PSOE win the most seats in Lugo in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb76e66…
10-22 10:46:59	Will PSOE win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfe5976…
10-22 10:46:59	Will PSOE win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	36	1¢	$0	0xf9353d…
10-22 10:46:59	Will PSOE win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xd38117…
10-22 10:46:59	Will PSOE win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6d9ad5…
10-22 10:46:59	Will PSOE win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x233d67…
10-22 10:46:59	Will PSOE win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1e776a…
10-22 09:35:44	Will PSOE win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x77ce7c…
10-22 06:36:23	Will PSOE win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3bd057…
10-22 06:34:54	Will PSOE win the most seats in Ávila in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x4d9175…
10-21 22:45:53	will ap call us senate control by december 2 copy	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbe3e0a…
10-21 22:45:38	will ap call us senate control by january 4 copy	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd67ec6…
10-21 20:52:17	Will "AIPAC" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa30c55…
10-21 20:39:15	Will "Genocide" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9cfa27…
10-21 20:33:03	Will "Genocide" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x79b800…
10-21 20:29:26	Will "Genocide" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcb9ecb…
10-21 20:28:39	Will "Genocide" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x022d17…
10-21 20:13:15	glider fdv above 150m one day after launch	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x4d6d4a…
10-21 20:00:11	will muslim brotherhood be said 3 times during the michigan us senate debate october 21	No	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x7f43d3…
10-21 20:00:11	will muslim brotherhood be said 3 times during the michigan us senate debate october 21	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x0759de…
10-21 19:40:29	will genocide be said during the michigan us senate debate october 21	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x1723e0…
10-21 00:23:05	will airbnb abnb q3 gross booking value be above 20261008120132000 25pt8b	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x73c715…
10-21 00:22:48	will intuit q1 online ecosystem revenue be above 2pt4b	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5d7b3d…
10-21 00:22:41	will intuit q1 online ecosystem revenue be above 2pt35b	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x78d969…
10-21 00:22:23	will marvell q3 data center revenue be above 2pt5b	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa99119…
10-20 23:33:06	will sato play for g2 esports in 2027	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xdacd77…
10-20 01:08:24	will ishowspeed win streamer of the year at the 2026 streamer awards	Yes	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0xac821e…
10-20 00:39:51	will ishowspeed win streamer of the year at the 2026 streamer awards	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0xb82682…
10-19 14:31:12	will us gas price be between 4pt29 and 4pt30 on october 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x147276…
10-18 03:28:33	Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x111ffc…
10-17 21:21:53	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on october 23	Yes	BUY	60	65¢	$39	0x922dd7…
10-17 21:21:53	will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on october 23	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x00c8fc…
10-17 21:17:05	will hotschedules be 2 paid app in the us apple app store on october 23 10172026	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x5e51de…
10-17 19:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x17006d…
10-17 19:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x88bac8…
10-17 07:30:14	will us gas price be 4pt35 or more on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc0226a…
10-17 07:30:09	will us gas price be between 4pt34 and 4pt35 on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xfbcebd…
10-17 07:30:06	will us gas price be between 4pt33 and 4pt34 on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x92c2e5…
10-17 07:30:03	will us gas price be between 4pt32 and 4pt33 on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0911dd…
10-17 07:29:59	will us gas price be between 4pt31 and 4pt32 on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9ee446…
10-17 07:29:00	will us gas price be between 4pt34 and 4pt35 on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xd8aa2e…
10-16 19:22:56	next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x01d0f9…
10-16 19:21:29	next white house press secretary announced by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x0a451b…
10-16 14:27:09	will us gas price be between 4pt32 and 4pt33 on october 17 2026	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x6fd20e…
10-16 14:24:52	will us gas price be between 4pt32 and 4pt33 on october 17 2026	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xe87e01…
10-15 23:56:28	will openrouter process between 725t and 775t tokens oct 26 to nov 22 2026	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x30c5a7…
10-15 23:53:12	will openrouter process between 725t and 775t tokens oct 26 to nov 22 2026	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x4a5323…