Realized P&L
+$57
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
53.4%
Resolved
3,866
Trades
16,470
lifetime
Volume
$2.37K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$4
18 positions
First seen
2026-08-24
last 10-28 00:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Other
65% 19% +$10
Politics
21% 28% +$37
Crypto
10% 6% +$6
Tech
3% 32% +$5
Pop-Culture
1% 12% $0
Sports
0% 11% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 715 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +26 -$2 3¢ $1 +$3 10-17 07:40
Plague pandemic in 2026? Yes +30 -$3 2¢ $1 +$4 10-21 20:16
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +30 -$2 2¢ $1 +$3 10-09 22:35
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +80 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 09-29 21:24
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +200 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-02 19:38
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +200 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-29 11:50
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? Yes +80 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-21 13:53
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +80 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-02 07:18
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +80 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-01 07:09
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +35 $0 1¢ $0 +$1 10-10 12:14
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +15 $0 1¢ $0 +$1 09-21 15:16
will natacha polony win the 2027 french presidential election Yes +89 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-19 16:40
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? Yes +80 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 10-19 19:41
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +80 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 09-25 17:05
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +22 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 10-02 21:24
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +43 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-16 19:12
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher? Yes +12 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-16 07:33
Will Ivica Dačić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +0 -$4 0¢ $0 +$4 10-11 21:46