Distorted-Twig — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.4%

Resolved

Trades

217

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 05-23 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

68% 0% $-2

Crypto

31% 24% $-23

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	8	$399	346	346	+0	open	—	02-24 06:10
will russia join the board of peace	2	$396	283	283	+0	open	—	02-02 21:54
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	5	$101	172	157	+16	open	—	02-24 01:09
will italy join the board of peace	2	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	02-02 21:55
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	2	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	01-26 18:59
will there be 12 14 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	2	$26	67	67	+0	open	—	01-26 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	2	$20	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 20:00
BNB Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 18:26
BNB Up or Down - May 6, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	$-1	05-06 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$15	40	0	+40	Down	+$5	05-07 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$14	29	10	+19	open	—	05-14 16:30
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	Up	$-3	05-13 17:43
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$14	26	0	+26	Up	$-1	05-06 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	5	$14	33	6	+27	open	—	05-17 11:29
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	6	$12	22	21	+1	open	—	05-18 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$11	22	0	+22	Down	+$0	05-07 04:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	$-1	05-04 20:14
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$10	179	0	+179	open	—	02-28 20:07
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	4	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-06 12:51
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-04 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-06 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-21 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	1	$9	18	0	+18	Down	$-9	05-08 06:44
btc updown 15m 1774464300	1	$9	12	0	+12	open	—	03-25 18:55
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$9	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 17:20
btc updown 15m 1774643400	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	03-27 20:45
sol updown 15m 1774385100	2	$8	24	0	+24	open	—	03-24 20:58
hype updown 15m 1779095700	3	$8	15	4	+11	open	—	05-18 09:26
xrp updown 15m 1774379700	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	03-24 19:25
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	05-18 03:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 08:46:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xf62dff…
05-23 08:46:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa4ea1b…
05-22 14:22:24	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x330ea1…
05-22 14:22:19	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xcc0867…
05-22 09:48:20	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x7f7a03…
05-22 09:48:14	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xebcae2…
05-21 11:11:09	BNB Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa3bb28…
05-21 10:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x5df510…
05-21 05:11:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4609ba…
05-21 04:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xf71eee…
05-21 03:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x399467…
05-21 03:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x70bcb2…
05-20 19:44:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6411d3…
05-20 19:44:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3e91f1…
05-20 16:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x699697…
05-20 16:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x52d8b4…
05-20 15:21:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xab2f15…
05-20 15:21:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x6ded15…
05-20 15:21:35	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xddc5db…
05-20 11:53:06	BNB Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xbce865…
05-20 07:51:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd716bf…
05-18 18:20:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0x76f494…
05-18 18:20:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xde88f0…
05-18 18:05:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x3eaf30…
05-18 18:05:21	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x8ad682…
05-18 18:04:11	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0xd718a7…
05-18 18:04:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xb0fd25…
05-18 17:55:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x5ad258…
05-18 17:55:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x98ea2a…
05-18 09:26:49	hype updown 15m 1779095700	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x7f94f0…
05-18 09:26:44	hype updown 15m 1779095700	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3d8e0f…
05-18 09:26:44	hype updown 15m 1779095700	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x02b011…
05-18 05:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	165	1¢	$2	0xd268d3…
05-18 03:58:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa2ef80…
05-18 03:58:12	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x75f7ed…
05-18 02:53:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x432589…
05-18 02:53:15	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x4e6780…
05-18 00:37:04	BNB Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xa0b945…
05-18 00:36:57	BNB Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x9c74dc…
05-18 00:34:21	BNB Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xeedb1a…
05-18 00:34:16	BNB Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0x2a9c8c…
05-18 00:33:29	BNB Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x0a6a5b…
05-18 00:33:24	BNB Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x0ac14c…
05-17 17:32:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x0eea2b…
05-17 17:32:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x860ab1…
05-17 14:01:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x5c56ae…
05-17 14:01:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x4ffe93…
05-17 13:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x969ad1…
05-17 13:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x048ce0…
05-17 11:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xdbf865…
05-17 11:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xdf2972…
05-17 11:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0xb2428c…
05-17 11:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xeb8050…
05-17 11:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x19aa3e…
05-14 20:57:10	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x517bf8…
05-14 20:57:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x521abc…
05-14 19:59:39	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x9856f8…
05-14 19:59:33	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x180d60…
05-14 18:21:33	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x6f6573…
05-14 16:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x8255e3…
05-14 16:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xd07c03…
05-14 16:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x806562…
05-13 22:39:43	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xea015f…
05-13 22:39:38	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xedda33…
05-13 20:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	50¢	$6	0x964cb7…
05-13 20:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x1e37da…
05-13 19:58:28	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x408b7e…
05-13 19:58:22	BNB Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6f8769…
05-13 19:54:49	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xc16b1d…
05-13 19:54:44	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x41cd96…
05-13 18:58:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x8577ac…
05-13 18:58:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf1ba1f…
05-13 17:43:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$5	0x5994b8…
05-13 17:43:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xd70e75…
05-13 13:58:20	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa4e17c…
05-13 13:58:15	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xa8c35b…
05-13 06:08:35	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xa174f9…
05-13 06:08:28	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x11c56f…
05-13 04:55:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x796080…
05-13 04:54:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x34dea9…
05-13 04:30:02	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x34fb17…
05-12 20:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x254618…
05-12 20:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	18¢	$4	0xd8755c…
05-12 20:28:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	3¢	$0	0x6dc3f4…
05-12 20:28:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x33afd7…
05-12 20:15:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x177091…
05-12 17:39:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xbf1e36…
05-12 17:39:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x1169ab…
05-08 15:57:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x93bf17…
05-08 15:56:48	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0x4c7580…
05-08 07:30:04	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x180ebf…
05-08 07:00:05	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x713f6b…
05-08 06:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0xd9aff4…
05-08 06:30:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xb042c5…
05-08 06:30:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x167f98…
05-08 05:29:59	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x3fc9cd…
05-08 04:23:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x3b2c92…
05-08 04:22:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6fe33b…
05-07 22:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xb4bbd2…
05-07 22:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x847aed…