Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.17K

Unrealized P&L

+$470

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

197

Trades

1,462

lifetime

Volume

$192.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$132

Open exposure

$6.55K

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-28

last 10-26 06:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Politics

61% 79% -$1,751

Other

39% 89% -$3,238

Sports

0% 0% -$169

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	+4,517	$3,975	94¢	$4.2K	+$248	10-20 15:26
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	+1,365	$1,356	100¢	$1.4K	+$3	10-26 06:39
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	+908	$366	96¢	$867	+$501	09-29 10:05
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	No	+200	$76	28¢	$56	-$20	08-19 14:30
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	+908	$302	4¢	$41	-$261	09-29 09:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	9	$12.2K	12,221	9,125	+3,096	No	-$1,324	09-16 17:49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	37	$10.4K	9,642	9,642	+0	Yes	-$2,152	09-14 13:16
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	26	$5.3K	4,555	4,755	-200	No	+$197	07-11 11:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	17	$5.3K	2,672	2,672	+0	Yes	+$13	07-24 14:33
iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	35	$4.5K	2,501	2,058	+442	No	+$103	07-11 22:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	4	$4.0K	4,517	0	+4,517	open	—	10-20 15:26
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	4	$3.7K	1,888	1,883	+5	No	+$34	07-31 18:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	31	$3.4K	3,464	0	+3,464	No	+$33	10-08 02:15
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	6	$3.2K	3,246	0	+3,246	No	+$9	10-16 04:53
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	16	$3.1K	3,830	2,148	+1,682	No	-$959	07-26 01:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	2	$3.1K	3,109	0	+3,109	Yes	+$10	07-22 16:12
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	12	$3.0K	2,203	2,203	+0	open	—	09-29 09:48
iran successfully targets shipping on july 9 20260625225210250	12	$3.0K	1,639	1,639	-0	No	-$36	07-12 00:09
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?	13	$2.9K	2,984	0	+2,984	Yes	+$44	09-23 10:40
iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	16	$2.9K	2,660	932	+1,727	No	+$276	07-29 23:45
iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	11	$2.8K	1,451	1,451	+0	No	+$72	07-13 12:28
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	5	$2.6K	2,715	0	+2,715	No	+$70	08-01 01:01
iran successfully targets shipping on july 11	16	$2.6K	1,628	1,300	+328	No	+$163	07-14 22:33
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	2	$2.6K	1,377	1,377	+0	No	+$110	08-29 10:44
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	12	$2.6K	2,643	0	+2,643	Yes	+$56	10-10 22:31
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	7	$2.4K	2,515	1,000	+1,515	Yes	+$208	08-12 12:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$2.2K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	-$49	07-27 23:44
iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	11	$2.2K	2,185	43	+2,142	No	+$35	07-30 12:36
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	6	$2.2K	1,190	1,000	+190	No	+$2	08-21 02:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$2.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	07-25 14:37
iran military action against a gulf state on july 24 20260708212322949	41	$2.1K	3,004	2,602	+402	No	-$886	07-26 08:01
iran successfully targets shipping on july 10	7	$2.0K	994	994	+0	No	+$17	07-11 20:10
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 13, 2026?	27	$1.9K	2,651	2,651	+0	Yes	-$1,890	08-15 02:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	8	$1.9K	2,371	712	+1,659	No	+$433	09-30 19:55
iran successfully targets shipping on july 16	16	$1.9K	1,810	334	+1,476	No	+$81	07-19 16:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 06:39:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	147	99¢	$146	0xceca15…
10-26 06:33:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	1,183	99¢	$1,175	0xad84c7…
10-25 22:26:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1,247	99¢	$1,240	0x2dc9b1…
10-25 10:25:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xaf2361…
10-25 09:00:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xba3c24…
10-23 22:42:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0xfa7017…
10-23 17:49:47	US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x094751…
10-20 15:26:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	162	88¢	$142	0x779863…
10-19 20:45:21	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	181	69¢	$125	0xcc1158…
10-19 19:05:08	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0xc66a56…
10-19 18:59:59	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x66cd69…
10-19 17:39:30	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x8b905e…
10-19 12:40:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,755	88¢	$1,545	0x81ed81…
10-18 03:32:41	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	94	68¢	$64	0x9dfefd…
10-18 02:55:35	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	43¢	$24	0x61ac4a…
10-18 02:54:08	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x4f8831…
10-18 02:40:05	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	47¢	$26	0x594fb1…
10-18 02:40:00	Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	33¢	$54	0x0e9619…
10-16 04:53:12	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0xcee95a…
10-16 04:49:46	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	BUY	420	99¢	$418	0x428596…
10-16 04:37:13	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xc60cc7…
10-16 04:30:45	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc2272…
10-16 04:30:22	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	No	BUY	2,339	100¢	$2,335	0x7dec0d…
10-14 16:05:36	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 31	Yes	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0xe9ed6a…
10-14 14:41:54	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 31	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x6df9ea…
10-14 14:07:24	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 31	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x8346d7…
10-14 09:29:01	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 31	Yes	BUY	246	64¢	$157	0xe07fd7…
10-14 09:08:58	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 31	Yes	BUY	45	61¢	$27	0xdb8427…
10-14 09:08:53	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by october 31	Yes	BUY	130	60¢	$78	0x3d2fb6…
10-14 09:08:26	military action against king khalid international airport ruh by november 30	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x751154…
10-12 23:20:26	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	Yes	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x8bf7d6…
10-11 14:07:18	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	553	77¢	$426	0xb7e145…
10-11 14:07:09	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	SELL	145	91¢	$132	0xddc65d…
10-11 09:07:58	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7?	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x9326b6…
10-11 09:07:31	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7?	Yes	BUY	750	100¢	$748	0x58e4cc…
10-11 09:05:52	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 7?	Yes	BUY	450	100¢	$448	0xad0e97…
10-11 01:30:30	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x689db9…
10-11 00:15:27	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	Yes	BUY	134	84¢	$112	0x3d5709…
10-11 00:12:12	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	70	66¢	$46	0x4430f1…
10-10 23:20:30	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	197	72¢	$142	0x6879e1…
10-10 23:03:19	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 10?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5e8f16…
10-10 23:02:00	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x8512ca…
10-10 22:35:52	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xa9512e…
10-10 22:34:09	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x8480cb…
10-10 22:31:43	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3ed54b…
10-10 22:14:19	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x43a6b2…
10-10 22:14:12	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x6d9ba9…
10-10 18:07:43	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 8?	Yes	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xb08d45…
10-10 18:01:15	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 10?	Yes	BUY	138	97¢	$134	0x3bc2f4…
10-10 17:59:28	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 10?	Yes	BUY	151	95¢	$144	0xed90eb…
10-10 17:02:34	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	67	76¢	$51	0x4aa77b…
10-10 07:40:21	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3cfdd9…
10-10 03:34:24	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23?	No	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0xbf7dd4…
10-10 03:32:12	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x814f1e…
10-10 03:32:11	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	768	100¢	$768	0x649fd4…
10-09 17:06:09	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x96a039…
10-09 12:33:42	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	96	80¢	$76	0xa914b5…
10-09 12:33:31	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x2b938f…
10-09 12:26:25	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x1bdd25…
10-09 12:26:03	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x673b5e…
10-09 02:29:21	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x3c6e4f…
10-09 02:22:23	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec2ae7…
10-08 19:46:45	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe161ce…
10-08 19:07:30	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x67885c…
10-08 19:07:29	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	Yes	BUY	400	95¢	$378	0x64f68a…
10-08 19:07:15	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	1,354	100¢	$1,349	0xbc3361…
10-08 19:07:06	Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x8b0e43…
10-08 19:04:12	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	86	71¢	$61	0x12616b…
10-08 09:18:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?	No	BUY	672	99¢	$665	0x0db6d7…
10-08 02:15:35	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	208	99¢	$205	0x2aae47…
10-07 20:35:06	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x86945c…
10-07 17:36:22	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcfa203…
10-07 17:36:22	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x9cbf14…
10-07 17:36:22	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x94b62d…
10-07 17:36:22	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6779ce…
10-07 16:34:08	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa289a2…
10-07 16:34:08	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x85727e…
10-07 16:34:08	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x83183b…
10-07 16:34:08	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x47162a…
10-07 11:31:08	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x3e4741…
10-07 11:31:08	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x3de20d…
10-07 11:31:08	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x308687…
10-07 10:25:21	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc0657d…
10-07 10:25:21	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa5da63…
10-07 10:25:21	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	362	99¢	$359	0x547361…
10-07 10:25:21	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x21d6e9…
10-07 04:36:09	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xee9173…
10-07 04:36:09	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0xd97aa5…
10-07 04:36:09	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc31be4…
10-07 04:36:09	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4b7bfb…
10-07 00:13:18	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	Yes	BUY	88	97¢	$85	0x76be0f…
10-06 23:58:32	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	Yes	BUY	398	98¢	$389	0x37f345…
10-06 23:55:10	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by October 31?	Yes	BUY	470	98¢	$459	0x638eee…
10-06 15:41:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x86d316…
10-06 12:18:01	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaf8a57…
10-06 12:18:01	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x29e56f…
10-06 12:18:00	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	283	100¢	$282	0xd0369d…
10-06 10:02:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?	Yes	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0xbaba36…
10-06 05:02:46	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11abdd…
10-06 04:22:18	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	915	100¢	$913	0xfbc128…