Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.23K

Unrealized P&L

-$56

Hit rate

78.3%

Resolved (90d)

110

Trades (90d)

539

1,503 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$114.0K

$221.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

$459

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-28

last 11-13 20:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Politics

66% 80% -$867

Other

34% 88% -$2,639

Sports

0% 0% -$169

Crypto

0% 100% +$2

Tech

0% 50% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+334	$333	99¢	$329	-$4	10-29 14:37
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	+125	$125	99¢	$124	-$1	10-29 14:37
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?	Yes	+163	$57	4¢	$6	-$51	10-18 02:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	9	$12.2K	12,221	9,125	+3,096	No	-$1,324	09-16 17:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	25	$11.9K	12,728	6,094	+6,634	Yes	+$416	11-03 02:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	37	$10.4K	9,642	9,642	+0	Yes	-$2,152	09-14 13:16
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	26	$5.3K	4,555	4,755	-200	No	+$197	07-11 11:55
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	3	$5.3K	5,350	0	+5,350	No	+$23	11-07 01:57
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	17	$5.3K	2,672	2,672	+0	Yes	+$13	07-24 14:33
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	2	$5.2K	5,214	0	+5,214	Yes	+$29	11-07 16:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$4.6K	5,182	0	+5,182	No	+$572	10-28 16:46
iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	35	$4.5K	2,501	2,058	+442	No	+$103	07-11 22:34
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	12	$4.2K	4,196	0	+4,196	Yes	+$32	11-09 16:01
will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952739	4	$3.7K	1,888	1,883	+5	No	+$34	07-31 18:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	31	$3.4K	3,464	0	+3,464	No	+$33	10-08 02:15
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15?	6	$3.2K	3,246	0	+3,246	No	+$9	10-16 04:53
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	16	$3.1K	3,830	2,148	+1,682	No	-$959	07-26 01:28
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	2	$3.1K	3,109	0	+3,109	Yes	+$10	07-22 16:12
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	12	$3.0K	2,203	2,203	+0	open	—	09-29 09:48
iran successfully targets shipping on july 9 20260625225210250	12	$3.0K	1,639	1,639	-0	No	-$36	07-12 00:09
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 22?	13	$2.9K	2,984	0	+2,984	Yes	+$44	09-23 10:40
iran military action against a gulf state on july 29 20260708212322954	16	$2.9K	2,660	932	+1,727	No	+$276	07-29 23:45
iran military action against a gulf state on july 11 20260708212322936	11	$2.8K	1,451	1,451	+0	No	+$72	07-13 12:28
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	5	$2.6K	2,715	0	+2,715	No	+$70	08-01 01:01
iran successfully targets shipping on july 11	16	$2.6K	1,628	1,300	+328	No	+$163	07-14 22:33
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?	2	$2.6K	1,377	1,377	+0	No	+$110	08-29 10:44
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	12	$2.6K	2,643	0	+2,643	Yes	+$56	10-10 22:31
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	4	$2.5K	2,329	200	+2,129	No	+$37	10-29 09:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	12	$2.4K	2,434	0	+2,434	Yes	+$45	10-31 06:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	7	$2.4K	2,515	1,000	+1,515	Yes	+$208	08-12 12:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$2.2K	1,400	1,400	+0	Yes	-$49	07-27 23:44
iran military action against a gulf state on july 27 20260708212322952	11	$2.2K	2,185	43	+2,142	No	+$35	07-30 12:36
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	6	$2.2K	1,190	1,000	+190	No	+$2	08-21 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 20:30:46	Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x1948aa…
11-12 03:12:13	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	SELL	200	69¢	$138	0x08d9a4…
11-12 00:42:25	Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 11, 2026?	No	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xe9001d…
11-11 11:31:21	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	788	82¢	$646	0xcc83b2…
11-10 09:06:55	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xe91c3c…
11-10 08:55:24	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	788	80¢	$630	0xe125d9…
11-09 16:01:18	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	100¢	$379	0x4d5fd1…
11-09 16:00:57	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,013	100¢	$2,006	0x5163b3…
11-09 13:06:42	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x876232…
11-09 11:50:22	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x0eb991…
11-09 11:36:25	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x2ee22d…
11-07 16:56:24	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	603	99¢	$595	0x245c82…
11-07 16:53:24	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,719	100¢	$4,695	0x76e5d8…
11-07 12:46:57	Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	No	BUY	607	52¢	$314	0x4b03ad…
11-07 08:18:15	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	495	99¢	$490	0x0ecef8…
11-07 05:17:46	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x39ea1e…
11-07 03:42:03	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x0b1690…
11-07 03:28:15	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	98¢	$196	0xcd2bdc…
11-07 01:57:55	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3,179	100¢	$3,170	0x0598e2…
11-07 01:55:12	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,397	100¢	$1,392	0xcd2c33…
11-07 01:53:27	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	773	99¢	$766	0x97fdef…
11-07 01:51:54	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1,335	98¢	$1,307	0xe57f88…
11-04 17:46:19	Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?	No	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x60a1c6…
11-03 02:36:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	145	35¢	$51	0xd6b042…
11-03 02:35:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,013	35¢	$355	0x81015a…
11-03 02:32:09	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	540	75¢	$405	0xbf256b…
11-03 02:17:18	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	651	50¢	$327	0x45401a…
11-03 02:14:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	SELL	641	51¢	$327	0xabd5f2…
11-03 02:12:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,550	58¢	$1,471	0xa22ea7…
11-03 02:08:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	641	53¢	$341	0x8612c5…
11-03 02:01:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,274	50¢	$1,141	0x8a12d6…
11-03 01:46:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	5,233	39¢	$2,055	0x95e2ed…
11-02 19:59:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	625	98¢	$612	0x34563b…
11-02 03:43:45	US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x9ed100…
11-02 03:41:18	US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	491	99¢	$485	0xf63ad8…
11-02 01:10:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	BUY	604	100¢	$604	0xe36964…
11-01 20:22:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,150	99¢	$2,129	0xb303bd…
11-01 02:27:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,377	99¢	$2,356	0x138cc7…
11-01 01:58:46	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x09e337…
10-31 23:12:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	80	98¢	$79	0x2ce8b0…
10-31 22:07:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	288	0¢	$1	0x764e33…
10-31 17:33:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xed66cf…
10-31 16:28:30	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x9e355d…
10-31 12:43:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8bfd03…
10-31 11:57:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8d457c…
10-31 06:36:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x18993e…
10-30 23:22:51	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbd0423…
10-30 23:22:48	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x2dc959…
10-30 23:22:45	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6619d0…
10-30 23:22:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd2aac3…
10-30 23:22:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3d5c51…
10-30 23:22:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd12616…
10-30 10:55:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	201	98¢	$197	0x591066…
10-30 10:02:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	Yes	BUY	327	100¢	$326	0x68dd74…
10-30 08:37:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	Yes	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x9f20ef…
10-30 06:48:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x1ac8ff…
10-30 06:33:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xed9071…
10-30 06:31:52	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	754	92¢	$693	0x29c423…
10-30 06:25:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	108	92¢	$100	0xfc3aad…
10-30 00:38:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	88	96¢	$84	0x8c965b…
10-30 00:38:16	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0x993723…
10-30 00:29:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x87bcab…
10-30 00:28:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x41d689…
10-30 00:28:04	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	44	63¢	$28	0xdd7385…
10-30 00:28:03	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xd8ea65…
10-30 00:28:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	28	63¢	$18	0xc1065b…
10-30 00:28:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xa85ad7…
10-30 00:28:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x2cfd5e…
10-30 00:27:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x317f4f…
10-30 00:27:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdb896f…
10-30 00:27:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	716	63¢	$452	0xd96342…
10-30 00:27:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd2fe2c…
10-30 00:27:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x807ae7…
10-30 00:27:57	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x66417a…
10-29 21:42:36	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe3a218…
10-29 20:06:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?	Yes	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0xfd4f27…
10-29 17:31:25	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x4cecb7…
10-29 17:31:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	600	99¢	$595	0xfee013…
10-29 16:37:40	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	108	97¢	$105	0xb75ba7…
10-29 14:37:55	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	334	100¢	$333	0xa57f1c…
10-29 14:37:22	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x81f910…
10-29 11:31:17	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x763fba…
10-29 10:10:04	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	SELL	160	100¢	$159	0xc12a10…
10-29 09:55:14	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	1,813	99¢	$1,786	0x20a578…
10-29 09:51:31	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	216	98¢	$212	0x2a4a9c…
10-29 07:31:01	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?	Yes	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0x5bc527…
10-29 02:50:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x67d007…
10-29 01:01:26	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	315	98¢	$310	0xd49e96…
10-29 00:35:07	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?	No	BUY	255	1¢	$2	0x88cc5f…
10-29 00:16:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?	Yes	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x61fa7a…
10-29 00:15:35	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	288	3¢	$8	0x7b8143…
10-29 00:14:58	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	BUY	80	96¢	$76	0x9c8628…
10-29 00:14:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xe850d2…
10-29 00:13:41	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?	Yes	BUY	150	95¢	$143	0x08e43e…
10-28 22:53:26	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0xb8acc3…
10-28 21:44:43	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xc267cc…
10-28 21:39:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	394	99¢	$391	0xfcceae…
10-28 21:12:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x78803c…
10-28 21:03:01	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	99¢	$597	0x6c8c88…
10-28 20:20:14	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	540	72¢	$389	0xf6c0da…