Realized P&L
-$249
Unrealized P&L
+$361
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
14
Trades
514
lifetime
Volume
$77.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$151
Open exposure
$5.81K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-04 12:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
64% 67% $-350
Other
36% 18% +$101
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2,229 $-2,325 90¢ $-1995 +$330 07-03 20:37
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -1,509 $-1,328 88¢ $-1335 $-8 06-28 22:39
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -1,272 $-1,081 88¢ $-1113 $-32 06-02 17:53
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +501 $456 97¢ $484 +$28 06-26 21:36
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $270 93¢ $280 +$10 06-24 11:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +205 $200 100¢ $204 +$4 06-24 10:55
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +189 $162 92¢ $174 +$12 06-26 07:58
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +108 $100 94¢ $102 +$2 06-25 16:54
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +91 $71 86¢ $78 +$7 06-03 17:00
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +100 $40 48¢ $48 +$8 06-30 23:21