Realized P&L
+$1.23K
Unrealized P&L
+$924
Hit rate
93.1%
Resolved
131
Trades
1,306
lifetime
Volume
$160.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$123
Open exposure
$28.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-31 10:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
57% 82% +$289
Other
41% 76% +$939
Crypto
1% 0% $0
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +5,154 $4,651 93¢ $4.8K +$150 10-30 13:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -4,500 -$4,894 98¢ $-4421 +$473 10-06 19:59
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -2,658 -$2,259 97¢ $-2582 -$323 06-02 17:53
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +2,661 $2,191 93¢ $2.5K +$284 07-30 09:14
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1,667 $1,281 94¢ $1.6K +$278 08-29 19:40
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1,541 $1,440 96¢ $1.5K +$31 10-26 08:49
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -1,509 -$1,328 97¢ $-1470 -$143 06-28 22:39
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +1,297 $1,196 94¢ $1.2K +$23 10-31 10:46
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1,241 $1,138 96¢ $1.2K +$47 10-27 23:09
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? No +1,224 $1,150 92¢ $1.1K -$24 10-31 10:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,162 $1,080 92¢ $1.1K -$16 10-27 15:17
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +800 $762 100¢ $799 +$36 10-03 12:17
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? No +798 $736 94¢ $754 +$18 10-31 10:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +731 $668 87¢ $632 -$36 10-28 14:26
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +653 $591 90¢ $589 -$2 10-28 14:26
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? No +472 $450 95¢ $448 -$1 10-28 12:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +400 $358 88¢ $350 -$8 09-30 09:24
NATO article 5 before 2027? No +310 $291 96¢ $297 +$5 10-27 10:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +300 $252 85¢ $256 +$4 06-26 22:08
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +269 $247 94¢ $251 +$4 10-28 12:09
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +216 $199 92¢ $200 +$1 10-28 14:26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +200 $109 90¢ $180 +$70 07-25 15:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $168 84¢ $167 -$1 10-02 21:05
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +99 $95 98¢ $97 +$3 10-27 18:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +54 $50 94¢ $51 +$1 10-27 23:02
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by december 31 No +50 $15 64¢ $32 +$17 08-01 19:15
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? No +26 $25 96¢ $25 +$0 10-24 14:52
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +26 $12 95¢ $25 +$13 10-31 10:46
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +100 $23 12¢ $12 -$11 10-10 22:16
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? No +7 -$23 94¢ $6 +$29 10-21 08:25