Realized P&L
-$249
Unrealized P&L
+$355
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
14
Trades
646
lifetime
Volume
$97.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$151
Open exposure
$10.4K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-24 17:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
61% 67% $-350
Other
39% 18% +$101
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -2,275 $-2,347 92¢ $-2082 +$266 07-18 17:36
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +2,161 $1,791 80¢ $1.7K $-73 07-23 20:44
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -1,509 $-1,328 94¢ $-1411 $-83 06-28 22:39
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -1,272 $-1,081 88¢ $-1113 $-32 06-02 17:53
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +1,189 $1,042 91¢ $1.1K +$40 07-08 13:16
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? No +1,001 $936 99¢ $988 +$52 07-04 23:31
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $750 85¢ $850 +$100 07-06 23:18
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +402 $307 92¢ $372 +$65 07-16 14:19
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No -400 $-360 88¢ $-354 +$6 07-05 17:57
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +300 $225 83¢ $249 +$24 07-04 21:50
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +300 $130 34¢ $100 $-30 07-05 09:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +75 $58 89¢ $67 +$8 07-07 06:25
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +100 $54 56¢ $56 +$2 07-12 04:38
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +0 $-10 71¢ $0 +$10 07-09 18:26