Realized P&L
+$429
Unrealized P&L
-$294
Hit rate
26.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
1,124
lifetime
Volume
$296.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$263
Open exposure
$5.93K
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 06-08 09:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
98% 43% +$429
Other
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -4,183 $-2,081 55¢ $-2280 $-198 06-06 11:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No -2,500 $-1,740 72¢ $-1812 $-72 06-04 20:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -1,300 $-1,251 94¢ $-1216 +$35 06-07 13:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes -951 $-274 28¢ $-261 +$13 06-04 10:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes -309 $-68 46¢ $-141 $-72 06-08 09:46
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -315 $-90 26¢ $-83 +$7 06-03 09:02
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +69 $63 98¢ $68 +$5 06-01 17:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +700 $51 $45 $-5 05-31 17:47
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes -500 $-11 $-12 $-0 05-28 09:13
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes -99 $-3 $-8 $-5 05-31 20:15
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? Yes -44 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 09:15