Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$911

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

4,257

Trades

7,823

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$102

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 10-28 01:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 224 days

Categories

Other

53% 5% +$118

Politics

43% 4% +$1,118

Sports

2% 1% -$135

Tech

1% 0% -$143

Crypto

0% 8% -$25

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	+100	$68	70¢	$70	+$2	10-23 17:36
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	+100	$17	22¢	$22	+$5	10-27 15:15
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	+100	$8	10¢	$10	+$2	10-27 18:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?	4	$137	140	140	+0	No	+$132	05-16 12:26
will leavitt say state of the union during the next white house press briefing	2	$131	50	150	-100	No	+$30	03-04 19:01
will trump be said during the first episode of the joe rogan experience of the week april 6	6	$105	200	200	+0	No	+$99	04-08 20:46
will trump say job 15 times during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421449	3	$104	200	100	+100	Yes	+$96	08-06 06:02
will ai be said 15 times during the next episode of the all in podcast	7	$104	200	100	+100	Yes	+$96	04-04 05:00
will iran be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 389	8	$103	100	100	+0	No	+$97	03-28 04:33
will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	2	$102	100	100	+0	No	+$98	06-27 06:04
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$102	100	100	+0	No	+$98	05-15 10:58
will trump say ai or cyber during monday news conference	3	$102	200	100	+100	No	+$96	04-06 18:43
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$102	100	100	+0	No	+$98	05-15 18:06
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$102	100	100	+0	No	+$98	05-15 18:05
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$101	100	100	+0	No	+$97	05-15 18:06
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	4	$101	200	100	+100	Yes	+$93	04-15 13:43
will mark rutte say alliance during meeting with prime minister of czechia	2	$101	100	100	+0	No	+$97	04-17 03:48
will trump say russia during his midterm rally in montana october 14	2	$101	100	100	+0	No	+$97	10-15 04:05
will starmer say ban during the next pmq 20260702155400732	2	$101	100	100	+0	No	+$99	07-16 05:11
will the announcers say bautista 20 times during cory sandhagen vs mario bautista 20260708171831744	2	$99	100	100	+0	Yes	+$97	07-13 04:13
will dude be said 20 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of july 6 20260702150713295	5	$98	200	100	+100	Yes	+$94	07-08 16:26
will zeus be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	3	$98	100	100	+0	No	+$94	04-21 09:51
will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	2	$97	100	100	+0	No	+$95	07-23 20:17
will trump say phone during his rally with darline graham	2	$97	100	100	+0	No	+$93	08-22 05:11
will starmer say war during the next prime ministers questions event 878	3	$96	200	100	+100	Yes	+$88	04-12 19:28
will pentakill or penta be said during the msi 2026 grand finals 20260706181915156	3	$94	100	100	+0	No	+$92	07-13 16:01
Will "Instagram" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	2	$89	100	100	+0	No	+$85	06-03 17:00
Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	5	$84	100	100	+0	No	+$82	06-03 17:02
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?	2	$73	100	100	+0	No	+$69	05-23 03:15
Will "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 1?	2	$71	100	100	+0	No	+$67	06-03 17:00
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	2	$68	100	0	+100	open	—	10-23 17:36
will oil be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 442	3	$61	62	62	+0	No	+$57	03-20 15:04
will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event	5	$60	163	63	+100	No	+$53	04-15 11:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 01:10:54	Will Trump say "Merit" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfbfaa7…
10-28 00:29:39	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfd01e2…
10-28 00:29:39	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x55e5bb…
10-28 00:00:27	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1058c2…
10-27 23:59:23	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x671506…
10-27 23:56:48	Will Trump say "Korea" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3643fb…
10-27 22:05:12	Will Robinhood say "Prediction" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x7c0975…
10-27 22:05:11	Will Robinhood say "Prediction" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0x26db0f…
10-27 21:56:32	Will Robinhood say "Prediction" 10+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0x0cd8dd…
10-27 21:44:35	Will Robinhood say "Crypto" / "Cryptocurrency" 12+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xa36135…
10-27 21:08:39	Will Robinhood say "Gold" 5+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0x659356…
10-27 21:03:57	Will Robinhood say "Agent" / "Agentic" during earnings call?	No	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xd7afa3…
10-27 21:03:53	Will Robinhood say "Agent" / "Agentic" during earnings call?	No	BUY	52	3¢	$2	0xe7202d…
10-27 20:53:21	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xeab737…
10-27 20:38:11	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbec2ee…
10-27 20:29:02	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2fd7c7…
10-27 20:28:08	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0x80ed40…
10-27 20:28:02	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xc180ad…
10-27 20:00:44	Will Trump say "Barbecue" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x020837…
10-27 19:48:48	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Corpus Christi, Texas?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe166ea…
10-27 18:04:38	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	97	8¢	$8	0x6b77e4…
10-27 17:55:29	Will Robinhood say "Gold" 5+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x8c3012…
10-27 17:17:23	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	60	32¢	$19	0xcd0b98…
10-27 17:00:32	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x62ea18…
10-27 16:56:48	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf5a732…
10-27 15:15:33	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	94	17¢	$16	0x25d3cd…
10-27 12:39:20	Will Coca-Cola say "World Cup" during earnings call?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa6eab7…
10-27 01:28:48	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe8a5cb…
10-27 00:30:11	Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x8d68ad…
10-27 00:26:29	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x632278…
10-27 00:24:32	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x0fe47c…
10-27 00:22:00	Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x53d37d…
10-26 23:46:03	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x68e0e4…
10-26 23:35:39	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xa39bbb…
10-26 19:45:59	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0f77cd…
10-26 13:17:39	Will Verizon say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x548566…
10-26 13:17:32	Will Verizon say "AI" / "Artificial Intelligence" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x04f60e…
10-26 13:16:30	Will Verizon say "Broadband" 20+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xd19281…
10-26 13:10:29	Will Verizon say "Starlink" during earnings call?	No	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xd20f1a…
10-25 22:10:14	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x09cf67…
10-25 07:15:42	Will Coca-Cola say "Growth" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x5f4ba5…
10-25 06:42:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6d3a9a…
10-25 03:48:30	Will Coca-Cola say "Consumer" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0x437bbf…
10-25 00:26:41	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x93aae4…
10-25 00:25:20	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0x467772…
10-25 00:25:17	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xffb96a…
10-25 00:20:00	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x1ce7fb…
10-25 00:19:54	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf9bcdc…
10-25 00:19:53	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x40d1ea…
10-25 00:19:51	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xd1a49b…
10-25 00:19:51	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x434a70…
10-25 00:19:47	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc9bb58…
10-25 00:19:47	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x499819…
10-24 15:40:18	Will Coca-Cola say "Consumer" 15+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	11	3¢	$0	0xf189db…
10-24 08:46:56	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe89448…
10-24 04:00:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x8d83d8…
10-24 03:59:06	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc47495…
10-24 03:58:32	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x4db2d1…
10-24 03:49:45	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8ed455…
10-24 03:09:36	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbfe5c1…
10-24 03:02:05	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xf4fdc3…
10-24 03:02:03	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	70	1¢	$1	0x001744…
10-24 02:47:50	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xd53532…
10-23 20:29:02	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x328396…
10-23 19:58:09	Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa1426c…
10-23 19:39:00	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x5021bd…
10-23 19:39:00	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x425ed9…
10-23 19:38:59	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0xa7b925…
10-23 19:38:59	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x8e0a91…
10-23 19:38:59	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x876b93…
10-23 19:34:08	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	99	2¢	$2	0x476171…
10-23 19:34:02	Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x0e4244…
10-23 19:30:14	Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" or "Golf" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0xcf9b8a…
10-23 19:30:14	Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" or "Golf" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x1ff148…
10-23 19:30:14	Will Trump say "Mar-a-Lago" or "Golf" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x0a02d4…
10-23 19:25:36	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0xcd7483…
10-23 19:25:35	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xe2b98f…
10-23 19:25:35	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	32	2¢	$1	0x03429d…
10-23 19:24:06	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x01d8a7…
10-23 19:24:00	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xbb9a09…
10-23 19:23:59	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0xdc6b9c…
10-23 19:23:57	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xf9f62d…
10-23 19:23:54	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	48	5¢	$2	0x6afcea…
10-23 19:23:50	Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xd9b769…
10-23 19:22:21	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xddf60e…
10-23 19:22:21	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x80a2d5…
10-23 19:17:27	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1bfc41…
10-23 19:00:18	Will Trump say "Fish" or "Fisher" or "Fishing" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa770c5…
10-23 19:00:09	Will Trump say "Fish" or "Fisher" or "Fishing" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x6a2f7c…
10-23 18:51:39	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x5d8227…
10-23 17:54:41	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0xe77cae…
10-23 17:36:29	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	99	68¢	$67	0x11178d…
10-23 16:55:08	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8715ce…
10-23 16:02:02	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x56821d…
10-23 16:01:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 24?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x20075e…
10-23 16:01:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 24?	No	BUY	120	0¢	$1	0xdedbcf…
10-23 15:59:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	80	1¢	$1	0x794ce5…
10-23 13:27:51	Will Trump say "Democrat" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa89826…
10-23 13:22:42	Will White House post 200+ posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xd787f2…
10-23 10:56:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x760251…