Realized P&L
+$862
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
350
Trades
3,609
lifetime
Volume
$284.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$1.03K
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 10-29 17:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Politics
55% 58% -$629
Other
39% 63% +$1,340
Tech
3% 100% +$181
Crypto
3% 50% -$215
Sports
1% 70% +$183
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +300 $273 96¢ $286 +$14 10-29 17:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +200 $153 86¢ $171 +$18 10-21 14:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +200 $131 64¢ $128 -$3 10-23 13:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +100 $73 76¢ $76 +$3 10-22 08:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? No +200 $68 33¢ $66 -$2 10-22 09:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? No +200 $60 31¢ $62 +$2 10-22 09:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? No +100 $59 58¢ $58 $0 10-28 14:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +109 $52 50¢ $54 +$2 10-24 20:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +109 $49 46¢ $51 +$2 10-23 16:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? No +100 $41 40¢ $40 -$1 10-29 05:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? No +100 $33 36¢ $36 +$3 10-23 13:29
No one announced as next James Bond? No +0 -$3 85¢ $0 +$3 10-05 06:55