Realized P&L (30d)
+$333
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
89.2%
Resolved (30d)
21
Trades (30d)
114
3,618 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$5.02K
$285.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$1.24K
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 11-12 00:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Politics
55% 57% -$631
Other
39% 63% +$1,337
Tech
3% 100% +$181
Crypto
3% 50% -$215
Sports
1% 70% +$183
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +300 $273 97¢ $290 +$17 10-29 17:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +300 $238 90¢ $269 +$31 11-11 02:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +200 $131 64¢ $129 -$2 10-23 13:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? No +100 $73 78¢ $78 +$4 10-22 08:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? No +100 $63 72¢ $72 +$10 11-11 14:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027? No +200 $68 32¢ $63 -$5 10-22 09:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? No +100 $59 57¢ $57 -$2 10-28 14:39
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? No +100 $47 50¢ $50 +$2 11-11 11:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? No +100 $44 47¢ $47 +$3 11-12 00:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? No +100 $41 42¢ $41 +$0 10-29 05:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? No +100 $38 40¢ $40 +$2 10-24 22:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027? No +100 $35 37¢ $37 +$2 10-24 22:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? No +100 $33 33¢ $33 $0 10-23 13:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? No +100 $29 30¢ $30 +$1 11-11 22:09
No one announced as next James Bond? No +0 -$3 94¢ $0 +$3 10-05 06:55