Realized P&L
-$842
Unrealized P&L
+$1.14K
Hit rate
21.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,086
lifetime
Volume
$166.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$80
Open exposure
$2.85K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-19 14:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
76% 50% +$2
Other
21% 50% $-844
Pop-Culture
2%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +1,820 $800 88¢ $1.6K +$810 07-19 09:04
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +696 $248 63¢ $439 +$191 07-11 17:37
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +376 $128 100¢ $375 +$248 06-12 19:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +486 $160 58¢ $284 +$124 06-14 23:06
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? No +81 $28 84¢ $68 +$40 06-22 12:39
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? Yes +889 $205 $68 $-136 06-24 12:35
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +412 $132 $0 $-131 06-14 21:33