Realized P&L
+$155.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$55.3K
Hit rate
49.4%
Resolved
1,177
Trades
2,560
lifetime
Volume
$337.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$132
Open exposure
$85.2K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 16:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 217 days
Categories
Politics
67% 52% +$156,693
Other
31% 49% -$3,472
Pop-Culture
1% 33% -$1,636
Tech
1% 37% +$2,899
Crypto
0% 52% +$728
Sports
0% 67% +$149
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +34,569 $6,571 98¢ $34.0K +$27,446 10-25 17:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +33,418 $3,389 28¢ $9.2K +$5,801 10-03 18:57
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +9,056 $3,560 96¢ $8.7K +$5,148 07-30 14:51
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? No +7,884 $2,404 99¢ $7.8K +$5,386 05-19 17:55
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +7,847 $2,340 99¢ $7.8K +$5,444 05-08 22:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5,853 $1,853 86¢ $5.0K +$3,180 08-20 21:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +3,255 $1,500 90¢ $2.9K +$1,413 07-30 14:50
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932 Yes +11,865 $1,374 18¢ $2.2K +$821 08-20 14:36
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,297 $480 90¢ $1.2K +$681 05-11 02:22
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,119 $660 99¢ $1.1K +$450 08-09 09:21
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +1,355 $498 82¢ $1.1K +$606 07-11 17:37
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +1,255 $755 80¢ $998 +$243 05-22 08:50
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +675 $209 92¢ $620 +$411 05-27 17:47
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +6,294 $1,282 8¢ $535 -$747 10-14 17:23
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +1,075 $366 46¢ $500 +$134 08-29 23:28
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +2,662 $840 16¢ $439 -$401 08-16 18:36
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +510 $181 67¢ $343 +$162 10-05 18:04
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,032 $258 30¢ $315 +$57 07-24 17:43
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +486 $160 56¢ $275 +$114 06-14 23:06
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +202 $89 77¢ $156 +$67 08-19 15:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,532 $867 1¢ $34 -$833 09-04 21:00
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? No +100 $14 12¢ $12 -$2 09-10 21:19
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +699 $315 2¢ $11 -$303 09-10 22:08
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 07-21 13:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +2 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 09-11 11:39